【正文】 s and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island?s moped rental panies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville?s town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals. Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the remendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the remendation. 題目翻譯： 以下內(nèi)容出自給 Balmer 島公報(bào)某編輯的一份信。 寫(xiě)一篇 response，在文章中，請(qǐng)審視在上文中已有或者還未陳述的一些假設(shè)。在 Adams 銷售的房屋賣得也更快：十年前，我把我的房產(chǎn)交給 Fitch，它用了四個(gè)多月才賣出去；去年，我在 Adams 賣了另一處房產(chǎn)，僅用一個(gè)月就售出了 。 Adams 有 40 名房地產(chǎn)經(jīng)紀(jì)人，而 Fitch 只有 25 個(gè)，且很多是兼職工作。 last year, when I sold another home, I listed it with Adams, and it took only one month. Thus, if you want to sell your home quickly and at a good price, you should use Adams Realty. Write a response in which you examine the stated and/or unstated assumptions of the argument. Be sure to explain how the argument depends on these assumptions and what the implications are for the argument if the assumptions prove unwarranted. 題目翻譯： 以下內(nèi)容來(lái)自一位房主給朋友的一封信。 提綱 : author reports Central Plaza store owners believe that the decrease in their business is due to the number of skateboard users in the plaza by making referencing to the poll of store owners there. But we are told nothing about how well it represent the public opinions and the way the poll was conducted. We may well ask what fraction of the whole Central Plaza store owners is the ones who are prone to attribute(/owe/ascribe) the decrease in their business to the number of skateboard users. Even if the number of store owners who plain about the skateboard users is large, it does not strengthen the author?s opinion under the circumstance of small proportion of those. Moreover, there is no more details provided about the way the poll conducted. The sample of the poll may not have been representative of all Central Plaza store owners, asking only those store owners confronting decrease in business. The poll could have asked the store owners with the prior implication of the statistic about decreasing in business while increasing in popularity of skateboarding, which might mislead the respondents? opinions. And also there is no evidence provided to prove the conductor of the poll is impartial, who must be without interest in Central Plaza stores and, of course, not a skateboard user . , while the number of shoppers in Central Plaza has been steadily decreasing at the same time when the popularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically, the concrete connection between the decrease in their business with the increase of the popularity of skateboarding is not effectively made. Many other factors could have cause the decrease in their business, such as financial depression, anachronistic goods, even the constitution of the popularity in this city. Lower ine might lead to less shopping in Central Plaza stores and more youngsters in Central Plaza would result in decreasing in purchase while still some outdated goods showed. author mits a fallacy of hasty generalization about the increase in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. In the first place, there is no evidence to support that the litter and vandalism should be ascribed to skateboard users, while we cannot rule out the possibility that the increase of audience watching the skateboarding show causes more litter and vandalism. Even if skateboard users are responsible for the increase of litter and vandalism(Even if the dramatic increase of the litter and vandalism have been proved as a result of increase of skateboarding), whether skateboarding deserves to be prohibited(單音節(jié)才會(huì)雙寫(xiě) ) or policies are enacted to regulate their acts is still questionable. It is likely the later will be more effective. prediction made by author that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels once the skateboarding is prohibited lacks credibility. This prohibition may lead to be counterproductive because the exclusion of skateboarding users necessarily decrease the number of people in Central Plaza who might be potential consumers of stores there, thus reaching an opposite conclusion of decreasing in business of stores.(反證法 ) As it stands, the conclusion of prohibition of skateboarding and thus prediction of increase of stores? business in Central Plaza fail to convince us(are invalid and misleading) in the absence of responses to some critical questions. Before we accept this conclusion, the author has to provide more information that… to solidify the argument, following appeared in a letter from a homeowner to a friend. Of the two leading real estate firms in our town—Adams Realty and Fitch Realty—Adams Realty is clearly superior. Adams has 40 real estate agents(代理人 )。 撰寫(xiě)一篇 response，并討論文中需要回答哪些問(wèn)題來(lái)決定所給建議可能會(huì)有預(yù)期的結(jié)果。鑒于此，我們提議，應(yīng)該在 廣場(chǎng) 中心地帶禁止滑板運(yùn)動(dòng)。許多 中央廣場(chǎng) 的店主們認(rèn)為，他們的生意日漸冷清是 廣場(chǎng) 玩滑板的人越來(lái)越多造成的。 提綱： sample of rhesus monkeys is too limited to sufficiently support the argument generally. The 18 rhesus monkeys might just include the monkeys that suffer from some disease which leads a higher hormone coritisol level than those normal siblings. And there is no evidence provided by the arguer to imply those 18 rhesus monkeys are wholesome. 2. Even if the study showed that in stimulating situations (such as an encounter with an unfamiliar monkey), firstborn infant monkeys produce up to twice as much of the hormone cortisol as do their younger siblings, we still cannot hastily reach the conclusion that birth order has e