【正文】 .........................51總業(yè)務(wù)量的預(yù)測 ........................................................................................................................52大類產(chǎn)品的預(yù)測 ........................................................................................................................53物品預(yù)測 ....................................................................................................................................54預(yù)測技法 ....................................................................................................................................55特殊預(yù)測 ....................................................................................................................................59預(yù)測為什么失敗 ........................................................................................................................59需求的源 ....................................................................................................................................60五. 物料控制：獨(dú)立需求 .........................................................................................................62庫存的補(bǔ)充 ................................................................................................................................62訂貨點(diǎn)法的基礎(chǔ) ........................................................................................................................63用目視法尋找訂貨點(diǎn) ................................................................................................................64預(yù)測誤差的估計(jì) ........................................................................................................................65訂貨點(diǎn)的計(jì)算 ............................................................................................................................70預(yù)測間隔與提前期差別的調(diào)整 ................................................................................................72泊桑分布的使用 ........................................................................................................................77服務(wù)的概念 ................................................................................................................................79統(tǒng)計(jì)量的價(jià)值 ............................................................................................................................80使用的注意事項(xiàng) ........................................................................................................................82定期評審技法 ............................................................................................................................83兩種簡單訂貨方法 ....................................................................................................................84分時(shí)段訂貨點(diǎn)法 ........................................................................................................................85服務(wù)件需求的處理 ....................................................................................................................86分支倉庫需求的處理 ................................................................................................................87獨(dú)立／相關(guān)需求 ........................................................................................................................87六. 物料控制：相關(guān)需求 .........................................................................................................88物料需求計(jì)劃的邏輯 ................................................................................................................88計(jì)算機(jī)以前的ＭＲＰ ................................................................................................................88ＭＲＰ的前提條件 ....................................................................................................................93ＭＰＳ 子系統(tǒng) ...........................................................................................................................933 / 406零件代號化 ................................................................................................................................93物料清單的構(gòu)成 ........................................................................................................................94工程更改的控制 ........................................................................................................................98工程更改的歷史記錄 ..............................................................................................................100ＭＲＰ的機(jī)制 ..........................................................................................................................101對ＭＲＰ的改進(jìn) ......................................................................................................................105分配 ..........................................................................................................................................107ＭＲＰ的更新 ..........................................................................................................................109訂貨生產(chǎn)作業(yè)中的ＭＲＰ ......................................................................................................110重復(fù)性制造業(yè)中的ＭＲＰ ......................................................................................................111過程工業(yè)中的ＭＲＰ ..............................................................................................................112ＭＲＰ：技法與邏輯 ..............................................................................................................112七. 主計(jì)劃 ...............................................................................................................................114計(jì)劃的階梯結(jié)構(gòu) ......................................................................................................................114主生產(chǎn)計(jì)劃（THE MASTER PRODUCTION SCHEDULE 縮寫為ＭＰＳ） ................................117ＭＰＳ是什么 ..........................................................................................................................118ＭＰＳ不是什么 ........................................................................................