影響我國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)過夜旅游者人數(shù)因素的計(jì)量分析(編輯修改稿)
2025-02-14 00:23 本頁(yè)面
【文章內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介】 fficientStd. ErrortStatisticProb. CX1X2Z5X6Rsquared Mean dependent varAdjusted Rsquared . dependent var. of regression Akaike info criterionSum squared resid Schwarz criterionLog likelihood FstatisticDurbinWatson stat Prob(Fstatistic)接下來(lái)是我們的模型檢驗(yàn)：1．經(jīng)濟(jì)意義的檢驗(yàn)由上表中各參數(shù)的系數(shù)可看出，過夜旅游者人數(shù)（y）與城鄉(xiāng)居民家庭人均可支配收入(X1)，國(guó)內(nèi)旅行社個(gè)數(shù)(X2)，旅游業(yè)投資(Z5)成正比例關(guān)系，與文娛價(jià)格指數(shù)(X6) 成反比例關(guān)系，這與實(shí)際的經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象相符。2．統(tǒng)計(jì)推斷檢驗(yàn)從估計(jì)的結(jié)果可以看出，系數(shù)顯著性檢驗(yàn)T統(tǒng)計(jì)量分別為：，。，查T分布表在自由度為75=，各T統(tǒng)計(jì)量均小于臨界值，均無(wú)顯著影響。，所以考慮剔除X1再進(jìn)行回歸，得Dependent Variable: YMethod: Least SquaresDate: 08/26/04 Time: 14:37Sample(adjusted): 1996 2002Included observations: 7 after adjusting endpointsVariableCoefficientStd. ErrortStatisticProb. CX2Z5X6Rsquared Mean dependent varAdjusted Rsquared . dependent var. of regression Akaike info criterionSum squared resid Schwarz criterionLog likelihood FstatisticDurbinWatson stat Prob(Fs
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