【正文】 C) $7500． D) $7500(. loss of $7500)． 在你的項(xiàng)目?jī)?nèi)有如下信息： 50%的概率獲得 40000美元， 50%的概率損失 25000美元。你應(yīng)該進(jìn)行一個(gè) ______?，F(xiàn)在，當(dāng)你完成了項(xiàng)目的 75%時(shí)，你注意到你的應(yīng)急儲(chǔ)備金降到了 20200 美元。 A) 告訴你的項(xiàng)目干系人，你是風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理專家，這里不需要執(zhí)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性分析，團(tuán)隊(duì)可以直接進(jìn)人風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定量分析階段，這可以節(jié)省項(xiàng)目時(shí)問(wèn) B) 同意你項(xiàng)目干系人的觀點(diǎn)，不做風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性分析意味著一些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)仍然未被識(shí)別，這會(huì)增大項(xiàng)目未來(lái)失敗的概率 C) 告訴你的項(xiàng)目干系人，根據(jù)你過(guò)去的經(jīng)驗(yàn)，風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性分析通常是浪費(fèi)時(shí)間，這個(gè)項(xiàng)目不需要進(jìn)行 D) 告訴你的項(xiàng)目干系人，對(duì)這種類型的項(xiàng)目．風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性分析不是必要的。你的項(xiàng)目干系人警告你，這是一個(gè)優(yōu)先級(jí)比較高的項(xiàng)目，最好在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別后開(kāi)始風(fēng)險(xiǎn)定性 分析。你的項(xiàng)目已經(jīng)落后進(jìn)度，你在通過(guò)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別過(guò)程來(lái)識(shí)別哪個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)會(huì)對(duì)你的項(xiàng)目造成影響。如果在你執(zhí)行這些步驟后，仍然有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)存在，則這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)被稱為 ______。 A) 接受這個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn) B) 執(zhí)行附加的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)規(guī)劃來(lái) 控制這個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn) C) 通知項(xiàng)目干系人 D) 使用項(xiàng)目應(yīng)急儲(chǔ)備 27． In your project， you have identifed important risks， and planned appropriate responses to the risks． Some risks . possibility of natural disasters has been documented and accepted in your risk management plan． If there are risks that remain after you have taken these steps， then such risks are called______． A) unidentifiable risks B) residual risks C) secondary risks D) accepted risks 在你的項(xiàng)目中，你識(shí)別了重要的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)，并且規(guī)劃了合適的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)計(jì)劃。 A) 不恰當(dāng)?shù)捻?xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理 (因?yàn)檫@會(huì)對(duì)項(xiàng)目范圍產(chǎn)生直接影響 ) B) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回避 C) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)緩解 D) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)轉(zhuǎn)移 26． While implementing your project， a team member brings to your notice a risk that was not mentioned in the risk response plan． In this case， you should______． A) accept the risk B) perform additional risk response planning to control the risk C) inform the project sponsor D) use project contingency 在你的項(xiàng)目實(shí)施過(guò)程中，一個(gè)團(tuán)隊(duì)成員提醒你注意，一個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)沒(méi)有在風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)計(jì)劃中提起。當(dāng)你展示規(guī)劃風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)給你的項(xiàng)目干系人看時(shí)，她不滿意并建議減小項(xiàng)目范圍。 25． In risk response planning， you are in the process of developing options， and determining actions to reduce threats to your project39。 C) 召開(kāi)規(guī)劃會(huì)議編寫(xiě)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理計(jì)劃?？赡艿南乱徊绞?? A) 在總體項(xiàng)目和詳細(xì)范圍層次上對(duì)項(xiàng)目計(jì)劃和假設(shè)進(jìn)行一個(gè)結(jié)構(gòu)化的評(píng)估。你應(yīng)該將這些信息記錄在 ______中。 D) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)標(biāo)識(shí)。 B) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)計(jì)劃。小組還確定了可能需要的應(yīng)急儲(chǔ)備的范圍。ve managed successfully in the past． The team had determined that the probability of achieving project objectives is 94%． The team has determined the size of contingency reserves that may be needed． These determinations are included in which process? A) Qualitative risk analysis． B) Plan risk responses． C) Quantitative risk analysis． D) Risk identification． 項(xiàng)目小組 A受雇管理一個(gè)運(yùn)輸項(xiàng)目，該項(xiàng)目與他們以前成功管理過(guò)的許多項(xiàng)目相似。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)規(guī)劃對(duì)此有幫助，因?yàn)樗?______。下列都是關(guān)于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)接受度的不同分類，除了 ______。 A) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)回避 B) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)轉(zhuǎn)移 C) 積極的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)接受 D) 不恰當(dāng)?shù)娘L(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)劃，因?yàn)樗械娘L(fēng)險(xiǎn)必須被識(shí)別并考慮 20． Utility function is a monly used technique to find out the tolerance of a project manager towards risk． Some project managers are more averse towards risk than others． All the following are different classifications of tolerance for risk EXCEPT______． A) risk averter B) risk seeker C) risk mitigator D) risk neutral 效用函數(shù)被廣泛用來(lái)研究項(xiàng)目經(jīng)理對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的接受度。