【正文】
– 通貨膨脹風(fēng)險(xiǎn) – 國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況 ? 系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)與非系統(tǒng)風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 2021/6/15 證券投資學(xué) 收益和風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的例子 ? 一支股票,現(xiàn)價(jià) 100元 /股,預(yù)期在接下來(lái)的一年中的紅利為 4元,一年后的價(jià)格預(yù)期為下表所示,無(wú)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)利率為 6% ? state of the economy probability ending price HPR ? boom 140元 44% ? normal growth 110元 14% ? recession 80元 16% 2021/6/15 證券投資學(xué) 2. 證券投資收益的度量 ? 持有期收益率 HPR(holding period return) – HPR – HPR provides a useful device for simplifying the plex reality of investment analysis. Although no panacea, it allows an analyst to focus on the most relevant horizon in a given situation and offers a good measure of performance over such a period. 2