【正文】 ,39。You don39。 At last firemen have put out a big forest fire in California. Since then, they have been trying to find out how the fire began. Forest fire are often caused by broken glass or by cigarette ends which people carelessly throw away. Yesterday the firemen examined the ground carefully, but were not able to find any broken glass. They were also quite sure that a cigarette end did not start the fire. This morning, however, a fireman accidentally discovered the cause. He noticed the remains of a snake which was wound round the electric wires of a 16,000volt power line. In this way, he was able to solve the mystery. The explanation was simple but very unusual. A bird had snatched up the snake from the ground and then dropped it on to the wires. The snake then wound itself round the wires. When it did so, it sent sparks down to the ground and these immediately started a fire.After breakfast, I sent the children to school and then I went to market. It was still early when I returned home. The children were at school, my husband was at work and the house was quiet. So I decided to make some tarts for tea. In a short time I was busy mixing butter and flour and my hands were soon covered with sticky pastry. At exactly that moment, the telephone rang. Nothing could have been more annoying. I picked up the receiver between two sticky fingers and was dismayed when I recognized the voice of Mrs Bates. It took me ten minutes to persuade her to ring back later. At last I hung up the receiver. What a mess! There was pastry on my fingers, on the telephone, and on the doorknobs. I had no sooner got back to the kitchen than the doorbell rang loud enough to wake the dead. This time it was the postman and he wanted me to sign for a registered letter !Dreams of finding lost treasure almost came true recently. A new machine called 39。 has been invented and it has been used to detect gold which has been buried in the ground. The machine was used in a cave near the seashore whereit is saidpirates used to hide gold. The pirates would often bury gold in the cave and then fail to collect it. Armed with the new machine, a search party went he did not like it. She enjoyed herself making the assistant bring almost everything in the window before finally buying the dress she had first asked for.The tiny village of Frinley is said to possess a 39。. Because the tree was mentioned in a newspaper, the number of visitors to Frinley has now increased. The tree was planted near a church fifty years ago, but it is only in recent years that it has gained an evil reputation. It is said that if anyone touches the tree, he will have bad luck。Lesson59 In or out ？ 進(jìn)來(lái)還是出去？Lesson60 The future 卜算未來(lái)A relation of yours is ing to see you. She will be arriving this evening and intends to stay for a few days. The moment you leave this tent, you will get a big surprise. A woman you know well will rush towards you. She will speak to you and then she will lead you away from this place. That is all.39。Where have you been hiding ?39。Your sister will be here in less than an hour and we must be at the station to meet her. We are late already.39。