【正文】 s essay affects me very deeply. Not as an urging to bee self reliant – I39。s Liaoning province, decades ago. The solider gave the old man a handmade saddle when they bid farewell. The story inspired Nasun to write Carved Saddle, a song that later became one of his most popular numbers. Now, every year, Nasun recruits young singers and dancers for the troupe. The troupe has also designed a new repertoire, which is mostly based on the daily lives of Mongolian people, especially the lives of nomadic families, and has bined contemporary musical elements with folk songs of the region. Haimu, a 25yearold khoomei (a local variant of overtone singing) singer, joined the troupe three years ago. Along with a sixmember band, he performs fast songs and soft ones that he writes－ all while playing the horsehead fiddle.Although I learned the piano since childhood and grew up listening to various kinds of music, to me, the folk music of Inner Mongolia is the root, he says. Performing in remote villages is pleasant. I feel at home on the boundless grasslands, and the warm people there make me feel fulfilled. The first round of spring auction season in Beijing ended last week, but it failed to create much spring in the art market. Although two pieces of Chinese painting fetched more than 100 million yuan, the decline in trading volume and sa le rate showed a downturn this year. In the ―Grand View: Chinese Painting Highlight‖ session at China Guardian 2022 spring auctions, Pan Tianshou’s representative work Eagle, Rock and Flora hit a record auction price of 279 million yuan, while Li Keran’s masterwork Jinggang Mountain fetched million yuan, an unexpected high in recent years. However, the trading volume fells to billion yuan from billion yuan in the same period the year before. The Huangchen 2022 Spring Auctions, which recorded million yuan in total sales, experienced the same. The section number went down to 5 from 12 pared to last year. According to expert Shao Jianwu, the art market did not attract much excitement this year due to the booming stock market and the persistent problems of fery and fake deals. The two pieces of Chinese painting notched up high price this spring due to their own value not due to a revival in the market. The successful transaction of two works with a hammer price of more than 100 million yuan once again confirms that valuable and rare works of high quality always earn the longlasting high price. Chinese painting and calligraphy is still the pillar of the market. However, the overall sales rate has dropped slightly, which reflects the demand for the ordinary auction goods has weakened,‖ said the president of China Guardian’s Hu Yanyan. Besides, the entry of new buyers also makes certain changes to the direction of purchasing. In a word, the overall market trend is very unpredictable. Although China Guardian 2022 Spring Auctions has achieved remarkable results, it does not mean that the market has walked out of the predicament. We still have to wait for the big economic boom to invigorate the art market.‖ Even so, the hot pursuit of some special items appeared this spring. A special session of China Guardian Spring Auctions titled ―Fine Gilt—Bronze Buddhist Images‖ achieved a great deal with total sales volume of million yuan and 92 percent sale rate. The 5th Shamar Rinpoche Statue from 1617th century of Tibet was sold for million yuan. The Beijing Chengxuan Auctions featured almost 2,800 items of coins and stamps in three sessions with good sale rate. The Huachen Auctions also set a special session of photographs under the condition of largescale decline of auction sessions. There was a palpable dull thud of disappointment that acpanied the return of the imperial entourage of Zhen Huan to her homeland. It followed a couple years of hushed excitement as Chinese fans were fed tidbits about their proud concubine who was supposed to conquer the high ground of the North American market. Zhen Huan is, of course, the title character of The Legend of Zhen Huan, a 2022 television series that swept China off its feet and later took other Asian countries by storm. Two years ago, it was reported that HBO, a premium cable service headquartered in the United States, was going to air it in North America after some modification. Now, a condensed version that provides English subtitles but no dubbing has finally been made available on Netflix for online streaming. This version, highly anticipated as a milestone in China39。80s. We sat on the back of pickup trucks for hours. The sky was blue, and we couldn39。導(dǎo)師深厚的理論功底，廣博的知識(shí)底蘊(yùn)及誨人不倦的學(xué)者風(fēng)范，不僅使我在寫作上有所進(jìn) 步，更使我在精神上終身受益。 統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué) 2022 屆本科畢業(yè)論文 14 根據(jù)近年來(lái)人們對(duì)轎車的需求量，和有關(guān)行業(yè)的分析，本文對(duì) 20222020 年的轎車需求預(yù)測(cè)值非常接近，說(shuō)明預(yù)測(cè)方法選擇得當(dāng)，預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果具有一定意義。 8. 結(jié)果分析與預(yù)測(cè) 結(jié)果分析 對(duì)收集整理的我國(guó)轎車市場(chǎng)銷售量的數(shù)據(jù)，利用 灰色預(yù)測(cè)軟件，查附錄四知不滿足；通過定性分析影響我國(guó)轎車市場(chǎng)需求量的影響因素主要受 GDP、 城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收 統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué) 2022 屆本科畢業(yè)論文 13 入 、 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額 ，并用定量分析得到它們之間的關(guān)系。 5 多元回歸模型的建立、求解及檢驗(yàn) 模型的建立 由相關(guān)性知 GDP、 城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入 、 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額 分別與 轎車需求量高度相關(guān)，建立 GDP、 城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入 、 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額 與 轎車需求量 的多元線性回歸模型 3322110 xxxy ???? ???? 模型的求解與檢驗(yàn) 統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué) 2022 屆本科畢業(yè)論文 10 在 SPSS 中錄入表 的數(shù)據(jù)，單擊“分析 → 回歸 → 線性”，方法中選擇“進(jìn)入”運(yùn)行結(jié)果如下： 表 系數(shù) a 模型 非標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化系數(shù) 標(biāo)準(zhǔn)系數(shù) t Sig. B 標(biāo)準(zhǔn) 誤差 試用版 1 (常量 ) 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額（億元） GDP（億元） 人均可支配收入（元） a. 因變量 : 轎車需求量（萬(wàn)輛） 所以 GDP、 城鎮(zhèn)居民人均可支配收入 、 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額 與 轎車需求量 的多元線性回歸模型為 321 0 9 0 0 3 2 8 xxxy ???? 模型的檢驗(yàn) 根據(jù)表 中的數(shù)據(jù)，在 SPSS 中錄入數(shù)據(jù)，單擊“分析 → 回歸 → 線性”，方法中選擇“進(jìn)入”運(yùn)行結(jié)果如下： 表 Anovac 模型 平方和 df 均方 F Sig. 1 回歸 3 殘差 7 總計(jì) 10 b. 預(yù)測(cè)變量 : (常量 ), 年底儲(chǔ)蓄余額（億元） , GDP（億元） , 人均可支配收入（元）。因此，國(guó)家將在 這幾個(gè) 方面進(jìn)一步加大投資力度。 問題描述 通過對(duì)轎車市場(chǎng)的需 求量的研究，搜集有關(guān)轎車銷量數(shù)據(jù) ,運(yùn)用趨勢(shì)外推法對(duì)我國(guó)未來(lái)幾年的轎車市場(chǎng)需求量建立相應(yīng)的數(shù)學(xué)模型，并用 SPSS 軟件檢驗(yàn)其結(jié)果。 時(shí)間序列模型 時(shí)間數(shù)列，是指社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象發(fā)展過程中的數(shù)據(jù)表現(xiàn)，隱含著社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象發(fā)展變化的規(guī)律。統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)是對(duì)客觀現(xiàn)象計(jì)量的結(jié)果，按照對(duì)事物計(jì)量的精度程度，可將所