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面。一是建立了體系框架,二是創(chuàng)立了一些指標。論文提出的具體指標有如下幾類。——戰(zhàn)役能力指標類:戰(zhàn)役出動期望。戰(zhàn)役出動率。戰(zhàn)役理論出動次數。戰(zhàn)役實際出動次數。戰(zhàn)役出動強度?!獞?zhàn)役效果指標類:戰(zhàn)役損失率(Rl)、戰(zhàn)役損失期望(E損)、行動自由度(Fa)、行動能力下降指數等。——戰(zhàn)場態(tài)勢指標類:論文提出戰(zhàn)役戰(zhàn)場態(tài)勢包含下列“五度”。一是力量強弱、大小對比度,這既包括數量,也包括素質、人員士氣。分別建立如下指標:數質積Q;行動自由度Fa;敵情透明度Ie;恢復指數Re。意圖吻合度In?!獞?zhàn)役方案評估指標類:滿意度(S)、風險度(D)、滿意—風險度(SD)。此外,還有戰(zhàn)役單元作戰(zhàn)效能這一指標。三是對于模型體系的發(fā)展。戰(zhàn)役模型是用以模擬戰(zhàn)役結構形態(tài)和運動狀態(tài)形式的統(tǒng)稱。主要有文字模型和數學模型。論文論證了模型體系必需具備的五種特性:有效性、透明性、可信性、可塑性和可行性。指出今后應該重點發(fā)展以下四類數學模型:指標求解模型,統(tǒng)計實驗模型,戰(zhàn)役行動描述與分析模型,戰(zhàn)役決策評估、優(yōu)化模型。具體建立的模型有:模擬戰(zhàn)役戰(zhàn)場態(tài)勢值模型:A=K1Q比+K2Fa+K3Ie+K4Re+K5In 戰(zhàn)役出動期望(公式1)求解模型:E=C[1(1RF)n]/F 戰(zhàn)役損失期望(公式2)求解模型:E損失=C[1(1RF)n] 戰(zhàn)役單元作戰(zhàn)效能求解模型:mlN=213。Ki229。Sji=1j=1戰(zhàn)役方案滿意度求解模型:229。Mj*Qijj=1m戰(zhàn)役方案風險度求解模型:n229。Sij*Rjj=1229。Mj*Qij229。Sij*Rjj=1j=1mn戰(zhàn)役方案滿意-風險度求解模型:AbstractComrade Deng Xiaoping repeatedly stressed the importance of research of basic theories, for the establishment and development of basic theories is the precondition and driving force of that of all branches of INTO DEVELOPMENT OF SCIENCE OF MILITARY CAMPAIGNS is one of the subjects for basic theoretical of such a subject is mainly based on the fact that there are regrettable imperfections which are hindering the healthy development of the those are: research outweighing basic science of military campaign is an applied discipline aimed at guiding and winning military emphasis is understandably on application。the trouble, however, lies in the fact that that is being done at the expense of basic theoretical instance: focussing on studies of “guiding principles” of campaigns while neglecting revelation of objective laws guiding campaigns, emphasizing presentation of new methodologies of military operations while overlooking the theoretical reasoning and demonstration of those methodologies, stressing Grounds for Selection and Purposes of the Subject development of new concepts while ignoring the necessity of defining them, and attempting to explore a macroscopic system of the science in the virtual absence of a theoretical basis posed of the norm system, model system, data system, analysis outweighing quantitative to the absence of the necessary norm system, data system and model system, and under the influence of the orthodox ways of research relying mainly on empirioanalogy and induction, theoretical research into this particular branch of learning has hitherto remained basically on the level of deliberation and reasoning with much generalized qualitative interpretation but little quantitative the exclusion of quantitative studies from textbooks and theoretical writings on the science of military campaigns, and of mathematics from the qualification examinations of postgraduates majoring in the science of military differences in understanding and interpreting several basic “military campaign” for example.“Military campaign” is the subject of research for the science of military campaigns, and is, therefore, one of the most fundamental , there has been difference between the armed forces of China and the USSR in the understanding of this a military operation in history the former sees as typical of military campaigns, fails, in the eyes of the latter, to constitute a military to the latter, military campaigns came into being only in the second half of the nineteenth century, while the former holds that they dated back as early as the Period of the Spring and Autumn, and the Warring Statesa difference of more than 2,400 years! and Logical Reasonings of the Thesis The body of the thesis consists of three parts: and analysis of three basic concepts, of the theories of military campaigns, and of a methodology of the on such a framework derives from the following logical reasonings: of basic concepts is the theoretical prerequisite of the development of the science of military campaigns.“Military campaigns”, “the art of military campaigns” and “the science of military campaigns” are a set of the most fundamental, and the most important academic concepts in the sphere of military indepth differentiation and analysis of those three concepts constitutes a vital part of the exploration and development of the basic theories of the science of military campaigns, one of the urgent tasks for the presentday theoretical circles of the science of military campaigns, and a prerequisite of the healthy development of that of the theories of military campaigns is the key to that of the science of military campaigns as a of military campaigns are the kernel and pillar of the science of military follows that the development of the science of military campaigns means, above all, that of theories of military campaigns, that is, the establishment of an allenpassing, scientific and rigorous theoretical system of military body of such a system consists of two parts: the theory of laws of military campaigns aimed at revealing the objective laws of military campaigns, and the inference theory of the art of military campaigns aimed at inferring and demonstrating the art of military campaigns or included in the thesis are a set of concepts, norms, data, models, etc, which serve as physical materials and bases for the construction of the abovementioned two main of a methodology is an important ponent of that of the science of military the subject of research of the discipline, military campaigns are full of randomness and is more, they are filled with deception and abnormality due to the deliberate application by the opposing sides of various strategies and is therefore more difficult to analyze military campaigns than ordinary social the demand for a methodology more advanced, more systematic and more powerful than for other fact is just the contrary: as a newly emerging branch of learning, and because of the various historical and social limitations, the currently adopted methodology of the science of military campaigns is poor and simple, rendering it difficult to conduct any thorough Conclusions and New Ideas of the Thesis The main conclusions and