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電子銀行( Electronic Banking) 2023 76% 188 人機介面( Human PC Interface) 2023 62% 113 網(wǎng)路出版( Online Publishing) 2023 73% 128 電子商務( Electronic merce) 2023 73% 226 隨選 娛 樂( Entertainment on demand) 2023 61% 158 資訊家電( Information Appliances) 2023 69% 170 模組化軟體( Modular Software) 2023 50% 86 專家系統(tǒng)( Expert Systems) 2023 60% 66 品種基因改良( Geically Designed Species) 2023 57% 119 生物晶片( Biochips) 2023 51% 60 遠距教學( Distance Learning) 2023 61% 127 電腦翻譯( Computer Translation) 2023 52% 82 光學電腦( Optical Computers) 2023 56% 93 大規(guī)模客製化( Mass Customization) 2023 67% 256 智慧型電腦( Smart Computers) 2023 59% 104 燃料電池汽車( Fuel Cell Autos) 2023 60% 57資料來源: GeeWashington( 2023)。 41日本預測之未來新興技術(shù)可行時程資料來源:日本第七次技術(shù)前瞻報告 (2023)。領(lǐng)域 議題 實年Information Widespread use of portable terminals capable of voice munication from anywhere in the world. 2023Information Widespread use of systems that facilitate multimedia munication from anywhere in the world using pocketbooksize portable terminals.2023Agriculture Determination of the whole DNA sequence of crops (. rice) to isolate useful genes.Information Realization of an environment in which the unlimited utilization of high capacity works (150 Mbps) for around 2,000 yen/month or less is possible.2023Life science Development of methods for surmising new functions of proteins from DNA base sequence data.Life science Development of highspeed genome analysis technology, and determination of the entire genome sequences of at least 50 important animal and plant species.Information Practical use of portable puters powered primarily by solar battery or fuel battery. 2023Information Widespread use of highly reliable work systems capable of protecting the privacy and secrecy of individuals and groups from the intrusion of illintentioned work intruders.Information Widespread use of online sealfree (signaturefree) document preparation services for various official documents such as contracts that are provided via a work based on security technology capable of achieving both privacy protection and verification.Health Widespread use of scientific guidelines for lifestyles (nutrition, rest and exercise) to prevent lifestylerelated diseases.Business Production on order rather than production on estimated demand bees the norm due to the increased sophistication of emerce works and improved efficiency of business cycle times, resulting in a dramatic reduction of inventory risk for panies. 42日本預測之未來新興技術(shù)可行時程 (續(xù))資料來源:日本第七次技術(shù)前瞻報告 (2023)。領(lǐng)域 議題 實現(xiàn)年Electronics Practical use of technology that can pletely automatically design high performance LSIs with several hundred kilo gates or more when given the required systemlevel specifications written in a highlevel language such as C.2023Life science Practical use of an effective drug against multipledrugresistant bacteria.Agriculture Examination of the safety of geically modified farm products from both food and environmental perspectives, and development of an evaluation method that can gain the understanding of consumers.Environment Practical use of technology capable of reducing particulate matter emissions from diesel vehicles to 10% of current levels (fiscal 1999 standard value for vehicles weighing more than is (average value)).Transportation Widespread use of technology to reduce the harmful ponents of exhaust gas from large trucks to 1/10 of present levels, such as diesel exhaust catalysts, particulate traps, leanburn NOx catalysts and high precision bustion technology.43在美國各技術(shù)領(lǐng)域之核準專利件數(shù)佔有率 美、日( 19992023)日本除了在光學 (Optics)與視聽技術(shù) (Audiovisual technology)領(lǐng)域的專利件數(shù)略勝於美國,其餘領(lǐng)域均是美國領(lǐng)先。44在美國各技術(shù)領(lǐng)域之核準專利件數(shù)佔有率 臺、韓( 19992023)臺灣在半導體、消費用品、電力與電器、機械零件等領(lǐng)域領(lǐng)先南韓。南韓在光學、視聽技術(shù)、通訊等領(lǐng)域勝過臺灣。45技術(shù)專業(yè)化指數(shù) ~ ~ ~德國機械零件 引擎 , 泵 , 渦輪機 運輸;材料加工 , 紡織;有機化學;高分子化學;化學工業(yè) ,石化工業(yè) ,基本材料化學;紙品製作工具機化學工程;環(huán)境技術(shù);材料 ,冶金;分析 ,量測 ,控制技術(shù);核子工程;表面處理技術(shù);太空技術(shù) ,武器法國製藥 ,化妝用品機械零件材料 ,冶金核子工程有機化學高分子化學;化學工程;化學工業(yè) ,石化工業(yè) ,基本材料化學;環(huán)境技術(shù);生物科技;農(nóng)業(yè)與食品化工;材料加工 , 紡織;熱加工與其設備;運輸;太空技術(shù) ,武器;通訊英國機械零件製藥 ,化妝用品化學工業(yè) ,石化工業(yè) ,基本材料化學有機化學生物科技農(nóng)業(yè)與食品化工;化學工程;光學技術(shù);分析 ,量測 ,控制技術(shù);引擎 ,泵 ,渦輪機;通訊;消費用品與設備德法英三國之技術(shù)專業(yè)化程度較高的領(lǐng)域( 19992023)?德法英三國具有顯示技術(shù)優(yōu)勢(即專業(yè)化程度)的領(lǐng)域較偏重於化工領(lǐng)域、生物科技等,因均有航太工業(yè),機械零件與引擎、渦輪機相關(guān)機械領(lǐng)域也具優(yōu)勢。46技術(shù)專業(yè)化指數(shù) ~ ~ ~日本機械零件視聽技術(shù)光學技術(shù) 半導體;資訊技術(shù);電力設備 , 電力工程 ,電能引擎 , 泵 , 渦輪機;材料 ,冶金;表面處理技術(shù);高分子化學核子工程;包裝 ,輸送 ,儲存 ,印刷 ;臺灣半導體 電力設備 , 電力工程 ,電能;消費用品與設備機械零件 熱加工與其設備紙品製作工具機南韓半導體 視聽技術(shù) 通訊光學技術(shù)熱加工與其設備;機械零件;資訊技術(shù);電力設備 , 電力工程 ,電能日、臺、韓三國之技術(shù)專業(yè)化程度較高的領(lǐng)域(19992023)?日臺韓三國具有顯示技術(shù)優(yōu)勢(即專業(yè)化程度)的領(lǐng)域較偏重半導體、電力、電器與電子、資訊技術(shù)、機械、熱加工技術(shù)等領(lǐng)域,日本與南韓在光學、視聽技術(shù)則具有專業(yè)化程度。47v2023年全球在美國核準的製藥與生物科技專利呈現(xiàn)下降趨 勢,而醫(yī)療儀器則大幅增加。v臺灣在 2023年製藥領(lǐng)域?qū)@麛?shù)僅為 29件,不過呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)增 加現(xiàn)象;生物科技領(lǐng)域?qū)@麛?shù)則由 20