【正文】 本科畢業(yè)論文 基于宏觀調(diào)控下的房地產(chǎn)價格走勢分析 姓 名 學(xué) 院 專 業(yè) 指導(dǎo)教師 完成日期 XX大學(xué) 全日制本科生畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)（論文）承諾書 本人鄭重承諾：所呈交的畢業(yè)設(shè)計(jì)（論文） 《 基于宏觀調(diào)控下的房地產(chǎn)價格走勢分析 》 是在導(dǎo)師的指導(dǎo)下，嚴(yán)格按照學(xué)校和學(xué)院的有關(guān)規(guī)定由本人獨(dú)立完成。文中所引用的觀點(diǎn)和參考資料均已標(biāo)注并加以注釋。論文研究過程中不存在抄襲他人研究成果和偽造相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)等行為。如若出現(xiàn)任何侵犯他人知識產(chǎn)權(quán)等問題，本人愿意承擔(dān)相關(guān)法律責(zé)任。 承諾人（簽名）： 日 期： 基于宏觀調(diào)控下的房地產(chǎn)價格走勢分析 摘要 房價的走勢是人們普遍關(guān)心的問題，它成了當(dāng)今社會最熱門的話題之一。 住房需求是人們最重要的基本需求之一。 房價問題還關(guān)系社會的穩(wěn)定，國家的發(fā)展前景。 想有效地解決住房問題，有必要使得房價保持合理與穩(wěn)定。要使得房價保持穩(wěn)定，對需對房價走勢的影響因素有著全面的理解和把握。 在放任自由的房地產(chǎn)市場中，房價難以保持在穩(wěn)定的價格水平，也難以處在合理的價格水平。因此 進(jìn)行宏觀調(diào)控 來調(diào)整影響房地產(chǎn)市場價格的波動以及保持價格穩(wěn)定是有必要的。 宏觀調(diào)控包括一些基本的經(jīng)濟(jì)政策 的 使用 ，包括貨幣政策、財 政政策、收入政策、以及一些政策法規(guī)。對這些經(jīng)濟(jì)政策的深入分析與研究之后，才能提出有效的宏觀調(diào)控手段。 基于現(xiàn)實(shí)中的 影響房地產(chǎn)價格的因素多種多樣。為了理清各種因素對房地產(chǎn)價格的影響作用效果。有必要對各個因素進(jìn)行分別研究。在現(xiàn)實(shí)中， 宏觀調(diào)控效果 經(jīng)常作用不明顯甚至無作用 ， 因此 有必要進(jìn)行一些一般宏觀調(diào)控手段之外的內(nèi)容。 對于宏觀調(diào)控方式的創(chuàng)新也是相當(dāng)必要。 財政政策之中的房產(chǎn)稅，以及政策法規(guī)之中的限購 令 是近幾年的新調(diào)控手段。它們的出現(xiàn)給房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控 指 出了新的方向和思路， 在原有調(diào)控手段效果不佳時，這是值得鼓勵的嘗試，但對其會造成的影響需要探討。 其作用在目前沒有一些歷史數(shù)據(jù)可供參考，需要對其進(jìn)行理論分析。 本文還試圖尋找導(dǎo)致房價問題突出的根本原因，提出是由于各地 經(jīng)濟(jì) 發(fā)展不均衡導(dǎo)致的觀點(diǎn)。 提出在城市化進(jìn)程中需要轉(zhuǎn)變一些思路，對于中心城市的建設(shè)可以分散進(jìn)行，不宜過度集中。的 并且給出了一些 解決根本問題的思路及政策建議。 總的來說，房地產(chǎn)研究對于理論與實(shí)踐都具有重大的意義。理論上 可以 完善現(xiàn)代金融體系，實(shí)踐上，可以使房地產(chǎn)市場合理、健康的發(fā)展。 隨著中國對于房地產(chǎn)市場存在的問題不斷理清思路， 找到問題所在，政府的宏觀調(diào)控不斷深入，未來中國的房價走勢將會向著穩(wěn)定合理的方向發(fā)展。中國的房地產(chǎn)市場 最終 可以健康的發(fā)展。使得更多的人可以從房地產(chǎn)市場中獲得益處。 關(guān)鍵詞 ： 房價 經(jīng)濟(jì)政策 宏觀調(diào)控 房地 產(chǎn) BASED ON THE REAL ESTATE PRICES UNDER MARCO ADJUSTMENT TREND ANALYSIS ABSTRACT House price trend is widespread concern in today39。s society, it has bee one of the hottest topics. Housing demand is people one of the most important basic needs. House prices problem is relations society39。s stability, national development prospects. Want to effectively solve the housing problem, it is necessary to make house prices remain reasonable and stability. To make house prices remain stable, need to influence factors of prices trend has an overall prehend and grasp. In the lightly in real estate market, prices are difficult to maintain in the stable price level, also hard at reasonable price level. So in macroeconomic regulation to adjust influence the real estate market price fluctuations and maintain price stability is necessary. Macrocontrol including some basic economic policy, including the use of moary policy, fiscal policy, ines policy, and some policies and regulations. For these economic policy indepth analysis and research, can put forward effective after the macrocontrol means. Based on the reality of the factors which influence the real estate prices varied. In order to sort of various factors on real estate prices affect effect. It is necessary to study separately each factors. In reality, macrocontrol effect often does not play a significant role and even without effect, so it is necessary to take some general macrocontrol means the content. Outside For macrocontrol of innovation is also quite necessary way. Fiscal policy, and the real estate taxes