房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)周期及各影響因素實(shí)證研究-資料下載頁(yè)
2025-06-18 13:08本頁(yè)面
【正文】 利率, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）b. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）ANOVAbModelSum of SquaresdfMean SquareFSig.1Regression4.000aResidual13Total17a. Predictors: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 實(shí)際利率, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）b. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）CoefficientsaModelUnstandardized CoefficientsStandardized CoefficientstSig.BStd. ErrorBeta1(Constant).318.129.899實(shí)際利率.357.531全國(guó)GDP（億元）.000.000.078海南GDP（億元）.106.041.022工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）.207.149.189a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Residuals StatisticsaMinimumMaximumMeanStd. DeviationNPredicted Value18Residual.0000018Std. Predicted Value.00018Std. Residual.000.87418a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）ChartsB 基于Stepwise方法的雙因素模型完整結(jié)果Variables Entered/RemovedaModelVariables EnteredVariables RemovedMethod1海南GDP（億元）.Stepwise (Criteria: ProbabilityofFtoenter = .050, ProbabilityofFtoremove = .100).2實(shí)際利率.Stepwise (Criteria: ProbabilityofFtoenter = .050, ProbabilityofFtoremove = .100).a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Model SummarycModelRR SquareAdjusted R SquareStd. Error of the EstimateChange StatisticsDurbinWatsonR Square ChangeF Changedf1df2Sig. F Change1.863a.745.729.745116.0002.914b.835.813.090115.012a. Predictors: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）b. Predictors: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）, 實(shí)際利率c. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）ANOVAcModelSum of SquaresdfMean SquareFSig.1Regression1.000aResidual16Total172Regression2.000bResidual15Total17a. Predictors: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）b. Predictors: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）, 實(shí)際利率c. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）CoefficientsaModelUnstandardized CoefficientsStandardized CoefficientstSig.BStd. ErrorBeta1(Constant).664.516海南GDP（億元）.034.005.863.0002(Constant).915.375海南GDP（億元）.036.004.928.000實(shí)際利率.250.012a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Excluded VariablescModelBeta IntSig.Partial CorrelationCollinearity StatisticsTolerance1實(shí)際利率.012.955全國(guó)GDP（億元）.046.013工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）.378a.613.549.156.0442全國(guó)GDP（億元）.222.010工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）.934.040a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）b. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), 海南GDP（億元）, 實(shí)際利率c. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Residuals StatisticsaMinimumMaximumMeanStd. DeviationNPredicted Value18Residual.0000018Std. Predicted Value.00018Std. Residual.000.93918a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）ChartsC 基于Backward方法的雙因素模型完整結(jié)果Variables Entered/RemovedbModelVariables EnteredVariables RemovedMethod1工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 實(shí)際利率, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）a.Enter2.實(shí)際利率Backward (criterion: Probability of Ftoremove = .100).a. All requested variables entered.b. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Model SummarycModelRR SquareAdjusted R SquareStd. Error of the EstimateChange StatisticsDurbinWatsonR Square ChangeF Changedf1df2Sig. F Change1.933a.871.832.871413.0002.931b.867.839.415113.531a. Predictors: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 實(shí)際利率, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）b. Predictors: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）c. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）OVAcModelSum of SquaresdfMean SquareFSig.1Regression4.000aResidual13Total172Regression3.000bResidual14Total17a. Predictors: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 實(shí)際利率, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）b. Predictors: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）c. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）CoefficientsaModelUnstandardized CoefficientsStandardized CoefficientstSig.BStd. ErrorBeta1(Constant).318.129.899實(shí)際利率.357.531全國(guó)GDP（億元）.000.000.078海南GDP（億元）.106.041.022工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）.207.149.1892(Constant).165.068.946全國(guó)GDP（億元）.000.000.004海南GDP（億元）.119.034.003工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）.272.108.024a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Excluded VariablesbModelBeta IntSig.Partial CorrelationCollinearity StatisticsTolerance2實(shí)際利率.531.421a. Predictors in the Model: (Constant), 工業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）, 海南GDP（億元）, 全國(guó)GDP（億元）b. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Residuals StatisticsaMinimumMaximumMeanStd. DeviationNPredicted Value21Residual21Std. Predicted Value.35921Std. Residual.31221a. Dependent Variable: 房地產(chǎn)業(yè)總產(chǎn)值（億元）Charts 33 / 33
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