【正文】
0300)Abstract: The paper describes the application of the gray system model GM(1,1) in the study that forecasting the throughputs of passengers in the airport, and valuable rules and conclusion are drawn. At the same time, model PGM(1,2) for the gray data forecasting system, derived from model GM(1,1) and GM(1,N), is proposed. Examinations indicate that the graph drawn from model PGM(1,2) for predicting the throughputs of passengers in the airport can accurately reflect the actual fluctuation of the throughputs of passengers. The proposed models and approaches in the paper are demonstrated to be applicable and effective for forecasting shortterm, mediumterm and longterm throughputs of passengers in the airport.Keywords : Gray forecast 。 GM(1,1) model;PGM(1,2) model 。 參考文獻(xiàn):1. 鄧聚龍. 《灰色系統(tǒng)的基本方法》,武漢:華中理工大學(xué)出版社,19872. (1,1)模型建模方法,濟(jì)南:濟(jì)南大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(自然科學(xué)版), 20023. 宋中民等:反向累加生成及灰色GOM(1,1)模型,系統(tǒng)工程 20024. 王學(xué)萌等:娘子關(guān)泉水量的GM (1,2)時(shí)滯預(yù)測模型,中國巖溶 2004(3)5.王學(xué)萌,郝永紅等:中國總?cè)丝诘幕疑珓討B(tài)預(yù)測. 中國人口資源與環(huán)境 Total 20016. 郝永紅,王學(xué)萌 等 :GM(1,1)的周期修正模型及其在泉水流量預(yù)測中的應(yīng)用. 數(shù)學(xué)的實(shí)踐與認(rèn)識 Sep. ,20037. 鄧聚龍.《灰色控制系統(tǒng)》,武漢:華中理工大學(xué)出版社,19856