【正文】
圖 1 198 2 年數(shù)據(jù)散點圖 ( 5p an e l 01a gr ap h 01 ) 圖 2 1988 年數(shù)據(jù)散點圖 (5p an e l 01a gr ap h 07 ) 1 .01 .52 .02 .53 .03 .54 .04 .50 .0 0 .4 0 .8 1 .2 1 .6 2 .0 2 .4 2 .8B E E R 8 2VFR82V F R 8 2 v s . B E E R 8 21 . 21 . 62 . 02 . 42 . 83 . 23 . 60 . 0 0 . 4 0 . 8 1 . 2 1 . 6 2 . 0 2 . 4B E E R 8 8VFR88V F R 8 8 v s . B E E R 8 8四、 stata軟件簡介 ? STATA軟件估計與應用: ? 打開數(shù)據(jù)庫: ? use E:\Program Files\ \Stata10\東部 .dta“ ? 或者重新輸入數(shù)據(jù): edit ? 相關系數(shù): cor gdp invest edu sci health ? 簡單回歸: regress gdp invest culture sci ? 無常數(shù): regress gdp invest culture sci,noconstant 估計結(jié)果 _ c o n s 5 . 3 9 2 9 4 3 . 4 4 2 0 5 1 9 1 2 . 2 0 0 . 0 0 0 4 . 5 2 2 7 0 7 6 . 2 6 3 1 7 9 s c i . 5 5 7 0 0 5 7 . 0 5 1 0 0 0 7 1 0 . 9 2 0 . 0 0 0 . 4 5 6 6 0 4 4 . 6 5 7 4 0 7 1 c u l t u r e . 7 1 6 3 3 0 8 . 0 6 1 3 7 4 1 1 1 . 6 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 5 9 5 5 0 8 . 8 3 7 1 5 3 6 i n v e s t . 1 6 0 1 2 0 6 . 0 4 9 1 0 8 7 3 . 2 6 0 . 0 0 1 . 2 5 6 7 9 7 4 . 0 6 3 4 4 3 8 g d p C o e f . S t d . E r r . t P | t | [ 9 5 % C o n f . I n t e r v a l ] T o t a l 3 2 1 . 6 4 4 9 0 4 2 7 8 1 . 1 5 6 9 9 6 0 6 R o o t M S E = . 4 0 0 6 9 A d j R s q u a r e d = 0 . 8 6 1 2 R e s i d u a l 4 4 . 1 5 1 4 8 6 7 2 7 5 . 1 6 0 5 5 0 8 6 1 R s q u a r e d = 0 . 8 6 2 7 M o d e l 2 7 7 . 4 9 3 4 1 8 3 9 2 . 4 9 7 8 0 5 9 P r o b F = 0 . 0 0 0 0 F ( 3 , 2 7 5 ) = 5 7 6 . 1 3 S o u r c e S S d f M S N u m b e r o f o b s = 2 7 9回歸診斷: ? 是否存在異方差 : estat hettest ? 懷特檢驗: estat imtest,white ? 回歸信息檢驗: estat imtest ? 是否遺漏重要解釋變量: estat ovtest ? 擬合圖: rvfplot ? 單一變量的相關圖 : cprplot invest 畫圖 ? 菜單與命令結(jié)合 ? twoway (scatter gdp invest) ? twoway (scatter gdp invest||lfit gdp invest) 1416182010 11 12 13 14 15i n v e stgdp F i t t e d v a l u e s基本建設支出與 GDP的相關關系圖 1112131415edu1998 2022 2022 2022 2022tsh e n g = 1 / sh e n g = 1 6 / sh e n g = 3 1 sh e n g = 2 / sh e n g = 1 7sh e n g = 3 / sh e n g = 1 8 sh e n g = 4 / sh e n g = 1 9sh e n g = 5 / sh e n g = 2 0 sh e n g = 6 / sh e n