【正文】 況，找出兩者之間的產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)性，針對(duì)常州現(xiàn)有物流資源與不同制造業(yè)之間的協(xié)調(diào)互動(dòng)問(wèn)題尋求實(shí)現(xiàn)路徑，并對(duì)此現(xiàn)狀提出一些政策性建議，以期能夠使得兩業(yè)相互促進(jìn)、共同成長(zhǎng)，引導(dǎo)常州制造企業(yè)物流的逐步分離和外包，提升制造業(yè)的核心競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力，實(shí)現(xiàn)產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型并且能夠促進(jìn)物流企業(yè)功能整合和業(yè)務(wù)延伸，促進(jìn)物流業(yè)的發(fā)展，從而共同促進(jìn)常州經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展。但據(jù)調(diào)查顯示，常州制造業(yè)企業(yè)的自營(yíng)物流并沒(méi)有給制造業(yè)帶來(lái)很多便利，其原因是運(yùn)作成本高、信息的準(zhǔn)確及時(shí)性較差、作業(yè)速度慢等等，這不僅使得物流運(yùn)作效率低下，而且增加了產(chǎn)品的成本。在長(zhǎng)江三角洲地區(qū)，江蘇省的制造業(yè)區(qū)域最為集中，它的發(fā)展極大地促進(jìn)了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)，而在江蘇省國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的穩(wěn)定發(fā)展中，常州承有一席之地。在某項(xiàng)調(diào)查中顯示，制造業(yè)企業(yè)的所有物流活動(dòng)中，企業(yè)全部自己承擔(dān)的占26%，%，%。如今，物流業(yè)作為第三產(chǎn)業(yè)，為其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展做了很好的支撐作用，是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的動(dòng)力和基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè)，能夠促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整，成為衡量一個(gè)國(guó)家現(xiàn)代化程度和綜合國(guó)力的重要標(biāo)志[4]。s , the industry is in a transition phase in Changzhou ,it is a critical period of development of the logistics industry and manufacturing , so it is very important for the economic development of Changzhou to handle the relationship between the two . Given that most articles for Changzhou logistics and manufacturing development of relations is only at the level of qualitative analysis , Based on the quantitative analysis and Statistical Yearbook 20082013 and 2012 input output table to extend , this article introduces the research background, significance and relevance of theoretical research, especially put out the inputoutput analysis method, and then lists Changzhou manufacturing panies which consume logistics largely and logistics panies rely on manufacturing largely the direct consumption coefficient and plete consumption coefficient,this article indicates Changzhou logistics and manufacturing development condition recently,analyzes the relationship between consumption coefficients of these major departments, obtains the degree of dependence between , with the industry related indicators ,such as influence and sensitivity coefficient, it analyze intensity and stimulating of Changzhou logistics industry and the manufacturing sector to identify the problems, and finally make feasible remendations. The results showed that: in recent years,Changzhou logistics and manufacturing sectors are in the rapid development , but the degree of development of the logistics industry is not good,the dependence on manufacturing logistics is greater than manufacturing logistics industry 。上述研究結(jié)果表明常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的互動(dòng)發(fā)展程度還不是很密切，有待進(jìn)一步發(fā)展。鑒于大多數(shù)文章對(duì)常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)發(fā)展關(guān)系只是處于定性分析的層面，本文基于常州2008—2013年統(tǒng)計(jì)年鑒和2012年投入—產(chǎn)出延長(zhǎng)表，在定量分析的基礎(chǔ)上，首先介紹了研究背景、意義和相關(guān)理論研究，并且著重介紹了投入產(chǎn)出分析方法，然后單獨(dú)列出了常州對(duì)物流消耗較大的制造企業(yè)與對(duì)制造業(yè)依賴較大的物流企業(yè)，運(yùn)用直接消耗系數(shù)和完全消耗系數(shù)，表明常州近幾年常州物流業(yè)和制造業(yè)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，分析了這些主要部門之間的相互消耗系數(shù)，得出了它們之間的依賴程度，進(jìn)一步地，運(yùn)用影響力系數(shù)和感應(yīng)度系數(shù)等產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)指標(biāo)分析了常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的感應(yīng)程度和拉動(dòng)力度，找出存在的問(wèn)題，最后提出可行性建議。 