【正文】 在達(dá)沃斯舉行的年度大會(huì)旨在對(duì)這類(lèi)信息予以強(qiáng)化。 在極端的高風(fēng)險(xiǎn)環(huán)境下工作需要對(duì)風(fēng) 險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行精心計(jì)算，這與次貸危機(jī)中的盲目行事是截然不同的，而次貸危機(jī)也是引爆金融危機(jī)的導(dǎo)火索。 重新梳理思路 對(duì)個(gè)人而言，和那些可以對(duì)自身遭遇的挫折和其他人的經(jīng)驗(yàn)進(jìn)行研究的人相比，很少人能有機(jī)會(huì)對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理進(jìn)行反思。在另一場(chǎng)會(huì)議上，摩根大通首席執(zhí)行官杰米 ” 董事們?cè)絹?lái)越多地被要求作為戰(zhàn)略顧問(wèn)而存在，在這樣的一個(gè)時(shí)代，如果董事 會(huì)更多的是形式上的而非實(shí)質(zhì)性的，更多的是名譽(yù)性的而非有實(shí)際成果的，那么這就是一個(gè)垂死的傳統(tǒng)體系。也可能產(chǎn)生另外一種情況，一位資深的董事會(huì)成員說(shuō)道： “最糟糕的情況就是管理層沒(méi)有大聲說(shuō)出意見(jiàn)。一直以來(lái)，董事會(huì)的工作重點(diǎn)是 “合規(guī)、控制及報(bào)酬， ”即符合監(jiān)管部門(mén)的規(guī)定和上市公司必須具備的各項(xiàng)要求。會(huì)上有各家企業(yè)總裁展開(kāi)對(duì)話和經(jīng)驗(yàn)交流，其中包括 Clayton, Dubilier amp。雖然針對(duì)飲用水收取象征性的費(fèi)用具有良好的經(jīng)濟(jì)意義，但是事實(shí)上，這種做法在公共衛(wèi)生方面是否具有意義仍是一個(gè)問(wèn)號(hào)。 依托這項(xiàng)計(jì)劃，世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇已建立了持續(xù)運(yùn)作的平臺(tái)，讓那些參與風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的人員更好地獲得詳細(xì)的數(shù)據(jù)、經(jīng)實(shí)踐證明有效的做法以及經(jīng)驗(yàn)豐富的參與者。 達(dá)沃斯論壇還推出了其他兩個(gè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)網(wǎng)絡(luò)計(jì)劃，旨在為國(guó)家、企業(yè)和非政府組織領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者提供更好的工具，來(lái)進(jìn)行風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估和災(zāi)難應(yīng)對(duì)。 作為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)應(yīng)對(duì)網(wǎng)絡(luò)計(jì)劃的一部分，已經(jīng)連續(xù)發(fā)布了六年的年度全球風(fēng)險(xiǎn)報(bào)告將繼續(xù)對(duì)全球風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行排名，這也是新建網(wǎng)絡(luò)的重要內(nèi)容之一 (沃頓商學(xué)院風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理與決策過(guò)程研究中心協(xié)同制定年度報(bào)告 )。當(dāng)今社會(huì)，風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的負(fù)面影響日益嚴(yán)重，而在他的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)下，日本政府將把重點(diǎn)放在一些政策上，這些政策不是為最大多數(shù)民眾帶來(lái) “最大的幸福 ”，而是 “將社會(huì)的不滿(mǎn)減少到最低程度 ”。很多人 “放言說(shuō)全球經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)已經(jīng)告終， ”他指出， “但是，情況顯然沒(méi)有那么簡(jiǎn)單。 ” 各國(guó)政府首腦也指出了不同的危機(jī)，以及仍然需要采取更多的措施來(lái)解決這些危機(jī)。 ” 同樣地，美國(guó)財(cái)政部長(zhǎng)蒂莫西 默克爾 (Angela Merkel)也表示要堅(jiān)決捍衛(wèi)歐元，稱(chēng)歐元是“現(xiàn)代歐洲的象征。 ”但是新的危機(jī)正在將我們引入新的深淵，他警告道，包括若干歐洲國(guó)家岌岌可危的主權(quán)債務(wù)以及對(duì)歐元前景的質(zhì)疑。 警鐘長(zhǎng)鳴 在出席達(dá)沃斯論壇的三十多位國(guó)家領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人當(dāng)中，有幾位領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人堅(jiān)決表示會(huì)動(dòng)用國(guó)家權(quán)力，以防止金融危機(jī)卷土重來(lái)。 然而，出席達(dá)沃斯論壇的國(guó)家和企業(yè)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)者普遍持有謹(jǐn)慎樂(lè)觀的態(tài)度，至少，他們?cè)诮?jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇方面采取的是正確的措施。 2020 年， 2,500位商界領(lǐng)導(dǎo)和政治人物出席了達(dá)沃斯世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇，論壇期間涌動(dòng)著宛如大病初愈后的謹(jǐn)慎復(fù)蘇的情緒。s efforts to provide better ways to anticipate, mitigate, and even prevent catastrophic risks from being the kinds of disasters that we have witnessed in the financial crisis, Haiti, the Gulf and beyond. 譯文 : 達(dá)沃斯報(bào)告：風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理幸存者的前車(chē)之鑒 今年，各國(guó)政府首腦、政界精英、企業(yè)總裁及各界名人齊聚瑞士達(dá)沃斯世界經(jīng)濟(jì)論壇，沃頓商學(xué)院管理學(xué)教授、沃頓領(lǐng)導(dǎo)力與變革管理中心主任邁克爾 a session with Chesley Sullenberger, the USAir pilot who safely landed his aircraft in the Hudson River after both engines failed。s improvement. Another director with extensive boardroom experience found that the one best question to ask of each director about the others is, If you were the only shareholder of the pany, would you want this person on the board? If well redesigned, pany boards can thus help their panies in a race to the top building longterm value and avoiding excessive shortterm risks rather than permitting a race to the bottom that had driven some panies into the cauldron of the crisis. In another session, JPMorgan Chase CEO James Dimon reported that his own board had played just such a role when the more recent European sovereign crises materialized. With billions of dollars of European exposure and shortterm losses likely, his board had advised against pulling back. Let39。 Kevin Kelly, CEO, Heidrick amp。t charge, evidently because even a small cost led survivors to use less water in personal hygiene and food preparation. While charging a nominal amount for potable water made good economic sense, the experience here called into question whether it made public health sense. Redesigning the Board The governing board is potentially one of the most pivotal places for the introduction of risk management practices in the view of those attending an annualmeeting session on Redesigning the Board. Chaired by Berkeley professor Laura D39。s principle of creating the greatest happiness for the greatest number. In an era in which the downsides of risk have bee more severe, he said that the Japanese government under his leadership, by contrast, would stress policies that generate not the greatest happiness but rather a society with the least unhappiness for the greatest number. Building a Learning Network Given the global financial crisis and the devastating events in Haiti and the Gulf, it came as no surprise that the World Economic Forum, under the continuing leadership of founder Klaus Schwab, turned the spotlight at this year39。原文 : Report from Davos: Risk Management Survivors Offer Cautionary Tales Wharton management professor Michael Useem joined heads of state, politicians, CEOs, ce