【文章內(nèi)容簡(jiǎn)介】 ........................13 選題的背景和意義： .........................................................................................13 國(guó)內(nèi)的研究狀況： .............................................................................................13 本文研究的內(nèi)容和方法： .................................................................................13 2 居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響因素的相關(guān)性理論研究 ............................................................14 消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)研究方法 .............................................................................................14 對(duì)恩格爾系數(shù)法的概述： ......................................................................14 對(duì)統(tǒng)計(jì)方法的概述 ： ..............................................................................14 對(duì)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型的概述 ： .......................................................................14 對(duì)線(xiàn)性支出系統(tǒng)模型的概述 :................................................................15 3城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)影響因素的實(shí)證分析 .....................................................................17 我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的主體特征 ..........................................................................17 恩格爾系數(shù)及消費(fèi)構(gòu)成比重的變動(dòng)分析 ..........................................................17 邊際消費(fèi)傾向分析 ..........................................................................................18 需求收入彈性分析 ..............................................................................................22 4 消費(fèi) 結(jié)構(gòu)主要影響因素的靜態(tài)地區(qū)性分析 .................................................................25 地區(qū)性消費(fèi)傾向分析 ...........................................................................................25 5 研究結(jié)論及對(duì)策建議 ....................................................................................................27 研究結(jié)論 ..............................................................................................................27 對(duì)策建議： ..........................................................................................................28 理順國(guó)民收入分配關(guān)系，提高收入，縮短差距。 ................................28 改善消費(fèi)環(huán)境，擴(kuò)大居民消費(fèi) ................................................................29 完善金融市場(chǎng)改革，大力推行信貸消費(fèi) .................................................30 提高消費(fèi)者自身的素質(zhì) .............................................................................31 致謝 ....................................................................................................................................32 附錄 1：文獻(xiàn)綜述 .............................................................................................................43 附錄 2：外文文獻(xiàn)譯文 ....................................................................................................46 附錄 3：外文文獻(xiàn)原文 .....................................................................................................49 浙江萬(wàn)里學(xué)院 畢業(yè)論文（設(shè)計(jì)）報(bào)告紙 .11. ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 裝 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 訂 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 線(xiàn) ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┆┆ ┆ 摘要 當(dāng)前我國(guó)面臨著調(diào)整經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的需求結(jié)構(gòu)的艱巨任務(wù)。針對(duì)當(dāng)前我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的任務(wù)，和國(guó)際經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的不利影響，以及我國(guó)國(guó)內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)的動(dòng)蕩，如何擴(kuò)大國(guó)內(nèi)市場(chǎng)，分析城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)成因，拓展居民的消費(fèi)，優(yōu)化居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)，保持經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，顯得尤為重要和迫切 .我國(guó)市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制初步形成，但很不完善和成熟，仍處在不斷改革和變化中，改革開(kāi)放以來(lái)我國(guó)長(zhǎng)時(shí)期地處于計(jì)劃經(jīng)濟(jì)體制向市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體制轉(zhuǎn)變的過(guò)程中；在這個(gè)制 度轉(zhuǎn)型的背景下，城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)也經(jīng)歷著巨大的變化，由嚴(yán)重的不合理到逐步趨向合理，但至今仍然存在諸多不合理的地方。 本文通過(guò)橫向與縱向，通過(guò)分析隨著年份遞增引起的城鎮(zhèn)消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的變化縱向分析與在同一年消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)隨著地區(qū)和收入等諸多因素的橫向分析相結(jié)合的方法，準(zhǔn)確定位我國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)居民消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響因素。并通過(guò)相關(guān)性以及多元線(xiàn)性回歸的計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)方法，更深一步 分析諸多因素產(chǎn)生影響的關(guān)聯(lián)度。根據(jù)給出的結(jié)果和推斷提出一些建設(shè)性的意見(jiàn)，推動(dòng)國(guó)內(nèi)需求，促進(jìn)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)快速穩(wěn)步增長(zhǎng)。 關(guān)鍵詞： 消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu) ，多元線(xiàn)性回歸 ，恩格爾系數(shù) ,ELES 模型，邊際消費(fèi)傾向，需求收入彈性 浙江萬(wàn)里學(xué)院 畢業(yè)論文（設(shè)計(jì)）報(bào)告紙 .12. ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 裝 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 訂 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 線(xiàn) ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┆┆ ┆ Abstract At present, China is facing growing demands to adjust economic structure and leaving a difficult task in our domestic . In light of China39。s economic development mission , and the international economic crisis on China39。s economy adversely affected , as well as China39。s domestic economic turmoil, how to expand the domestic market, analysis of urban residents39。 consumption structure causes expansion of consumption and optimize the consumption structure, maintain economic growth is being particularly important and urgent . China39。s market economy system has been initially formed , but far from perfect and mature , is still in constantly reform and change . since reform and opening up for a long time , our country still have to stay in the process of planned economy to be a market economic 。 In the context of the transformation of this system, the urban residents39。 consumption structure has undergone great changes, from the serious unreasonable to gradually bee more reasonable, but still there are many unreasonable. In this paper, it will relate to the horizontal and vertical analysis, through the analysis of the year with increased consumption caused by changes in the structure of urban analysis and in the same year as the regional consumption and ine, and many other factors, With of bining horizontal analysis and Vertical analysis, we can easy catch the accurate positioning of the consumption structure of urban residents factors . And through correlation and multiple linear regression econometric methods, arrive a deeper analysis of the factors which influence the consumption most . According to the results and inferences ,and then give some constructive suggestions to promote domestic demand and also promote steady growth of China39。s rapid economic. Keywords: consumption structure , multiple linear regression, the engelconfficient ,on eles model, the marginal propensity to consume ,the ine elasticity of demand. 浙江萬(wàn)里學(xué)院