【導(dǎo)讀】一種具有獨(dú)特花紋的編織籃子以前只在史前村莊Palea的臨近地區(qū)發(fā)現(xiàn)過(guò)，因而被認(rèn)為是Palea居民所獨(dú)有的。然而最近，考古學(xué)家在一個(gè)與Palea隔著一。所以古代Palea人只能坐船穿過(guò)它，但并沒(méi)有發(fā)現(xiàn)Palea人使用的船只。寫(xiě)一篇response，在文章中，請(qǐng)你列舉出評(píng)價(jià)此篇Argu所需的具體論據(jù)，并解釋這些論據(jù)是如何強(qiáng)化或是削弱此篇Argu的說(shuō)服力的。

　　

【正文】 r population may just result from the poaching of hunters. Or, probably, the sudden declining is a normal natural phenomenon which will occur every once in a period for Arctic deer and then the number of deer will revive again. 2. The author concludes that it is the sea ice melting caused by globe warming according to reports, which prohibits the deer from migrating across the ice for searching for food, that results in the deer population reduction. However, the causal relationship between the globe warming and population reduction of the Arctic deer is unwarranted although they seem to emerge at the same time. We cannot exclude the possibility that some plant for food by Arctic deer decreases or contagion of pandemic disease caused by the globe warming, which also would likely lead to reduction of deer population. (同時(shí)發(fā)生的事不一定有因果關(guān)系 ) 3. Finally, there is no evidence provided by the author to prove the conclusion about Arctic deer?s life habit that they search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of the year is precise. Also, we cannot assure whether the ageold migration patterns across the frozen sea remains unchanged during the extended era of time and lasts to nowadays. 7. The following is a remendation from the Board of Directors of Monarch Books. We remend that Monarch Books open a caf233。 in its store. Monarch, having been in business at the same location for more than twenty years, has a large customer base because it is known for its wide selection of books on all subjects. Clearly, opening the caf233。 would attract more customers. Space could be made for the caf233。 by discontinuing the children?s book section, which will probably bee less popular given that the most recent national census indicated a significant decline in the percentage of the population under age ten. Opening a caf233。 will allow Monarch to attract more customers and better pete with Regal Books, which recently opened its own caf233。. Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the remendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the remendation. 題目翻譯： 以下內(nèi)容摘自 Monarch Books 董事會(huì)的一份提案。 我們提議，在 Monarch Books 店里開(kāi)設(shè)一個(gè)咖啡廳。 Monarch 已經(jīng)在它的店址上經(jīng)營(yíng)了 20 余年，由于其對(duì)于各類(lèi)型圖書(shū)選擇的廣泛性而廣為人知，并擁有龐大的消費(fèi)者群體。開(kāi)設(shè)咖啡廳顯然能吸引更多的顧客。咖啡廳的空間可以通過(guò)撤銷(xiāo)兒童書(shū)籍的柜臺(tái)來(lái)獲得，由于最近的一次全國(guó)調(diào)查顯示 10 歲以下兒童在總?cè)丝谥兴嫉谋壤龑@著下降，因而兒童書(shū)籍很可能將不再好賣(mài)。 開(kāi)設(shè)咖啡廳可以吸引更多的顧客并更好和 Regal 書(shū)店展開(kāi)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)，后者最近剛開(kāi)設(shè)了咖啡廳。 撰寫(xiě) 一篇 response，在文章中，你需要指出，為了確定上文中的建議能否如同預(yù)期，哪些問(wèn)題是必須搞清楚的。請(qǐng)?jiān)敿?xì)闡述這些問(wèn)題的答案對(duì)于評(píng)估上文提出的建議有何作用。 提綱： 1. First of all, the author provides evidence that the most recent national census indicated a significant decline in the percentage of the population under age ten, thus to conclude that by substituting the children?s book section for a caf233。 the Monarch would likely attract more customers and be more petitive ever. This is a questionable reasoning because of some critical question being vague. We may well ask that whether the number of children under age ten decreases with the reduction of percentage of the population under age ten. If the number of total population increases at a higher rate than that of children under age ten, the percentage of children will also reduce, while the absolute number of children would likely remain or even enhance. Moreover, even if the number of the children declines as the author? implication, which is, of course, unwarranted, it does not follow that the purchase in children?s book will decrease because we cannot rule out the possibility that the increase of cost in children?s book per family. Discontinuing children?s book might lead to be a counterproductive result because substituting caf233。 for children?s book will cut down the diversity of Monarch which is, as mentioned above, known for its wide selection of all subjects, thus reaching an opposite conclusion of less likely attracting customers. 2. The author makes an oversimplified analogy between Monarch and Regal. As we know, even though the substitution of the caf233。 for children?s book section may prove to effective in allowing Regal to attract more customers, there is no guarantee that it will just work as well for Monarch. Many factor should be taken into consideration. For example, is there any difference about the summary of business performance(經(jīng)營(yíng)狀況 ) between Monarch and Regal? The later may open a caf233。 because of suffering(不雙寫(xiě) ) from making losses in business. The residents around the area where Monarch locates less like coffee than ones around Regal. 69. The following appeared in a memo from a vice president of a large, highly diversified pany. “Ten years ago our pany had two new office buildings constructed as regional headquarters for two regions. The buildings were erected by different construction panies—Alpha and Zeta. Although the two buildings had identical floor plans, the building constructed by Zeta cost 30 percent more to build. However, that building?s expenses for maintenance last year were only half those of Alpha?s. In addition, the energy consumption of the Zeta building has been lower than that of the Alpha building every year since its construction. Given these data, plus the fact that Zeta has a stable workforce with little employee turnover, we remend using Zeta rather than Alpha for our new building project, even though Alpha?s bid promises lower construction costs. “Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the remendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the remendation.”。 題目翻譯： 下面摘自一個(gè)大型高度多元化的公司副總裁的備忘錄 10 年以前我們公司在兩個(gè)不同地區(qū)擁有兩座地方辦公建筑。它們由兩家建筑公司 Alpha 和 Zeta 分別建造。盡管兩座建筑的平面布局