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【導(dǎo)讀】Establishamon―modusoperandus‖for. Sowhat?—aha,do…andhow. awakeatnight?Sowhat?—aha,do…andhow. awakeatnight?Wethink...Itlookslike...Directchannelsare. Thereareexisting. Whatistheissue?Whydowecare?
【正文】 Generation, Author / 32 DEVELOP A HYPOTHESIS How to find a good hypothesis ? There are proven processes to generate hypotheses: ? Talk to lots of people about the core problem ? Have a brainstorming case team meeting ? Taguchi method — ask ―5 Why’s‖ ? Start with general validity checks for your hypotheses: ? Assume perfect rationality — how ought the business system to behave? ? Look for analogies (other industries or problems) ? Imagine that you had perfect information — what would the ideal analysis look like? ? Try Lateral Thinking: ? Think about the problem from a different angle Consulting Skills Workshop 169。 2020 Capgemini All rights reserved Xxx/yymmdd Structured Problem Solving and Hypothesis Generation, Author / 33 DEVELOP A HYPOTHESIS What if your hypothesis is proven wrong? ? You Win! ? Hypothesisdriven thinking requires frequent reviews of the prevailing and current hypotheses: ? Do we still think they are right? ? Are we making progress towards disproving them? ? Are they at the right level of generality/predictiveness? ? Having proven a hypothesis wrong means you have made a big step towards answering your question! “ A wise man sometimes changes his mind, but a fool never.” Arabic Proverb Consulting Skills Workshop 169。 2020 Capgemini All rights reserved Xxx/yymmdd Structured Problem Solving and Hypothesis Generation, Author / 34 Summary ? To be developed – thank you!!
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