among the policies and regulations of restricted the new regulation to be in last few years means. They appeared to estate control points out new direction and thinking, in the original controls the effect not beautiful, it is to be encouraged to try, but the impact of its will need to discuss. Its role in the present without some historical data available for reference, a theoretical analysis of its needs. This paper also trying to find cause prices question prominent root causes, puts forward is due to the local economic development is not balanced cause point of view. In the urbanization process, put forward some ideas, need to change for the construction of the urban centers can be scattered, unfavorable excessive concentration. And gives some solve the fundamental problems of ideas and policy Suggestions. Overall, real estate research in theory and practice is of great significance. Could theoretically perfect modern financial system, on practice, can make real estate market reasonable and healthy development. With China39。s real estate market for existing problems constantly ideas, find the problem, the government39。s macroregulation unceasingly thorough, China39。s future trend will towards stable prices reasonable direction. China39。s real estate market eventually can healthy development. So more people can benefit from the real estate market. Key Words： house prices economic policy macroeconomic control real estate 目錄 摘要 Abstract 第 1 章 緒論 ................................................................. 1 研究背景 ............................................................. 1 研究意義 ............................................................. 1 研究內(nèi)容 ............................................................. 2 第 2 章 中國房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的歷史和現(xiàn)狀分析 ................................... 4 中國房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的歷史分析 ......................................... 4 中國房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的現(xiàn)狀分析 ......................................... 4 20xx 年房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資完成情況 .................................. 4 20xx 年房價指數(shù)變化情況 ........................................ 5 房地產(chǎn)市場走勢分析 ............................................. 6 第 3 章 宏觀調(diào)控對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響分析 ................................... 8 貨幣政策對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響分析 ................................... 8 利率對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響 ..................................... 9 存款準(zhǔn)備金率對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響 ............................ 11 匯率對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響 .................................... 13 財政政策對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響分析 .................................. 16 財政投 資對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響 ................................ 18 稅收政策對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響 ................................ 20 政策法規(guī)對房地產(chǎn)價格走勢的影響分析 .................................. 22 第 4 章 研究結(jié)論及對策建議 .................................................. 26 研究結(jié)論 ............................................................ 26 對策建議 ............................................................ 26 經(jīng)濟(jì)