國(guó)際貿(mào)易外文翻譯--人民幣交易的復(fù)雜關(guān)系-資料下載頁
2025-05-12 14:45本頁面
【導(dǎo)讀】美國(guó)對(duì)華貿(mào)易逆差。了巨大的對(duì)華貿(mào)易逆差。策采取立法措施的最知名人士之一。他認(rèn)為，美國(guó)應(yīng)當(dāng)尋求“說服”中國(guó)允許人。民幣在未來兩到三年升值20%到25%。億美元到1,200億美元。增約50萬個(gè)就業(yè)崗位，這些崗位主要集中于制造業(yè)，工資高于平均水平。但中國(guó)官員同時(shí)警告說，如果人民幣大幅升值，中國(guó)出口行業(yè)可能會(huì)受到。溫家寶總理本月早些時(shí)候在美國(guó)發(fā)表演講時(shí)說，中國(guó)承受不起人民幣。企業(yè)大量倒閉，造成嚴(yán)重的社會(huì)動(dòng)蕩。人民幣匯率與中國(guó)貿(mào)易順差之間的關(guān)系實(shí)際上并非一目了然。從2020年7月到2020年7月，中國(guó)允許人民幣兌美元升值21%。始之前、2020年上半年的順差多出三分之一。在于不斷加劇的經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退打擊了全球?qū)Τ隹诋a(chǎn)品的需求。易順差總額減少了三分之一。其他國(guó)家凈進(jìn)口的降幅，也超過了從中國(guó)凈進(jìn)口降幅的三倍。2020年以來中國(guó)一直沒有允許國(guó)際貨幣基金組織對(duì)中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)進(jìn)行年度評(píng)估。是暫時(shí)的，4月份它也做出過同樣的判定。
【正文】 ction will be whether China will block the IMF from publishing a detailed summary of the board39。s Monday deliberations over the next few weeks. The full IMF analysis would likely be published in September unless China withholds its permission. IMF members are entitled to block publication of IMF reviews, though most allow publication. The . has been pressing Beijing to permit publication. China hadn39。t allowed the IMF to conduct an annual review of its economy since 2020 as the two sides fought over China39。s policy of pegging the yuan tightly to the dollar, a policy that China put in place in 2020. The . and Europethe IMF39。s largest shareholdersplained that policy gave Chinese exporters an unfair advantage. The IMF began the current review in the spring of 2020. Eswar Prasad, a Cornell University economist and a former head of the IMF39。s China desk, said a draft of the IMF staff report he had seen noted positively Beijing39。s decision to let its currency float. The report also highlighted that China39。s currentaccount surplus had fallen in recent months, which could be an indication that the currency is properly valued. But the IMF forecast that the change in the surplus was only temporary, a determination it had made in April as well. 39。Significant action39。 was needed to reduce the undervaluation, Mr. Prasad said. Brazil largely backed the Chinese position on the currentaccount question, say several individuals.“Chinese officials said, they have done what they needed to do and the rest of the world should give them room to act,” he said. Another individual familiar with the deliberations said the report39。s finding hadn39。t changed significantly from the draft. 5 In Ms. Hu39。s latest statement on the yuan, which was posted on the central bank39。s website, she focused on the dangers of inflation. That is familiar territory for any central banker, but Ms. Hu turned up the rhetorical heat by quoting legendary freemarket economist Milton Friedman39。s statement that inflation is a dangerous and sometimes fatal disease.“Looking at China39。s situation, those who suffer greatest from inflation are the lowine masses, especially China39。s over 40 million poor urban residents and nearly 100 million poor migrant workers, a situation which if improperly handled will affect social equality and stability,” she said. Such ments probably indicate that the central bank would like to allow the yuan to appreciate further if it perceives inflationary risks, economists said. But major decisions on currency and moary policy require approval from China39。s top political leadership. RESOURCE: Bob Davis, Arron Back. IMF Sees Yuan As Wall Street Journal. July 27th 2020.
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