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保險(xiǎn)公司的財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理(編輯修改稿)

2025-03-09 14:40 本頁面
　

【文章內(nèi)容簡介】 ? 案例研究 ? 動(dòng)態(tài)財(cái)務(wù)分析 ? 投資政策和目標(biāo)文件 ? 做一回投資人 ? 結(jié)語 保險(xiǎn)公司的 財(cái)務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理：資產(chǎn)負(fù)債管理在中國 169。Towers Perrin 32 案例研究 : 動(dòng)態(tài)財(cái)務(wù)分析 客戶：一家美國保險(xiǎn)公司 所選的風(fēng)險(xiǎn) /回報(bào)方陣： ? 回報(bào)方陣是美國通用會(huì)計(jì)準(zhǔn)則下五年的盈利 ? 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)方陣是五年盈利的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差 約束條件是公司的投資政策指引 資產(chǎn)種類的投資表現(xiàn) ? 根據(jù) Tillinghast的 Global CAP:Link 經(jīng)濟(jì)情形模型 ? 參數(shù)由公司的首席投資官審閱 169。Towers Perrin 33 資產(chǎn)配置 – 結(jié)果 – 不受約束的 A s s e t L i a b i l i t y E f f i c i e n t F r o n t i e r V a l u a t i o n Y e a r : 5 1 5 1 4 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 0 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 17 7 5 , 0 0 08 2 5 , 0 0 08 7 5 , 0 0 09 2 5 , 0 0 09 7 5 , 0 0 01 , 0 2 5 , 0 0 01 , 0 7 5 , 0 0 01 5 0 , 0 0 0 2 0 0 , 0 0 0 2 5 0 , 0 0 0 3 0 0 , 0 0 0 3 5 0 , 0 0 0 4 0 0 , 0 0 0 4 5 0 , 0 0 0 5 0 0 , 0 0 0 5 5 0 , 0 0 0 6 0 0 , 0 0 0S t a n d a r d D e v i a t i o nEnding Dollar Surplus U n c o n s t r a in e dC u r r e n tB e n c h m a r k 1B e n c h m a r k 2U n c o n s tr a in e dE ffic ie n t P o rtfo lio s A lte rn a te P o rtfo lio sA s s e ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 C u rre n tB e n c h m a rk 1B e n c h m a rk 2C a s h U S 3 8 .3 4 6 .7 4 2 .5 4 1 .6 3 3 .4 2 7 .9 1 6 .4 4 .7 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 4 .0 0 .8 0 .5S h o rt_ G o v 2 7 .3 5 .8 2 .1 2 .0 2 .3 2 .1 1 .9 1 .9 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1 .9 1 .3 1 .3M id _ G o v 0 .2 1 .7 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 3 .9 6 .9 6 .9In t_ C o rp 3 2 .6 2 9 .7 1 6 .0 3 .1 0 .3 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 2 7 .6 2 4 .6 2 3 .0M id _ M u n i 0 .0 1 .8 3 .2 2 .9 0 .6 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 3 4 .5 3 1 .6 2 9 .0M B S 0 .0 0 .0 4 .6 6 .9 6 .4 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 6 .8 1 3 .9 1 4 .8E q u ity U S 0 .6 1 .0 1 .7 2 .0 2 .1 3 .0 4 .3 5 .5 5 .7 6 .2 5 .8 6 .2 5 .6 5 .8 0 .0 9 .9 1 0 .3 1 0 .3S m C a p 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .2 2 .2 2 .5 2 .8 2 .8 2 .9 1 .5 2 .7 2 .5 2 .5F o r_ E q t 1 .0 3 .0 3 .9 4 .9 7 .1 9 .3 1 0 .6 1 2 .0 1 9 .6 3 1 .2 4 4 .4 5 6 .5 6 9 .2 8 0 .8 9 8 .5 1 .2 0 .9 2 .0P re fS to c k 0 .0 0 .0 4 .3 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .1 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 7 .7 7 .2 4 .7H I_ Y ie ld 0 .0 1 0 .4 2 1 .8 3 6 .5 4 7 .7 5 7 .6 6 6 .7 7 5 .9 7 4 .5 6 0 .4 4 7 .3 3 4 .5 2 2 .4 1 0 .6 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 5 .0R is k 1 5 0 ,1 6 3 1 5 2 ,0 0 9 1 5 6 ,8 4 3 1 6 4 ,5 3 0 1 7 5 ,1 5 7 1 8 8 ,8 2 3 2 0 5 ,0 1 4 2 2 3 ,7 3 3 2 4 6 ,6 7 9 2 8 7 ,2 8 1 3 4 0 ,9 6 9 4 0 2 ,8 4 7 4 6 9 ,9 2 4 5 4 0 ,0 6 4 6 1 9 ,8 1 8 1 7 4 ,1 9 2 1 7 5 ,2 1 2 1 7 8 ,2 6 7R e w a rd 7 7 5 ,0 8 6 8 0 1 ,2 6 4 8 2 6 ,6 3 7 8 5 1 ,2 2 0 8 7 5 ,0 8 5 8 9 8 ,3 7 6 9 2 1 ,0 8 2 9 4 3 ,2 5 8 9 6 4 ,8 4 1 9 8 6 ,0 0 7 1 ,0 0 6 ,7 2 5 1 ,0 2 7 ,0 2 6 1 ,0 4 6 ,9 4 3 1 ,0 6 6 ,4 6 8 1 ,0 8 5 ,7 6 8 8 4 2 ,9 6 4 8 4 0 ,9 7 7 8 5 0 ,0 1 2C a s h U S S h o rt_ G o v M id _ G o v In t_ C o rp M id _ M u n i M B S E q u ity U S S m C a p F o r_ E q t P re fS to c k H I_ Y ie ldC a s h U S S h o rt_ G o v M id _ G o v In t_ C o rp M id _ M u n i M B S E q u ity U S S m C a p F o r_ E q t P re fS to c k H I_ Y ie ld僅為演示 169。Towers Perrin 34 資產(chǎn)配置 – 結(jié)果 – 受約束的 B a s e A s s e t L i a b i l i t y E f f i c i e n t F r o n t i e r V a l u a t i o n Y e a r : 5 1 5 1 4 1 3 1 2 1 1 1 0 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 17 7 3 , 0 0 07 9 3 , 0 0 08 1 3 , 0 0 08 3 3 , 0 0 08 5 3 , 0 0 08 7 3 , 0 0 01 5 2 , 2 0 0 1 6 2 , 2 0 0 1 7 2 , 2 0 0 1 8 2 , 2 0 0 1 9 2 , 2 0 0 2 0 2 , 2 0 0S t a n d a r d D e v i a t i o nEnding Dollar Surplus C o n s t r a in e dC u r r e n tB e n c h m a r k 1B e n c h m a r k 2C o n s tr a in e dE ffic ie n t P o rtfo lio s A lte rn a te P o rtfo lio sA s s e ts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 C u rre n tB e n c h m a rk 1B e n c h m a rk 2C a s h U S 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 2 .6 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 4 .0 0 .8 0 .5S h o rt_ G o v 7 0 .3 6 2 .5 5 8 .3 5 1 .6 4 3 .2 3 3 .9 2 4 .3 3 .8 3 .3 3 .3 2 .7 2 .3 2 .2 1 .6 0 .0 1 .9 1 .3 1 .3M id _ G o v 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 3 .9 6 .9 6 .9In t_ C o rp 2 3 .7 2 9 .3 2 9 .7 2 9 .2 2 5 .4 2 8 .4 3 3 .2 3 3 .6 2 9 .9 2 9 .9 3 0 .1 2 9 .7 3 0 .2 2 9 .2 3 2 .6 2 7 .6 2 4 .6 2 3 .0M id _ M u n i 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 2 .0 5 .8 7 .7 5 .0 1 0 .3 1 3 .2 2 9 .5 3 1 .1 3 4 .6 3 4 .6 3 5 .4 3 7 .4 3 4 .5 3 1 .6 2 9 .0M B S 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 2 .5 3 .7 4 .4 7 .0 7 .7 7 .7 7 .0 6 .8 7 .9 6 .8 0 .0 6 .8 1 3 .9 1 4 .8E q u ity U S 0 .0 0 .4 0 .7 1 .0 0 .7 2 .7 4 .1 3 .7 6 .0 5 .7 7 .9 9 .9 1 1 .9 1 6 .2 1 5 .0 9 .9 1 0 .3 1 0 .3S m C a p 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 0 .0 1 .2 0 .9 5 .0 2 .7 2 .5 2 .5F o r_ E q t 1 .0 2 .2 2 .7 3 .3 4 .8 4 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 5 .0 1 .2 0 .9 2 .0
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