畢 業(yè) 論 文題目： 常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)成長(zhǎng)互動(dòng)關(guān)系分析 摘 要制造業(yè)是我國(guó)的主導(dǎo)產(chǎn)業(yè)，屬于國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的第二產(chǎn)業(yè)，物流業(yè)作為生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)，屬于國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的第三產(chǎn)業(yè)，物流業(yè)可以為制造業(yè)提供生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)，在很大程度上影響著制造業(yè)的發(fā)展，而制造業(yè)也為物流業(yè)的發(fā)展提供技術(shù)和設(shè)施上的支持，所以兩者相互促進(jìn)、共同發(fā)展，是促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)健康、快速發(fā)展的必要條件。目前，常州正處于產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型階段，是物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)發(fā)展的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期，所以處理好兩者的關(guān)系對(duì)常州經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展具有十分重大意義。結(jié)果表明：常州物流業(yè)和制造業(yè)近幾年發(fā)展迅速，但物流業(yè)發(fā)展程度還不是很高，物流業(yè)對(duì)制造業(yè)的依賴大于制造業(yè)對(duì)物流業(yè)的依賴程度；由感應(yīng)度系數(shù)和影響力系數(shù)表明，常州制造業(yè)對(duì)物流業(yè)的拉動(dòng)作用大于物流業(yè)對(duì)制造業(yè)的促進(jìn)作用。關(guān)鍵詞：物流業(yè) 制造業(yè) 投入產(chǎn)出分析Interaction analysis of the logistics industry and manufacturing growthAbstract Manufacturing is the leading industry in our country , belonging to the national economy of the secondary industry , the logistics industry as producer services , which belongs to the national economy of the tertiary industry , the logistics industry can provide production services for the manufacturing industry , largely affecting manufacturing development, and manufacturing technologies and facilities also provide support for the development of the logistics industry , so the two mutual promotion and mon development , is a necessary condition to promote the healthy and rapid development of China39。 the sensitivity coefficient and influence factor showed that the effect of Changzhou manufacturing stimulating the logistics industry is larger than the promotion of the logistics industry to the manufacturing sector . These results indicate that the interaction of development of the logistics industry and manufacturing is not very close in Changzhou , which needs further developments. Key words: Logistics industry inputoutput analysis IV目 錄一、緒論 1 （一）研究的背景和意義 1 （二）研究方法與內(nèi)容 2二、物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)相關(guān)理論研究 3 （一）物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的相關(guān)概念 3 （二）物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的相互關(guān)系 3 （三）物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的相關(guān)理論 3 （四）總結(jié) 4三、投入產(chǎn)出方法的基本理論介紹 6 （一）投入產(chǎn)出分析法的起源與發(fā)展 6 （二）投入產(chǎn)出分析法的結(jié)構(gòu)概述 6 （三）投入產(chǎn)出分析法的主要參數(shù) 8四、常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)成長(zhǎng)互動(dòng)關(guān)系分析 9 （一）常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀 10 （二）物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)的直接消耗系數(shù) 12 （三）主要物流業(yè)部門對(duì)制造業(yè)的直接消耗系數(shù) 14 （四）主要制造業(yè)部門對(duì)物流業(yè)的直接消耗系數(shù) 15 （五）物流業(yè)各部門對(duì)八大制造業(yè)的完全消耗系數(shù) 16 （六）八大制造業(yè)對(duì)物流業(yè)各部門的完全消耗系數(shù) 18 （七）物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)影響力系數(shù)和感應(yīng)度系數(shù)的分解 19五、結(jié)論與建議 21 （一）主要研究結(jié)論 21 （二）政策性建議 22【參考文獻(xiàn)】 26致謝： 274常州物流業(yè)與制造業(yè)成長(zhǎng)互動(dòng)關(guān)系分析一、緒論（一）研究的背景和意義1．研究背景制造業(yè)的發(fā)展直接體現(xiàn)了一個(gè)國(guó)家的生產(chǎn)力發(fā)展水平，是區(qū)別發(fā)展中國(guó)家和發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家的重要因素，所以發(fā)展好制造業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展具有重大推動(dòng)作用。目前，我國(guó)制造業(yè)發(fā)展迅速，服務(wù)化、數(shù)據(jù)化、信息化程度正在提高，但與此同時(shí)，制造業(yè)物流的發(fā)展并不完善，不能為