【正文】 6學(xué)時(shí) 第七章 經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)應(yīng)用模型 9學(xué)時(shí) 第八章 擴(kuò)展的單方程計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型 6學(xué)時(shí) 第九章 時(shí)間序列計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型 6學(xué)時(shí) ? 期末復(fù)習(xí) 3學(xué)時(shí) ⑻ 課程成績(jī) 課堂表現(xiàn)： 20分 期末考核： 80分 ⒋ 關(guān)于學(xué)習(xí)方法的說(shuō)明 ⑴ 理論與應(yīng)用并重。計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)與經(jīng)濟(jì)統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)絕非一碼事；它也不同于我們所說(shuō)的一般經(jīng)濟(jì)理論，盡管經(jīng)濟(jì)理論大部分具有一定的數(shù)量特征；計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)也不應(yīng)視為數(shù)學(xué)應(yīng)用于經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的同義語(yǔ)。 薩繆爾森（ ） ：“第二次大戰(zhàn)后的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)是計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的時(shí)代”。 △ 經(jīng)濟(jì)數(shù)學(xué)模型：利用數(shù)學(xué)方法描述經(jīng)濟(jì)活動(dòng)。 ? 狹義計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ，也就是我們通常所說(shuō)的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)，以揭示經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象中的因果關(guān)系為目的，在數(shù)學(xué)上主要應(yīng)用回歸分析方法。 △ 理論計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和應(yīng)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 理論計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 是以介紹、研究計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的理論與方法為主要內(nèi)容，側(cè)重于理論與方法的數(shù)學(xué)證明與推導(dǎo)，與數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)聯(lián)系極為密切。 △ 經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和非經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) （ Classical Econometrics）一般指 20世紀(jì) 70年代以前發(fā)展并廣泛應(yīng)用的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)。 ? 非經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 主要包括：微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、非參數(shù)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)、時(shí)間序列計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和動(dòng)態(tài)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)等。 △ 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和宏觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 于 2020年諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)公報(bào)中正式提出； ? 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 的內(nèi)容集中于“對(duì)個(gè)人和家庭的經(jīng)濟(jì)行為進(jìn)行經(jīng)驗(yàn)分析”； ? “ 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 的原材料是微觀數(shù)據(jù)”，微觀數(shù)據(jù)表現(xiàn)為截面數(shù)據(jù)和平行（ penal）數(shù)據(jù)； ? 赫克曼（ ）和麥克法登（ ） 對(duì) 微觀計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 作出原創(chuàng)性貢獻(xiàn)。 四、計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)是一門(mén)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)科 △ 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的定義看 △ 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)在西方國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)科中的地位看 △ 從計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)與數(shù)理統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)的區(qū)別看 △ 從建立與應(yīng)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)模型的全過(guò)程看 △ 從諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)看 △ 諾貝爾經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)獎(jiǎng)與計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 55位獲獎(jiǎng)?wù)咧?10位直接因?yàn)閷?duì)計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)而獲獎(jiǎng) 1969 R. Frish J. Tinbergen 1973 W. Leotief 1980 L. R. Klein 1984 R. Stone 1989 T. Haavelmo 2020 J. J. Heckman D. L. McFadden 2020 R. F. Engle C. W. J. Granger ? 近 20位擔(dān)任過(guò)世界計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)會(huì)會(huì)長(zhǎng) ? 30余位左右在獲獎(jiǎng)成果中應(yīng)用了計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) ? 獲獎(jiǎng)?wù)呙麊? 2020 Finn Kydland , Edward Prescott 2020 Robert F. Engle, Clive W. J. Granger 2020 Daniel Kahneman, Vernon L. Smith 2020 Gee A. Akerlof, A. Michael Spence, Joseph E. Stiglitz 2020 James J Heckman, Daniel L McFadden 1999 Robert A. Mundell 1998 Amartya Sen 1997 Robert C. Merton, Myron S. Scholes 1996 James A. Mirrlees, William Vickrey 1995 Robert E. Lucas Jr. 1994 John C. Harsanyi, John F. Nash Jr., Reinhard Selten 1993 Robert W. Fogel, Douglass C. North 1992 Gary S. Becker 1991 Ronald H. Coase 1990 Harry M. Markowitz, Merton H. Miller, William F. Sharpe 1989 Trygve Haavelmo 1988 Maurice Allais 1987 Robert M. Solow 1986 James M. Buchanan Jr. 1985 Franco Modigliani 1984 Richard Stone 1983 Gerard Debreu 1982 Gee J. Stigler 1981 James Tobin 1980 Lawrence R. Klein 1979 Theodore W. Schultz, Sir Arthur Lewis 1978 Herbert A. Simon 1977 Bertil Ohlin, James E. Meade 1976 Milton Friedman 1975 Leonid Vitaliyevich Kantorovich Tjalling C. Koopmans 1974 Gunnar Myrdal Friedrich August von Hayek 1973 Wassily Leontief 1972 John R. Hicks, Kenh J. Arrow 1971 Simon Kuzs 1970 Paul A. Samuelson 1969 Ragnar Frisch, Jan Tinbergen The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1969 for having developed and applied dynamic models for the analysis of economic processes Ragnar Frisch Norway Jan Tinbergen the etherlands The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1973 for the development of the inputoutput method and for its application to important economic problems Wassily Leontief USA The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1980 for the creation of econometric models and the application to the analysis of economic fluctuations and economic policies Lawrence R. Klein USA The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1984 for having made fundamental contributions to the development of systems of national accounts and hence greatly improved the basis for empirical economic analysis Richard Stone Great Britain The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 1989 for his clarification of the probability theory foundations of econometrics and his analyses of simultaneous economic structures Trygve Haavelmo Norway 經(jīng)典計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) 創(chuàng)立 建立第 1個(gè)應(yīng)用模型 建立概率論基礎(chǔ) 發(fā)展數(shù)據(jù)基礎(chǔ) 發(fā)展應(yīng)用模型 Tinbergen Frisch Haavelmo Stone Klein 建立投入產(chǎn)出模型 Leontief The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2020 for his development of theory and methods for analyzing selective samples” James J Heckman USA The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences inMemory of Alfred Nobel 2020 for his development of theory and methods for analyzing discrete choice Daniel L McFadden USA The Bank of Sweden Prize in Economic Sciences inMemory of Alfred Nobel 2020 for methods of analyzing economic time series