【正文】 　10　　10157　　5　5　　4產(chǎn)量變化20352185　20　　10253　　10　　5　5　　單因素敏感性分析的結(jié)果表明：產(chǎn)品售價(jià)是第一敏感因素，根據(jù)目前市場(chǎng)情況，預(yù)計(jì)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格有上升的趨勢(shì)，即使當(dāng)產(chǎn)品售價(jià)下降5％時(shí)，％；當(dāng)產(chǎn)品售價(jià)下降10％時(shí)，％，當(dāng)產(chǎn)品售價(jià)下降20％時(shí)，％。滿足建材行業(yè)新型墻材基準(zhǔn)收益率和投資回收期的要求，項(xiàng)目有較強(qiáng)的動(dòng)態(tài)抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力。然而企業(yè)不能忽視市場(chǎng)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)變化，應(yīng)加強(qiáng)企業(yè)內(nèi)部管理，努力降低成本，開拓市場(chǎng)，進(jìn)一步增強(qiáng)本企業(yè)的抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)能力。 財(cái)務(wù)評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)論綜合財(cái)務(wù)各項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)本項(xiàng)目，項(xiàng)目在生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)期間有較好的盈利能力，資金投入項(xiàng)目后回收正常，自身盈虧平衡能力較強(qiáng)，基本適應(yīng)各種因素變化的能力，從財(cái)務(wù)角度講項(xiàng)目是可行的。18 結(jié)論與建議 結(jié)論我國(guó)成為WTO的正式成員國(guó)，我國(guó)的出口企業(yè)已真正享受國(guó)民待遇，加上關(guān)稅的降低，給我國(guó)建筑陶瓷的出口創(chuàng)造更好更大的商機(jī)。我國(guó)建筑陶瓷成本比發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家低，在質(zhì)量相同的情況下，我國(guó)產(chǎn)品具有較強(qiáng)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力。近5年來，我國(guó)建筑陶瓷產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量迅速提高，花色、規(guī)模、品種增多，所以出口量幅度提高，進(jìn)口量迅速減少。我國(guó)仍將實(shí)行擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需的方針，繼續(xù)實(shí)行積極的財(cái)政政策和穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策，這將促進(jìn)固定資產(chǎn)投資較快增長(zhǎng)，同時(shí)給建筑陶瓷的穩(wěn)步發(fā)展提供了良好的環(huán)境。南水北調(diào)和西氣東輸?shù)戎攸c(diǎn)工程的啟動(dòng)以及青藏鐵路的建成通車，將促進(jìn)建材工業(yè)的發(fā)展。本項(xiàng)目所依據(jù)的技術(shù)條件起點(diǎn)高，采用國(guó)內(nèi)消化吸收工藝技術(shù)裝備，其工藝技術(shù)裝備達(dá)到國(guó)際先進(jìn)和國(guó)內(nèi)同行業(yè)領(lǐng)先水平，生產(chǎn)的產(chǎn)品不僅能滿足國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)，還可出口創(chuàng)匯。項(xiàng)目建設(shè)場(chǎng)地選擇在白銀市平川中區(qū)開發(fā)區(qū)，其水、電、原料及燃料供應(yīng)均有保障，建設(shè)和諧協(xié)作條件好。本項(xiàng)目充分考慮了環(huán)境保護(hù)、工業(yè)衛(wèi)生及安全，采用發(fā)生爐煤氣為燃料，生產(chǎn)廢水集中處理，回收利用。因此，不會(huì)造成環(huán)境污染，其經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)效益顯著。7．隨著城市改造的不斷發(fā)展，公寓式樓閣越來越多，西式瓦的需求也在不斷增加，規(guī)模品牌效益尤為明顯, 市場(chǎng)前景廣闊。 8．該生產(chǎn)線采用濕法制漿、噴霧干燥制粉，大噸位壓機(jī)成型，寬截面輥道窯燒成的一次燒成生產(chǎn)工藝。技術(shù)成熟，符合國(guó)家的環(huán)保政策，同行業(yè)節(jié)能效果領(lǐng)先，具有國(guó)際先進(jìn)水平。9．本項(xiàng)目投產(chǎn)后，正常年可實(shí)現(xiàn)年銷售收入6750萬元，，經(jīng)濟(jì)效益較為顯著。 建議盡快將以上項(xiàng)目的建設(shè)工作付諸實(shí)施，盡快開展前期工作，抓緊進(jìn)行工程設(shè)計(jì)，落實(shí)工程資金，加快建設(shè)步伐，爭(zhēng)取早日投產(chǎn)并產(chǎn)生經(jīng)濟(jì)效益。項(xiàng)目投產(chǎn)后，在進(jìn)一步穩(wěn)定和提高質(zhì)量的同時(shí)，還應(yīng)積極進(jìn)行新產(chǎn)品開發(fā)，繼續(xù)拓寬銷售渠道，爭(zhēng)取早日將部分產(chǎn)品打入國(guó)際市場(chǎng)。 附表附表1《建設(shè)投資估算表》附表2《建筑工程投資估算表》附表3《設(shè)備及安裝工程估算表》附表4《經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)匯總表》附表5《資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表》附表6《財(cái)務(wù)計(jì)劃現(xiàn)金流量表》附表7《還本付息計(jì)劃表》附表8《流動(dòng)資金估算表》附表9《項(xiàng)目總投資使用計(jì)劃及資金籌措表》附表10《固定資產(chǎn)折舊估算表》附表11《無形資產(chǎn)和其他資產(chǎn)攤銷費(fèi)估算表》附表12《總成本費(fèi)用計(jì)算表》附表13《營(yíng)業(yè)銷售收入和稅金及附加估算表》附表14《利潤(rùn)和利潤(rùn)分配表》附表15《項(xiàng)目投資現(xiàn)金流量表》附表16《項(xiàng)目資本金現(xiàn)金流量表》附表17《資金還本付息計(jì)劃表》附圖 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