g = 2 1sh e n g = 7 / sh e n g = 2 2 sh e n g = 8 / sh e n g = 2 3sh e n g = 9 / sh e n g = 2 4 sh e n g = 1 0 / sh e n g = 2 5sh e n g = 1 1 / sh e n g = 2 6 sh e n g = 1 2 / sh e n g = 2 7sh e n g = 1 3 / sh e n g = 2 8 sh e n g = 1 4 / sh e n g = 2 9sh e n g = 1 5 / sh e n g = 3 0各省教育支出的增長趨勢: 19982022 ? DurbinWatson 統(tǒng)計量 :estat dwatson ? 序列相關檢驗 : estat durbinalt ? 滯后階數(shù)選擇: estat durbinalt,lags(2) ? 條件異方差檢驗: estat archlm,lags(2) ? 可選變量的異方差檢驗: estat szroeter gdp invest culture sci 五、 Stata對面板數(shù)據(jù)模型的估計 F t e s t t h a t a l l u _ i = 0 : F ( 3 0 , 2 4 2 ) = 8 4 . 3 2 P r o b F = 0 . 0 0 0 0 r h o . 9 6 6 5 2 8 5 ( f r a c t i o n o f v a r i a n c e d u e t o u _ i ) s i g m a _ e . 1 0 9 6 8 1 6 6 s i g m a _ u . 5 8 9 3 9 1 3 3 _ c o n s 7 . 8 0 3 6 0 1 . 2 2 3 7 0 6 8 3 4 . 8 8 0 . 0 0 0 7 . 3 6 2 9 4 8 . 2 4 4 2 6 2 t e c h n o . 1 2 9 5 4 1 6 . 0 3 3 8 6 1 3 . 8 3 0 . 0 0 0 . 0 6 2 8 4 1 7 . 1 9 6 2 4 1 4 a d m i n . 1 3 3 8 1 2 5 . 0 4 1 0 7 4 6 3 . 2 6 0 . 0 0 1 . 0 5 2 9 0 3 2 . 2 1 4 7 2 1 8 h e a l t h . 5 8 5 0 1 3 5 . 0 6 3 0 5 7 9 . 2 8 0 . 0 0 0 . 4 6 0 8 0 2 8 . 7 0 9 2 2 4 2 s c i . 1 9 6 9 1 7 5 . 0 5 5 1 9 9 6 3 . 5 7 0 . 0 0 0 . 3 0 5 6 5 0 6 . 0 8 8 1 8 4 5 c u l t u r e . 0 6 4 9 1 9 8 . 0 3 4 3 6 4 5 1 . 8 9 0 . 0 6 0 . 0 0 2 7 7 1 9 . 1 3 2 6 1 1 5 i n v e s t . 0 3 4 5 7 7 5 . 0 2 5 1 0 0 5 1 . 3 8 0 . 1 7 0 . 0 1 4 8 6 5 8 . 0 8 4 0 2 0 8 g d p C o e f . S t d . E r r . t P | t | [ 9 5 % C o n f . I n t e r v a l ] c o r r ( u _ i , X b ) = 0 . 6 3 6 4 P r o b F = 0 . 0 0 0 0 F ( 6 , 2 4 2 ) = 4 3 5 . 1 2 o v e r a l l = 0 . 8 1 7 5 m a x = 9 b e t w e e n = 0 . 8 6 5 4 a v g = 9 . 0R s q : w i t h i n = 0 . 9 1 5 2 O b s p e r g r o u p : m i n = 9G r o u p v a r i a b l e : s h e n g N u m b e r o f g r o u p s = 3 1F i x e d e f f e c t s ( w i t h i n ) r e g r e s s i o n N u m b e r o f o b s = 2 7 9 r h o . 8 9 1 4 9 0 4 9 ( f r a c t i o n o f v a r i a n c e d u e t o u _ i ) s i g m a _ e . 1 0 9 6 8 1 6 6 s i g m a _ u . 3 1 4 3 8 2 5 9