【文章內(nèi)容簡介】
icipate changing only as much as 50yearolds actually do.這是我們的發(fā)現(xiàn)。首先,你們是對的,隨著我們年齡的增長,變化會減緩。第二,你們錯了,因為這種變化并不像我們想象的那么慢。在我們的數(shù)據(jù)庫從18歲到68歲的每一個年齡段中,人們大大的低估了在未來的10年他們會經(jīng)歷多少變化。我們把這叫做“歷史終止”錯覺。為了讓你們了解這種影響有多大, 你們可以把這兩條線連接起來,你們現(xiàn)在看到的是18歲的人群預(yù)期的改變僅僅和50歲的人群實際經(jīng)歷的一樣。Now it39。s not just values. It39。s all sorts of other things. For example, personality. Many of you know that psychologists now claim that there are five fundamental dimensions of personality: neuroticism, openness to experience, agreeableness, extraversion, and conscientiousness. Again, we asked people how much they expected to change over the next 10 years, and also how much they had changed over the last 10 years, and what we found, well, you39。re going to get used to seeing this diagram over and over, because once again the rate of change does slow as we age, but at every age, people underestimate how much their personalities will change in the next decade.現(xiàn)在不僅僅是價值觀了。其他的方面都也有變化。比如說,人格。你們當(dāng)中的很多人知道現(xiàn)在心理學(xué)家們認為人格可以分為五個基本維度:神經(jīng)質(zhì)性,經(jīng)驗汲取度,協(xié)調(diào)性,外向性和道德感?;氐皆瓉淼脑掝},我們問人們他們期待未來的10年中自己會有多大的變化,以及他們在過去的10年中發(fā)生了多少變化,我們發(fā)現(xiàn)了,你們會習(xí)慣不斷地看到這個圖表,因為又一次,變化速率隨著我們的年齡增長減慢了。但是在每一個年齡階段,人們都低估了在未來的十年中他們的人格會發(fā)生多大的改變。And it isn39。t just ephemeral things like values and personality. You can ask people about their likes and dislikes, their basic preferences. For example, name your best friend, your favorite kind of vacation, what39。s your favorite hobby, what39。s your favorite kind of music. People can name these things. We ask half of them to tell us, Do you think that that will change over the next 10 years? and half of them to tell us, Did that change over the last 10 years? And what we find, well, you39。ve seen it twice now, and here it is agai