【文章內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介】
Foreign Exchange Reserves AbstractOfficial foreign exchange reserves is the foreign current assets of one country39。s Foreign exchange management 39。s the main international reserve asset of one Is the core of the international monetary system, is also a major issue in the field of international the same time, foreign exchange reserves as one of the important macro economic variables of which can reflect a country39。s economic, financial strength. It plays the important role at the fields of adjusting each country39。s balancing of international payments,maintaining stable currency exchange rate,enhancing foreign debt paying ability and dealing with the international financial much or too little foreign exchange reserves are not good for economy39。s sustained, stable and healthy development of our much foreign exchange reserves will cause the waste of foreign exchange resources, increase the cost of holding, inflation and the appreciation of the renminbi,and so it will restrict economic development in too few foreign exchange reserves and will make a country resource allocation distorted, and increase the risk of international trade and financial the constant development of economy and international trade unceasingly thorough, China39。s foreign exchange reserves rapid the end of March 2012, China39。s foreign exchange reserves balance was $ trillion. For five consecutive years to bee the world39。s largest foreign exchange reserves in the kingdom. So whether the foreign exchange reserves is too exorbitant bee domestic academia and industry point of contention. From the meaning and function of foreign exchange reserves, the boundaries of foreign exchange reserves39。 modest scale, this paper absorbed research results of western scholars and Chinese scholars39。 moderate scale of foreign exchange , bining the actual operation situation of the economy in our country, through the prehensive analysis of the major factors which effect on our country39。s foreign exchange reserves39。 demands , further analysis the causes of leading to Chinese foreign exchange reserve39。 fast growth, as well as expound this influence our country economic foreign exchange reserves from both the positive and negative opposite. Finally, aimed at the present situation of the foreign exchange reserves39。 rapid growth and too large scale,proposed some policy suggestions to the Chinese foreign exchange reserves39。 effective management . Key wordsOfficial Foreign Exchange Reserves。 Moderate Scale。Influence。Policy Suggestions。目 錄緒 論 1一、外匯儲(chǔ)備的目的和意義 1二、我國(guó)官方外匯儲(chǔ)備的基本狀況 4(一)我國(guó)官方外匯儲(chǔ)備的現(xiàn)狀分析 5(二)我國(guó)巨額官方外匯儲(chǔ)備的成因 6三、外匯儲(chǔ)備對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的積極影響和消極影響 5 (一)外匯儲(chǔ)備對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的重大作用 5 (二)巨額外匯儲(chǔ)備的弊端 5四、我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備管理的建議和創(chuàng)新, 9(一) 9(二) 10結(jié) 論 12致 謝 13參考文獻(xiàn) 14中國(guó)巨額官方外匯儲(chǔ)備的成因及應(yīng)對(duì)措施緒 論當(dāng)前,外匯儲(chǔ)備問(wèn)題正日益成為世界各國(guó)普遍關(guān)注的問(wèn)題。外匯儲(chǔ)備是一國(guó)政府進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)節(jié)、實(shí)現(xiàn)內(nèi)外平衡的重要手段。外匯儲(chǔ)備的增加不僅可以增強(qiáng)宏觀調(diào)控的能力,而且有利于維護(hù)國(guó)家和企業(yè)在國(guó)際上的信譽(yù),有助于拓展國(guó)際貿(mào)易、吸引國(guó)際外資、降低國(guó)際企業(yè)融資成本、防范和化解國(guó)際金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。特別是在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化不斷發(fā)展的今天,外匯儲(chǔ)備更是實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡穩(wěn)定的一個(gè)必不可少的手段。