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【正文】 2021 Capgemini All rights reserved Xxx/yymmdd Structured Problem Solving and Hypothesis Generation, Author / 33 DEVELOP A HYPOTHESIS What if your hypothesis is proven wrong? ? You Win! ? Hypothesisdriven thinking requires frequent reviews of the prevailing and current hypotheses: ? Do we still think they are right? ? Are we making progress towards disproving them? ? Are they at the right level of generality/predictiveness? ? Having proven a hypothesis wrong means you have made a big step towards answering your question! “ A wise man sometimes changes his mind, but a fool never.” Arabic Proverb Consulting Skills Workshop 169。 2021 Capgemini All rights reserved Xxx/yymmdd Structured Problem Solving and Hypothesis Generation, Author / 17 In structuring a problem, break it into smaller, easiertohandle ponents AND start with the right definitions US Car Market Light Trucks Passenger Cars Big 3 Mini Vans Sport Utility Vehicles Ford GM Chrysler But be careful — why does this not work? Consulting Skills Workshop 169。 2021 Capgemini All rights reserved Xxx/yymmdd Structured Problem Solving and Hypothesis Generation, Author / 8 Hypotheses are developed in three steps ? What are the real strategic issues? ? What is the impact on the anisation? ? What are the priorities? ? We think . . . ? It looks like . . . ? The right answer may be . . . ? The options could be . . . ? We b
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