【正文】 e day she met her husband Niulang, or the Cowherd, on the Milky Way. Most Chinese remember being told this romantic tragedy when they were children on Qixi, or the Seventh Night Festival, which falls on the seventh day of the seventh lunar month, which is 湖南人文科技學(xué)院畢業(yè)論文 (設(shè)計(jì) ) 17 usually in early August. This year it falls on Saturday, August 2. Folklore Story As the story goes, once there was a cowherd, Niulang, who lived with his elder brother and sisterinlaw. But she disliked and abused him, and the boy was forced to leave home with only an old cow for pany. The cow, however, was a former god who had violated imperial rules and was sent to earth in bovine form. One day the cow led Niulang to a lake where fairies took a bath on earth. Among them was Zhinu, the most beautiful fairy and a skilled seamstress. The two fell in love at first sight and were soon married. They had a son and daughter and their happy life was held up as an example for hundreds of years in China. Yet in the eyes of the Jade Emperor, the Supreme Deity in Taoism, marriage between a mortal and fairy was strictly forbidden. He ordered the heaven troop to catch Zhinu back. Niulang grew desperate when he discovered Zhinu had been taken back to heaven. Driven by Niulang39。s Day. More and more young Chinese people begin to celebrate this day in a very similar way as that in western countries. Fewer people than ever will gaze at the heavens on Saturday to pick out the two stars shining bright on either side of the Milky Way, that is, if people even know on which day Qixi falls. There are ready reminders dotted about, in the form of big ads saying Sales on Chinese Valentine39。 Festival. In this day, girls will throw a sewing needle into a bowl full of water on the night of Qixi as a test of embroidery skills. If the needle floats on top of the water instead of sinking, it proves the girl is a skilled embroiders. Single women also pray for finding a good husband in the future. And the newly married women pray to bee pregnant quickly. Tradition transformed The love story of Niulang and Zhinu, and the Qixi Festival have been handed down for generations. Yet these ancient traditions and customs are slowly dying out. Many modern Chinese, particularly youngsters, seem to know more about St Valentine39。 ll wait in the line for one hour to get a ticket, and another two hours at the site, to only see a tiny bit of the place due to the crowds. Last year, 428 million tourists traveled in China over the weeklong holiday in October. Traveling during this period is a matter that needs thorough preparation. If you are short on time to plan the uping Golden Week it may not be a bad idea to avoid some of the most crowded places for now. There is always a place so fascinating that everyone yearns for. Arxan is a place like this. The beauty of Arxan is everlasting regardless of the changing of four seasons. Bestowed by nature, its spectacular seasonal landscape and mountains are just beyond word. Arxan is a crucial destination for the remended travelling route, China Inner Mongolia Arxan — Hailar — Manzhouli. It is also the joint of the four prairies across the SinoMongolian border, where people gravitate towards the exotic atmosphere mixed with Chinese, Russian, and Mongolia elements. As a historic site for the Yitian Battle, Arxan still embodies the spirit of Genghis Khan. Walking into Arxan, you will be amazed by a kaleidoscope of geous colors all the year round the Spring azaleas blooming red in the snow, the Summer sea wavering