【正文】 nds on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted. 題目翻譯： 以下內(nèi)容來自一位房主給朋友的一封信。在 Adams 銷售的房屋賣得也更快：十年前，我把我的房產(chǎn)交給 Fitch，它用了四個(gè)多月才賣出去；去年，我在 Adams 賣了另一處房產(chǎn)，僅用一個(gè)月就售出了 。如果這些假 提綱： a parison of the speed of estate sales between Adams and Fitch, the author? inference rest on a questionable assumption that the abilities of estate sales in both Adams and Fitch have remained unchangeable in the past ten year, namely, neither the Fitch have made any improvement which will result in a higher estate sale speed ten years later nor Adams have lagged behind a year later. However, there is no evidence provided to convince us of this assumption while the author just listed his or her home with Fitch ten years ago and Adams one year ago. More fact about the recent estate sale levels of both Adams and Fitch should presented in this argument to support author?s point. OR(the author makes an oversimplified analogy between the speed of estate sales in Adams and that in Fitch. In most instance, this is an unwarranted assumption for the simple reason that things rarely remain the same over extended periods of time. The implication that the recent estate sale speed of Adams is higher than that of Fitch by the author?s unpleasant home selling experience in Fitch ten years ago and satisfactory one in Adams a year ago cannot be accepted until the evidence that the latest survey result of estate sale levels about Fitch and Adams is provided. If Fitch have made a great improvement in the past ten years, of which possibility cannot be rules out, it is likely that the estate sale speed in Fitch overes that in Adams. Thus, more fact about the recent estate sale levels of both Adams and Fitch should presented in this argument to support author?s point. ) , the author infers that Adams is superior paring to Fitch by the facts that there are 40 real estate agents in Adams while only 25 agents, of whom many work merely parttime, mitting a hasty and inplete parison only in the aspect of the number of agents. We never believe that the more the agent number is, the higher the quality of real estate firms is. Even if most of the 25 agents in Fitch work only parttime, it is still likely the qualification and effectiveness of them precedes(be superior to) those of ones in Adams. , the figures presented in this argument are doubtful without more information about the conductor of the survey and how to take the survey. For example, We never know if the conductor take a side of Adams, or the scope of the survey is limited just in part of agents profitable in Adams while some agents that which make losses in Fitch. Moreover, the higher revenue in Adams is insufficient to denote a higher profit margins because the cost in Adams may be more than that in Fitch, even resulting in making losses in Adams. Additionally, the survey regarding average home sales( ) revealed only a small statistical relationship between Adams and Fitch, which is far from leading us to believe that. For instance, we cannot exclude the possibility that there are more luxury homes which are ,of course, at much higher prices in the average statistic in Adams than that in Fitch, bringing a higher statistical average than Fitch. So they are inparable unless the marketing positioning between Adams and Fitch are the same. following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette. On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island?s moped rental panies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville?s town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals. Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the remendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the remendation. 題目翻譯： 以下內(nèi)容出自給 Balmer 島公報(bào)某編輯的一份信。 撰寫一篇 response，在文章中，你需要指出，為了確定上文中的建議能否如同預(yù)期，哪些問題是必須搞清楚的。它們的棲居地局限在那些溫暖得足以維持它們所需的植物生長(zhǎng)，并且在一年的至少某些時(shí)候冷到足以讓?shí)u嶼間的海面結(jié)冰以使它們能夠在島嶼間旅行的地方。 提綱： 1. First of all, the reports from local hunters that the Arctic deer populations are declining lacks credibility in the absence of more details about the survey. For example, is the sample of asked hunters representative? How can we guarantee the accuracy of their opinion? If the hunters asked are just a few of ones who usually hunt in the area where Arctic deer is not adapted. Or the judgments of hunters about the reduction of deer are just incorrect because of their lack of scientific statistical methodology. Moreover, the reducing of the Arctic deer population may just result from the poaching of hunters. Or, probably, the sudden declining is a normal natural phenomenon which will occur every once in a period for Arctic deer and then the number of deer will revive again. 2. The author concludes that it is the sea ice melting caused by globe warming according to reports, which prohibits the deer from migrating across the ice for searching for food, that results in the deer population reduction. However, the causal relationship between the globe warming and population reduction of the Arctic deer is unwarranted although they seem to emerge at the same time. We cannot exclude the possibility that some plant for food by Arctic deer decreases or contagion of pandemic disease caused by the globe warming, which also would l