尤其對(duì)廣大發(fā)展中國(guó)家,更是一個(gè)標(biāo)志和影響經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展成功與否的敏感問(wèn)題。從布雷頓森林體系的崩潰到墨西哥債務(wù)危機(jī),再到亞洲金融危機(jī),這一問(wèn)題已經(jīng)越來(lái)越受到發(fā)展中國(guó)家的重視。近年來(lái),我國(guó)外匯儲(chǔ)備呈現(xiàn)出快速增長(zhǎng)態(tài)勢(shì),規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大,這正是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)不斷發(fā)展的結(jié)果。我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展為企業(yè)提高了競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,并為企業(yè)進(jìn)行國(guó)際貿(mào)易提供了更高、更好的平臺(tái)。我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境和政策制度的不斷完善為吸引外資提供了更好的軟環(huán)境,這些又進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。這一良性的循環(huán)為我國(guó)獲得并積累了更多的外匯財(cái)富,使我國(guó)的外匯儲(chǔ)備連年增加,而且增長(zhǎng)量巨大,速度驚人。改革開放以來(lái),最能表現(xiàn)中國(guó)日漸強(qiáng)盛的經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)之中少不了外匯儲(chǔ)備的增長(zhǎng)。 億美元,而截至2011年6月底, 億美元,同比增幅超過(guò)23%,占我國(guó)GDP總量的40%, 倍,穩(wěn)居世界第一儲(chǔ)備大國(guó)。央行行長(zhǎng)周小川今年4月18日在清華大學(xué)金融高端講壇上坦言,外匯儲(chǔ)備已經(jīng)超過(guò)了我國(guó)需要的合理水平,外匯積累過(guò)多,導(dǎo)致市場(chǎng)流動(dòng)性過(guò)多,也增加了央行對(duì)沖工作的壓力。所以外匯儲(chǔ)備過(guò)快增長(zhǎng)與物價(jià)水平上漲過(guò)快的通貨膨脹已經(jīng)成為當(dāng)前國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的兩大突出問(wèn)題。分析外匯儲(chǔ)備快速增長(zhǎng)的原因和風(fēng)險(xiǎn),探討緩解外匯儲(chǔ)備快速增長(zhǎng),推進(jìn)實(shí)施外匯儲(chǔ)備多元化的對(duì)策顯得十分重要和迫切。一、外匯儲(chǔ)備的目的和意義(一)外匯儲(chǔ)備的目的外匯儲(chǔ)備的目的主要包括以下四個(gè)方面: 一是調(diào)節(jié)國(guó)際收支,保證對(duì)外支付。 二是干預(yù)外匯市場(chǎng),穩(wěn)定本幣匯率。 三是維護(hù)國(guó)際信譽(yù),提高對(duì)外融資能力。 四是增強(qiáng)綜合國(guó)力和抵抗風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的能力.一定的外匯儲(chǔ)備是一國(guó)進(jìn)行經(jīng)濟(jì)調(diào)節(jié)、實(shí)現(xiàn)內(nèi)外平衡的重要手段。當(dāng)國(guó)際收支出現(xiàn)逆差時(shí),動(dòng)用外匯儲(chǔ)備可以促進(jìn)國(guó)際收支的平衡;當(dāng)國(guó)內(nèi)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)不平衡,出現(xiàn)總需求大于總供給時(shí),可以動(dòng)用外匯組織進(jìn)口,從而調(diào)節(jié)總供給與總需求的關(guān)系,促進(jìn)宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的平衡。同時(shí)當(dāng)匯率出現(xiàn)波動(dòng)時(shí),可以利用外匯儲(chǔ)備干預(yù)匯率,使之趨于穩(wěn)定。因此,外匯儲(chǔ)備是實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)均衡穩(wěn)定的一個(gè)必不可少的手段,特別是在經(jīng)濟(jì)全球化不斷發(fā)展,一國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)更易于受到其他國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)影響的情況下,更是如此。 一般說(shuō)來(lái),外匯儲(chǔ)備的增加不僅可以增強(qiáng)宏觀調(diào)控的能力,而且有利于維護(hù)國(guó)家和企業(yè)在國(guó)際上的信譽(yù),有助于拓展國(guó)際貿(mào)易、吸引外國(guó)投資、降低國(guó)內(nèi)企業(yè)融資成本、防范和化解國(guó)際金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。適度外匯儲(chǔ)備水平取決于多種因素,如進(jìn)出口狀況、外債規(guī)模、實(shí)際利用外資等。應(yīng)根據(jù)持有外匯儲(chǔ)備的收益、成本比較和這些方面的狀況把外匯儲(chǔ)備保持在適度的水平上。(二)外匯儲(chǔ)備的意義外匯儲(chǔ)備只能說(shuō)算是中國(guó)保證外部經(jīng)濟(jì)安全和進(jìn)行全球一般性擴(kuò)張的武器,大量的外匯儲(chǔ)備能保證中國(guó)的國(guó)際收支不出現(xiàn)問(wèn)題,擁有強(qiáng)大的國(guó)際支付能力,比如大規(guī)模的購(gòu)進(jìn)資源,海外投資等等,其實(shí)是保證匯率市場(chǎng)的金融安全,大量外匯有在匯率市場(chǎng)干預(yù)人民幣拋售的能力。但是同樣,大量外匯也會(huì)導(dǎo)致人民幣升值壓力,不過(guò)這是另外一個(gè)問(wèn)題了。第三,大量外匯有利于中國(guó)進(jìn)行金融擴(kuò)張,比如中國(guó)可以搞賣方貸款,就像巴基斯坦買中國(guó)飛機(jī)那樣,中國(guó)給貸款也給飛機(jī),這樣看起來(lái)似乎很吃虧,其實(shí)是一個(gè)將外匯資產(chǎn)置換為債權(quán)的途徑,好處很多,第一就是為中國(guó)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)行市場(chǎng)開拓,先占領(lǐng)市場(chǎng)就有先機(jī),第二就是這些債務(wù)雖然是美元計(jì)價(jià)但是這些欠債國(guó)家一般是還不了的,這樣中國(guó)在后期就可以美債轉(zhuǎn)人民幣債,或者美債轉(zhuǎn)股債,轉(zhuǎn)資源開發(fā)權(quán)等等。算得上某種明修棧道暗渡陳倉(cāng)之計(jì),第三么,大量外匯可以作為貨幣互換的基礎(chǔ),在外部經(jīng)濟(jì)安全方面,目前還有一個(gè)比較重要的作用就是對(duì)沖貨幣流動(dòng)性泛濫導(dǎo)致的債務(wù)稀釋和損失,實(shí)際上隨著歐美日本等國(guó)家進(jìn)行貨幣的超發(fā),