blue in the breeze, the Autumn leaves painted in yellow covering volcanic traces, and the Winter woods shining white on the vast alpine snowscape. Hinggan League Arxan city is situated in the far eastern area of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. Its full name Haren Arxan means hot holy water in the Mongolian language. Arxan is a tourism city in the northern frontier with a blend of large forest, grand prairies, vast snowfield, heaven lake cluster, thermium, as well as volcanic cluster. It is a rare and unique ecotourism base filled with healthy sunshine, clean air and unspoiled green. Nestled close to the country39。 湖南人文科技學(xué)院本科畢業(yè)論文誠信聲明 湖南人文科技學(xué)院畢業(yè)論文 (設(shè)計(jì) ) 15 本人鄭重聲明：所呈交的本科畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)，是本人在指導(dǎo)老師的指導(dǎo)下，獨(dú)立進(jìn)行研究工作所取得的成果，成果不存在知 識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)爭議，除文中已經(jīng)注明引用的內(nèi)容外，本設(shè)計(jì)不含任何其他個(gè)人或集體已經(jīng)發(fā)表或撰寫過的作品成果。龍老師的高尚風(fēng)格與一絲不茍的行為規(guī)范，永遠(yuǎn)是我做學(xué)生的楷模。 參考文獻(xiàn) [1] 張磊等 ， 房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格分析及對策研究 [J].經(jīng)濟(jì)體制改革， 2021:178190. [2] 報(bào)刊：《中國房地產(chǎn)報(bào)》 [N].2021,(2). [3] 中國房地產(chǎn)協(xié)會(huì)《住房房地產(chǎn)定價(jià)策略》 [M]，中國城市出版社。從婁底房地產(chǎn)現(xiàn)狀，我們可以推出其未來的房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格發(fā)展的趨 勢：出現(xiàn)兩種房價(jià)，一部分是以城市低收入群體為主的經(jīng)濟(jì)適 用房，是政府部門為穩(wěn)定社會(huì)和百姓安居樂業(yè)而設(shè)定的 。 婁底市 2021至 2021年商品住房 房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格與商品放交易 價(jià)格 對比， “見圖 2” 。 從表中我們也能看出，婁底市房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格增長率比較高，高于長沙市，近兩年與長沙市幾乎持平分別為 %和 12%， 這就說明婁底市房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格增長速度過快，高于省會(huì)城市房價(jià)增長速度。 兩市 2021 年至 2021 年每兩年為一區(qū)間商品住宅均價(jià)的比較 ： “ 見表 6” 表 6 婁底與長沙 2021 年至 2021 年住宅房產(chǎn) 平均 價(jià)格比 較 （單位：元 /平方米） 市區(qū)、年份 2021 2021 2021 2021 2021 婁底 500 600 1200 1800 2400 長沙 1802 2203 2991 3975 4987 從表 中不難看出長沙市房價(jià)水平遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)高于 婁底，究其原因主要有 以下兩 點(diǎn)： 1） 人居環(huán)境 因素 [8]：與婁底市相比，長沙市在人居環(huán)境上具有無可比擬的優(yōu)勢 。而房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)，在 2021 年婁底市政府加大招商引資的力度后，全市房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資 億元，增長 %；婁底的房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格經(jīng)歷了 2021 年的穩(wěn)中有升的態(tài)勢后， 自 2021 年 以來 在外來開發(fā)商及優(yōu)秀房產(chǎn)代理機(jī)構(gòu)所帶來的超前開發(fā)理念與優(yōu)秀管理模式因素下，婁底房地產(chǎn)市場整體水平已經(jīng)全面提升。 4 婁底市房地產(chǎn) 價(jià)格 趨勢 分析 婁底市 在 2021年以前，由于婁底房地產(chǎn)業(yè)長期處于開發(fā)水平滯后和配套設(shè)施及環(huán)境跟不上的局面，造成房地產(chǎn)業(yè)不冷不熱的狀況，致使婁底市的房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格一直無法走高 。 2021年到 2021年其施工面積、竣工面積、銷售面積年平均增長 %、 %、28%，其中竣工面積年均增長最快，銷售面積只是其一半左右，年均增長在三項(xiàng)指標(biāo)中最慢。 根據(jù)當(dāng)前市場狀況 來看， 重點(diǎn)應(yīng)該是促進(jìn)消費(fèi) ： 一是建議落實(shí)好行政事業(yè)單位職工住房補(bǔ)貼政策。 婁底房地產(chǎn)的價(jià)格現(xiàn)狀 由于經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)看好，人居環(huán)境的不斷改善，婁底市房地產(chǎn)市場快速發(fā)展，房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格飛速上漲，普通商品住宅均價(jià)從 2021 年的 695 元 /平方米上漲到 2021 年上半年的 1800 元 /平方米，乃 至現(xiàn)在的 2500 元 /平方米。 圖 1 2021 年至 2021 年婁底 城區(qū) 商品房 交易 均價(jià)和住宅均價(jià)對比 3 婁底市房地產(chǎn)價(jià)格 現(xiàn)狀 與供求狀況 分析 隨著婁底市房產(chǎn)稅的開征，使房產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策進(jìn)一步健全和完善，覆蓋了住房消費(fèi)的購買、信貸、持有等各個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)，政策的接力作用和疊加效果將明顯影響以后的房地產(chǎn)市場交易。 預(yù)測步驟（ 3）選擇預(yù)測方法，選擇的是定量預(yù)測法 — 時(shí)間序列預(yù)測法 — 中短期趨勢法，不用定性預(yù)測法是為了避免被人的主觀判斷所左右。 “預(yù)測 [6]是對未來房價(jià)發(fā)展趨勢的客觀表述，采用定量預(yù)測法中的時(shí)