【正文】 only in summer season may not reach the target of 50 percent reduction annually in moped accidents. Because if the accidents occur mainly in other seasons except summer, the limit policy will have little impacts. Finally, the author makes an oversimplified analogy between the Balmer Island and the Seavill Island. As we know, even though the limitation policy proved effective in reducing the moped accidents in Seavill Island, there is no guarantee that it will work just as well for Balmer Island. (錯誤類比 ) Many factors should be taken account of such as physical terrain, the density of population, the safety awareness of residents of the different areas. For example, if the residents in Balmer are less safety conscious than those in Seavill, the limitation will be plied worse in Balmer, which will lead to more moped accidents. Also we may ask that if the density of population of the two different areas are the same, which will contribute a lot to the moped accidents. (還可補充一 個反證法的段落 ) Before the conclusion that the town council should limit the moped rentals and the prediction of attaining 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents are reached, it is necessary to know some more details about the differences between Balmer and Seavill, such as physical terrain, the density of population, the safety awareness of residents of the different areas. deer live on islands in Canada?s arctic regions. They search for food by moving over ice from island to island during the course of the year. Their habitat is limited to areas warm enough to sustain the plants on which they feed and cold enough, at least some of the year, for the ice to cover the sea separating the islands, allowing the deer to travel over it. Unfortunately, according to reports from local hunters, the deer populations are declining. Since these reports coincide with recent global warming trends that have caused the sea ice to melt, we can conclude that the purported decline in deer populations is the result of the deer?s being unable to follow their ageold migration patterns across the frozen sea. Write a response in which you discuss what specific evidence is needed to evaluate the argument and explain how the evidence would weaken or strengthen the argument. 題目翻譯： 北極鹿生活在加拿大極地區(qū)域的島嶼上。 撰寫一篇 response，在文章中，你需要指出，為了確定上文中的建議能否如同預期，哪些問題是必須搞清楚的。 為減少由助力車和行人引發(fā)的事故， Balmer 島 市委應 把本島 助力 車出租公司 在夏季 的助力車出租數(shù)量從每天 50輛限制到每天 25輛。如果這些假 提綱： a parison of the speed of estate sales between Adams and Fitch, the author? inference rest on a questionable assumption that the abilities of estate sales in both Adams and Fitch have remained unchangeable in the past ten year, namely, neither the Fitch have made any improvement which will result in a higher estate sale speed ten years later nor Adams have lagged behind a year later. However, there is no evidence provided to convince us of this assumption while the author just listed his or her home with Fitch ten years ago and Adams one year ago. More fact about the recent estate sale levels of both Adams and Fitch should presented in this argument to support author?s point. OR(the author makes an oversimplified analogy between the speed of estate sales in Adams and that in Fitch. In most instance, this is an unwarranted assumption for the simple reason that things rarely remain the same over extended periods of time. The implication that the recent estate sale speed of Adams is higher than that of Fitch by the author?s unpleasant home selling experience in Fitch ten years ago and satisfactory one in Adams a year ago cannot be accepted until the evidence that the latest survey result of estate sale levels about Fitch and Adams is provided. If Fitch have made a great improvement in the past ten years, of which possibility cannot be rules out, it is likely that the estate sale speed in Fitch overes that in Adams. Thus, more fact about the recent estate sale levels of both Adams and Fitch should presented in this argument to support author?s point. ) , the author infers that Adams is superior paring to Fitch by the facts that there are 40 real estate agents in Adams while only 25 agents, of whom many work merely parttime, mitting a hasty and inplete parison only in the aspect of the number of agents. We never believe that the more the agent number is, the higher the quality of real estate firms is. Even if most of the 25 agents in Fitch work only parttime, it is still likely the qualification and effectiveness of them precedes(be superior to) those of ones in Adams. , the figures presented in this argument are doubtful without more information about the conductor of the survey and how to take the survey. For example, We never know if the conductor take a side of Adams, or the scope of the survey is limited just in part of agents profitable in Adams while some agents that which make losses in Fitch. Moreover, the higher revenue in Adams is insufficient to denote a higher profit margins because the cost in Adams may be more than that in Fitch, even resulting in making losses in Adams. Additionally, the survey regarding average home sales( ) revealed only a small statistical relationship between Adams and Fitch, which is far from leading us to believe that. For instance, we cannot exclude the possibility that there are more luxury homes which are ,of course, at much higher prices in the average statistic in Adams than that in Fitch, bringing a higher statistical average than Fitch. So they are inparable unless the marketing positioning between Adams and Fitch are the same. following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Balmer Island Gazette. On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving moped