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【正文】 , to the enterprise financial crisis warning analysis and the application of a study. Enterprise financial statement although has the certain hysteresis, but through the analysis, evaluation system enterprise in the past financial management integral effect and trend of change, through the early warning can help enterprise financial management grasp the direction of development. Financial crisis warning financial accounting information is for the foundation, through setting and observe some sensitive index and changes of the enterprise may be or will be faced with financial crisis in a realtime monitoring and predicting the alarm. Including single variable early warning model, multivariate early warning model and analysis the situation of the way the enterprise. To find out the financial deterioration of the signal, so as to take corresponding measures to reduce the loss, do the information age for a rainy day. In a market econonmy,business failures or pany bankruptcies represent the indicator to prevent allocation of resources from future channelling into failing this important economic function,business bankruptcies prove to be 6 painful experience for shown by the above quotation,one prudent way to face the problem of financial distress is to identify it in advance and prevent it from taking place. The purpose of this project is to study the financial characteristics of “failing” or bankrupt firms in HK and use one of the most popular financialdistress prediction model(financial ratiodiscriminant analysis) to work out an”earlywarning system” for identifying “problem”firms. The financial ratiodiscriminant analysis model has been widely used in the world. Prediction is always an art and bankruptcy prediction is no and some “insider analysts” are particularly keen in contributing their ments which are normaly based on qualitative interpretations. This study is an attempt to utilize the available statistical tool to develop a simple but objective function for investors,bankers,government officials or academics ,so as to help them in assessing the financial health of firms. The financial affairs warning system overview definition Through to the financial statements of the enterprise and related management data analysis, using the timely financial data and the corresponding data management me thods, the enterprise has faced dangerous conditions in advance to business operators and other stakeholders, and analyzes the cause of the financial crisis enterprise happening and enterprise financial operation system hidden problems, in order to make the financial measures to prevent early analysis system. The function of the
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