0105103專家支持度及其在群決策中的應(yīng)用-資料下載頁
2025-06-28 06:45本頁面
【正文】 的決策。利用專家支持度得到的群決策結(jié)果更具說服力。4 結(jié)論如何有效集結(jié)專家組中個(gè)體專家的決策結(jié)果，從而得到合理、可靠的群決策結(jié)果，是群組決策的關(guān)鍵問題。本文針對(duì)群決策中結(jié)果合成方法中存在的問題，提出了專家支持度的概念。通過抽取體現(xiàn)專家知識(shí)結(jié)構(gòu)、判斷水平及經(jīng)驗(yàn)的評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)對(duì)專家進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià)，從一個(gè)比較客觀的角度，定量地得到體現(xiàn)專家評(píng)價(jià)水平的權(quán)重，即專家支持度。利用專家支持度來集結(jié)個(gè)體專家的決策結(jié)果，提高了群決策結(jié)果的可靠性及合理性。參考文獻(xiàn)1 :電子工業(yè)出版社,1991:2662982 徐南榮,1995:2212303 ,1989(1):6671,584 ,1994(6):30385 ,1993(5):38426 ,1998,16(4):6975The Expert Supporting Degree and Its Application in Group DecisionmakingRong Lili Xin Yang(Institute of System Engineering, Dalian University of Technology, 116023)Abstract The key of scientific decisionmaking is to gain reliable group decisionmaking result based on each expert39。s result. The conception of expert supporting degree is proposed in this paper in pursuing the expert group decision result and the expert39。s personal decision result is obtained by AHP. This method improves the reliability and reasonability of group decision result.Keywords Expert supporting degree Group decisionmaking AHP112 / 6
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