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隨機(jī)過程及其應(yīng)用結(jié)課論文基于時(shí)間序列分析的股票預(yù)測模型研究-展示頁

2025-06-16 22:07本頁面
  

【正文】 ............................. 2 研究意義 ............................................................................................................ 2 選題依據(jù) ............................................................................................................ 2 2 時(shí)間序列分析的理論 ..................................................................................................... 3 時(shí) 間序列分析的問題 ........................................................................................ 3 確定與隨機(jī)性時(shí)間序列分析 .............................................................................. 3 時(shí)間序列的概念及性質(zhì) ..................................................................................... 3 平穩(wěn)性 ..................................................................................................... 3 平穩(wěn)時(shí)間序列 .......................................................................................... 3 平穩(wěn)時(shí)間序列的統(tǒng)計(jì)性質(zhì) ......................................................................... 4 平穩(wěn)性的檢驗(yàn) ............................................................................................ 4 純隨機(jī)性檢驗(yàn) ............................................................................................ 4 3 平穩(wěn)時(shí)間序列分析 ........................................................................................................ 5 ARMA 模型 .......................................................................................................... 5 AR 模型 .................................................................................................... 5 MA 模型 .................................................................................................... 5 4 非平 穩(wěn)序列分析 ............................................................................................................ 8 確定性成分 ...................................................................................................... 8 趨勢成分 ................................................................................................. 8 季節(jié)效應(yīng)分析 .......................................................................................... 8 非平穩(wěn)序列的隨機(jī) 分析 ....................................................................................... 9 差分 ........................................................................................................ 9 ARIMA 模型 ........................................................................................... 9 ARIMA 模型建模 ....................................................................................... 9 異方差 及方差齊性變換 .......................................................................... 10 條件異方差模型 ...................................................................................... 10 5 基于時(shí)間序列分析的股票預(yù)測模型的實(shí)證分析 ...........................................................11 關(guān)于樣本數(shù)據(jù)的描述與調(diào)整 ...............................................................................11 結(jié)論 ................................................................................................................. 15 參考文獻(xiàn) ........................................................................................................................ 16 基于時(shí)間序列分析的股票預(yù)測模
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