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【正文】 Base case vs enhanced ? Price/markets scenario forecast ? Optimum configuration determined ? Capex Estimates ? Published/licensor data ? Inflated for time/location/experience ? Economics developed ? Increased margin ? DCFROR ? NPV ? Payback ? 17 Economics Approval ? Ine statement/Cash Flows generated ? Sensitivity/ Risk Analyses developed ? Approval Process ? Executive management ? Board ? Shareholder Cabi 18 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE ? New Units ISBL 630 MM ? OSBL, Project Mgmt Other 170 MM TOTAL (2023) 800 MM ORIGINAL ESTIMATE 650 MM (2023) 19 PROGRAM BENEFITS ? Gasoline Optimisation Program ? Increase Gasoline Quantity ? Total from 24% to 30% ? Eliminate Unfinished Products (Naphtha VGO) ? Improve Gasoline Quality ? Increase MON from 83 to 86 ? Reduce Benzene from % to % ? Reduce sulphur fron 41 ppm to 8 ppm ? Customer Satisfaction ? Lower Olefins in LPG ? Ability to eliminate MTBE 20 PROGRAM BENEFITS (Cont’d) ? ULSD HTU ? Improve Gas Oil Quality ? Increase Pool Cetane ? Reduce Aromatics/ Pool Sulfur ? Improved Operations of the PaP Refinery ? Energy Efficiency Environmental Compliance ? Increase full refining capacity to 168 MBPCD ? Ability to process sour, low cetane crudes ? Petrocaribe (New) ? Products displaced from regional market ? Improved Quality can be marketed elsewhere 21 COUNTRY BENEFITS ? Local Content:20% or US$ 160 million ? Maximize local sub contractors ? Offsite Works by Petrotrin ? Construction Labor: 14million hours ? Peak Site Labor: 2,800 ? Corp Tax / UL: US$ 375 million ? Sustained Operations of PaP Refinery ? Security of Fuel Supply / Prices ? Economic Activity 22 PROJECT RISKS ? Market / Product Pricing ? Delay in Tighter Specs / Conservative Prices Used ? Capital Cost Overrun ? Scope of Work ? EPC Cont
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