由于你不能規(guī)劃出所有可能的事件，你設(shè)置了應(yīng)急儲(chǔ)備金，包括一定數(shù)目的時(shí)間、資源或資金用來(lái)應(yīng)對(duì)已知或未知的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。 D) 記錄下針對(duì)這些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的潛在應(yīng)對(duì)反應(yīng)。 B) 創(chuàng)建識(shí)別的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)列表。 A) 在產(chǎn)品的開(kāi)發(fā)中使用新技術(shù) B) 購(gòu)買(mǎi)保險(xiǎn) C) 消除引發(fā)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的原因 D) 如果成本超支，則接受一個(gè)較低的利潤(rùn) 18． As part of risk management process， you just created an overall risk ranking of the project， created list of prioritized risks，identified which risks need additional analysis and determined trends in risk analysis results． What should you do next? A) Analyze the effect of risk events and assign a numerical rating to those risks． B) Create a list of identified risks． C) Determine the fundamental conditions or events that may give rise to identified risk(root causes of risk)． D) Note down the list of potential responses to the risks． 作為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理過(guò)程的部分，你剛創(chuàng)建了項(xiàng)目全部風(fēng)險(xiǎn)順序，創(chuàng)建了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)優(yōu)先列表，識(shí)別了哪些風(fēng)險(xiǎn)需 要附加的分析并確定了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析結(jié)果的趨勢(shì)。以前這些項(xiàng)目是因?yàn)?“ 政治 ” 原因 (項(xiàng)目干系人的不同觀點(diǎn) )而被取消，這是一個(gè)關(guān)于 ______的例子。 15． A response to a risk that was not defined in advance of its occurrence is called a______． A) risk mitigation response B) workaround response C) corrective action response D) contingency response 對(duì)一項(xiàng)在發(fā)生之前未界定的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)事件作出響應(yīng)稱為 ______。 C) 執(zhí)行階段。 A) 決策樹(shù)模型 B) 蒙特卡洛分析 C) 敏感性分析 D) 效用分析 /效用函數(shù) 14． when is the greatest difference between risks or opportunities and investment at stake? A) Conception． B) Development． C) Implementation． D) Closure． 什么階段項(xiàng)目的機(jī)會(huì)或風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和投資的差距最大 ? A) 啟動(dòng)、概念階段。 A) 項(xiàng)目檔案 B) 商業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù) C) 項(xiàng)目小組知識(shí) D) 經(jīng)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù) 13． An individual39。 D) 當(dāng)應(yīng)用在定量風(fēng)險(xiǎn)分析中時(shí)，統(tǒng)計(jì)方法被認(rèn)為過(guò)于理論化。 B) 經(jīng)理們有時(shí)依賴計(jì)算機(jī)產(chǎn)生的詳細(xì)的、給人印象深刻的但是不準(zhǔn)確的結(jié)果．這會(huì)給決策造成困難。 10． All the following are purposes of project risk management EXCEPT______． A) identifying factors that are likely to affect the project scope． quality， time and cost B) developing response strategies for all identified risks C) providing a baseline for project factors that cannot be controlled D) mitigating impacts by influencing project factors that can be controlled 下列所有各項(xiàng)都是項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的目的，除了 ______。 C) 51你項(xiàng)目的預(yù)期利潤(rùn)是多少美元 ? A) 40000。 and risk planning C) identify risks， risk mitigation， and risk management D) identify risks， risk elimination， and risk mitigation 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理活動(dòng)適當(dāng)?shù)捻樞蚴?______。 A) 回避 B) 接受 C) 緩解 D) 拒絕 7． Risk identification outputs include the following except______． A) decision trees B) inputs to other processes C) risk symptoms D) potential risk events 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別的輸出包括下列各項(xiàng)，除了 ______。 A) 更新項(xiàng)目計(jì)劃 B) 執(zhí)行一個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn) /收益分析 C) 執(zhí)行一個(gè)需求分析 D) 增加項(xiàng)目的預(yù)算成本 5． The most crucial time for project risk assessment is______． A) when a problem surfaces B) during the planning phase C) during the closeout phase D) after the project schedule has been published 進(jìn)行項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估最關(guān)鍵的時(shí)候是 ______。 A) 告訴公眾已安排進(jìn)行一次詳細(xì)的檢查來(lái)確定問(wèn)題的程度 B) 什么也不做，因?yàn)槌藢?duì)小孩和老人有點(diǎn)影響外， 引發(fā)疾病的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是極其低的 C) 告訴公眾飲這樣的水是沒(méi)有問(wèn)題的，但小孩和老人需要把水燒開(kāi)后再飲用 D) 教育公眾水處理技術(shù)的發(fā)展和工業(yè)效用以及安全記錄 3． Risk response development is intended to______． A) create steps to identify project risks B) formulate strategies for dealing with adverse events C) construct a list of previous project risks D) develop measurements to quantify project risks 制定風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)計(jì)劃的目的是 ______。例行的檢查發(fā)現(xiàn)水中含有污染物，但引起疾病的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是極低的。 第 9 章 項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理 習(xí)題 9 1． Developing alternative activity sequence is an example of______． A) risk transfer B) risk aversion C) risk identification D) contingency planning 制定備選的活動(dòng)順序是 ______的例子。 A) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)轉(zhuǎn)移 B) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)規(guī)避 C) 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)識(shí)別 D) 應(yīng)急計(jì)劃