中國石油天然氣上下游基金投資風(fēng)險管理策略(編輯修改稿)
2025-03-13 04:35 本頁面
【文章內(nèi)容簡介】 rate bond yield Price Mechanism simulation ? Soaring asset, modity prices, falling currency excessive money supply led to continued China/US inflation, credit tightening led to rising interest rates and bond yields Inflation rates Interest rates and bond yield Consumer spending currency oil, modity, asset prices Money supply growth currency Proactive Structural global currency and RMB market forces risks mechanism simulation US trade deficit China/country trade surplus/deficit Daily US dollar, RMB global exchange rates futures prices Interest rate spread between US and yours Integrating into BlackSchole for derivatives prices hedging Proactive Structural China/Global housing prices, bubbles,wealth risks mechanism simulation Housing prices and heating, appliances demand are fueled by money supply, excessive credit, stock markets wealth gain, predicted June 2023 Peking Univ, that China housing and stock prices correction late 2023 Money supply growth Mortgage interest rate Housing prices bubble, wealth Housing stock prices simulation Stock market wealth Stock index changes MBS credit derivatives Home heating demand ,prices Home appliances demand Proactive Structural Market Risks: Global/China Stock indices prices futures market mechanism simulation Money supply growth Consumer spending Interest rate/inflation rate China Shanghai/Shenzhen 300 , A, B, Henseng, HShare,Nikkei, Taiwan Index, Singapore ST H stock index, Seoul futures, Investors sentiment , trading volume US investor sentiment NY Dow Jones/Nasdaq stock index Integrate into BlackSchole For derivatives prices, hedging currency Proactive Structural China/Global coal, oil, gas, freight, power demand, prices stock prices mechanism simulation ? China oil, gas downstream are well positioned, fully integrated follow Dr. Huang1991 speech to SINOPEC, Beijin on globalization, integration strategy ? CNOOC, SINOPEC, PetroChina and coal stock prices skyatrocketing , Predicted Peking univ. 2023 that Fed rate cuts drive oil price over 100, 2023 Currency Coal, crude oil, heating oil, gasoline , futures,petrochemical, plastics prices Profit margin, stocks simulation Gasoline, heating oil, petrochemical feedstock Prices, costs Consumer Business spending Power plant rate land, ocean freight cost Coal, gas, LNG demand, price Proactive Structural China/Global Banking, Finance Enterprises Reform and, merger/acquisition performance risks simulation ? Cut premerger, joint venture costs by 50 % in premerger speculation Stock prices plunged more than 5090 % gained in premerger speculation post merger integration , profit creation performances, Investor sentiments Post merger profit margin
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