【正文】 on of agent construction management mode and the methods to risk identification. According to the management logic of risk identification, risk coping, this thesis generalizes the possible risks that the project entity may encounter. A analytical hierarchical model is formulated so as to evaluate the risks. In line with the possibilities of risk, probability and incidence, this study tries to identify the vital risk so that es up with the risk level and provides credibility for risk coping and finally validates the operating model with an example. At last, this thesis proposes the specific coping measures for the possible risks. Agent construction program will meet many risks in implementing, the identification and coping of each risk is vital to the success of program. This study aims at establishing a prehensive, scientific and integrated risk identification framework by analyzing the risk identification and risk coping to evaluate risk factors and proposes the coping measures in the hope of providing some constructive references. Key Words: Real Estate, Government Invested Project, Agent Construction, Risk Identification, Risk Treatment武漢 科技大學 碩士學位論文 第 III頁 目 錄 摘 要 ..............................................................................................................................................I Abstract .......................................................................................................................................... II 第一章 緒論 ...................................................................................................................................1 研究背景及研究意義 .......................................................................................................1 研究背景 .................................................................................................................1 研究意義 .................................................................................................................2 研究目的與方法 ...............................................................................................................2 研究目的 .................................................................................................................2 研究方法 .................................................................................................................2 研究內容和研究框架 .......................................................................................................3 研究內容 .................................................................................................................3 研究框架 .................................................................................................................3 第二章 代建制項目管理模式及風險管理分析 ...........................................................................4 代建制項目管理模式 .......................................................................................................4 基本概念 .................................................................................................................4 代建制項目管理模式的主體關系 .........................................................................4 代建制項目管理模式的特點分析 .........................................................................5 國內外代建制發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 .........................................................................................6 代建制項目風險管理分析 .............................................................................................10 代建制項目風險的概念及其主要分類 ...............................................................10 代建制項目風險識別的方法 ...............................................................................12 國內外風險管理發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 ...................................................................................15 代建制模式下房地產項目風險管理研究現(xiàn)狀 .............................................................16 第三章 房地產代建制項目風險識別 .........................................................................................18 代建制項目風險識別原則與依據(jù) .................................................................................18 代建制項目風險識別的原則 ...............................................................................18 代建制項目風險識別的依據(jù) ...............................................................................19 房地產代建制項目風險識別與分析 .............................................................................19 代建制項目外部環(huán)境風險分析 ...........................................................................19 代建制項目內部環(huán)境風險分析 ...........................................................................21 代建制項目風險分析框架建立 ...........................................................................23 房地產代建制項目風險分析模型的構建 ......................................................................24 代建制項目風險分析模型的設計原則 ...............................................................24 代建制項目風險分析模型的構建目標和功能 ...................................................25武漢科技大學 碩士學位論文 第 IV頁 代建制項目風險分析模型的運行模式 ............................................................... 26 房地產代建制項目風險評價分析的層次分析模型 ..................................................... 26 層次分析法 ........................................................................................................... 26 指標值的確定 ....................................................................................................... 27 指標權重的確定 ................................................................................................... 29 應用實例 房地產代建制項目實例分析 ........................................................... 30 第四章 房地產代建制項目風險應對策略分析 .........................................................................36 代建制項目內部環(huán)境風險因素應對 ............................................................................. 36 代建制項目內部核心風險應對的策略 ............................................................... 36 代建制項目內部環(huán)境風險應對的措 施 ............................................................... 37 代建制項目內部環(huán)境風險識別與應對 ...........................................