Lesson61 Trouble with the Hubble 哈勃望遠(yuǎn)鏡的困境clock this evening. By that time, the Astra will have been flying through space for seventeen hours and will have circled the earth a great many times. When the first radio messages have been received, the results of the trip will be announced immediately.Firemen had been fighting the forest fire for nearly three weeks before they could get it under control. A short time before, great trees had covered the countryside for miles around. Now, smoke still rose up from the warm ground深圳市XX酒店可行性研究報(bào)告深圳市ABC物業(yè)顧問(wèn)有限公司2004年10月3日目 錄前言第一部分 項(xiàng)目總論 項(xiàng)目背景 可行性研究結(jié)論第二部分 市場(chǎng)分析 項(xiàng)目投資環(huán)境和市場(chǎng)研究 市場(chǎng)宏觀背景 區(qū)域市場(chǎng)分析第三部分 項(xiàng)目分析及評(píng)價(jià) 地塊解析 項(xiàng)目SWOT分析 項(xiàng)目評(píng)價(jià) 市場(chǎng)定位及項(xiàng)目評(píng)估 項(xiàng)目定位 方案評(píng)估意見(jiàn)第四部分 銷售及經(jīng)營(yíng)收入測(cè)定 各類物業(yè)銷售收入估算 項(xiàng)目銷售回款計(jì)劃 資金來(lái)源與運(yùn)用分析 銷售利潤(rùn) 第五部分 財(cái)務(wù)與敏感性分析 贏利能力分析 項(xiàng)目不確定性分析 社會(huì)效益和影響分析第六部分 可行性研究結(jié)論與建議 可行性研究結(jié)論 項(xiàng)目主要問(wèn)題的解決辦法和建議 項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)及防范建議附表:附表1 項(xiàng)目銷售收入與經(jīng)營(yíng)稅金及附加估算表附表2 資金來(lái)源與運(yùn)用表附表3 損益及利潤(rùn)分配表附表4 現(xiàn)金流量表(全部投資)附表5 借款償還期測(cè)算表附表6 敏感分析表前 言深圳ABC物業(yè)顧問(wèn)有限公司接受深圳市橫崗?fù)顿Y股份有限公司的委托對(duì)橫崗XX酒店項(xiàng)目的可行性進(jìn)行了研究。XX酒店嚴(yán)格按照國(guó)際四星級(jí)酒店標(biāo)準(zhǔn)運(yùn)作管理，酒店在傳統(tǒng)服務(wù)流程的基礎(chǔ)上，全面結(jié)合現(xiàn)代技術(shù)電腦化管理功能實(shí)施管理。深圳市橫崗XX酒店深圳市橫崗?fù)顿Y股份有限公司深圳市ABC物業(yè)顧問(wèn)有限公司 研究工作依據(jù)《房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)方法》《建設(shè)項(xiàng)目經(jīng)濟(jì)評(píng)價(jià)方法與參考數(shù)》《深圳市產(chǎn)業(yè)導(dǎo)向20032004》《房地產(chǎn)評(píng)估規(guī)范》1999《國(guó)家計(jì)委\建設(shè)部關(guān)于房地產(chǎn)中介服務(wù)收費(fèi)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)》《深圳市住宅區(qū)公用設(shè)施專用基金管理規(guī)定》《深圳市主要經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)》《深圳房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)分析》2004《深圳市旅游統(tǒng)計(jì)月報(bào)年報(bào)》以及其它國(guó)家、省、市級(jí)法規(guī)、規(guī)范、文件、通知等。經(jīng)過(guò)對(duì)全國(guó)和深圳經(jīng)濟(jì)狀況的研究分析，以及對(duì)20042005年產(chǎn)業(yè)導(dǎo)向的理解，我司經(jīng)過(guò)詳細(xì)的市場(chǎng)調(diào)研后認(rèn)為：■ 項(xiàng)目的變更是必要的、可行的、合理的；■ 在目前各種利好因素的作用下，近幾年內(nèi)深圳市產(chǎn)權(quán)式酒店市場(chǎng)是樂(lè)觀的；■ 產(chǎn)權(quán)式酒店更適合項(xiàng)目的整體發(fā)展與規(guī)劃；■ 在20042006年將該項(xiàng)目投放市場(chǎng)的時(shí)機(jī)是可行的；■ 考慮目前貴司的房地產(chǎn)開(kāi)發(fā)經(jīng)驗(yàn)、實(shí)力以及資金儲(chǔ)備、企業(yè)發(fā)展需求等因素，項(xiàng)目的正式運(yùn)營(yíng)條件基本成熟；第二部分 市場(chǎng)分析，橫崗鎮(zhèn)抓住發(fā)展機(jī)遇，堅(jiān)持以經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)為中心，兩個(gè)文明一起抓，促進(jìn)了社會(huì)全面進(jìn)步。農(nóng)業(yè)也由封閉自給型逐步向創(chuàng)匯開(kāi)放型轉(zhuǎn)變，第三產(chǎn)業(yè)有較大發(fā)展，商貿(mào)業(yè)已形成規(guī)模。全鎮(zhèn)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)持續(xù)、快速、健康發(fā)展，人民生活水平顯著提高。1990年，橫崗鎮(zhèn)以其經(jīng)濟(jì)、文化等方面的輝煌成就被評(píng)為“中國(guó)鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)之星”；1995年，又被評(píng)為“全國(guó)鄉(xiāng)鎮(zhèn)最佳投資環(huán)境100強(qiáng)”；1996年，橫崗鎮(zhèn)農(nóng)村三級(jí)股份合作制被評(píng)為“中華之最”。橫崗鎮(zhèn)經(jīng)過(guò)十多年的發(fā)展已成為外商競(jìng)相投資的寶地。尤其是近幾年來(lái)，橫崗鎮(zhèn)堅(jiān)持高起點(diǎn)、高標(biāo)準(zhǔn)改善投資環(huán)境，花大力氣建設(shè)了一批市政基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施，實(shí)實(shí)在在營(yíng)造外商置業(yè)的底成本優(yōu)勢(shì)。就地理位置而言，橫崗位于布吉鎮(zhèn)和龍崗鎮(zhèn)之間，而布吉鎮(zhèn)占據(jù)地理優(yōu)勢(shì)，承接著來(lái)自羅湖、福田的購(gòu)房者，因此先于橫崗發(fā)展；龍崗鎮(zhèn)也在橫崗之前成為大盤開(kāi)發(fā)地。深惠公路改造、地鐵3號(hào)線年內(nèi)開(kāi)工、深平快速干道一期明年1月通車，龍崗區(qū)的交通壓力有望得以緩解，借助WTO、CEPE的有利時(shí)機(jī)，橫崗未來(lái)的外資工業(yè)、商務(wù)、旅游等行業(yè)都有非常大的發(fā)展空間，從而帶動(dòng)了整個(gè)龍崗區(qū)房地產(chǎn)價(jià)值的急速提升。相對(duì)以前，橫崗樓盤規(guī)模不大、分布太散、各自為政的形象已經(jīng)得到改變。今年，中海占地面積22萬(wàn)平方米的低密度大型社區(qū)“怡美山莊”、。相對(duì)于前幾年而言，橫崗本地的主力投資客戶的投資心理已經(jīng)發(fā)生了微妙的變化，這對(duì)本項(xiàng)目有著非常重要的指導(dǎo)意義。全市經(jīng)濟(jì)總量繼續(xù)加大，各項(xiàng)主要指標(biāo)實(shí)現(xiàn)較好的增長(zhǎng)，生產(chǎn)、消費(fèi)和需求比較協(xié)調(diào)，總體運(yùn)行形勢(shì)良好。深圳市生產(chǎn)總值完成 ，%。我市工業(yè)企業(yè)累計(jì)完成工業(yè)增加值 ，%；市場(chǎng)消費(fèi)繁榮，零售總額穩(wěn)增。 從98年低谷期開(kāi)始，深圳市酒店的入住率逐年提升，在2001年、2002年達(dá)到階段性頂峰；2003年深圳市酒店的入住率和2002年相比有較大幅度的下降，其原因是受到SARS的影響。28月酒店入住率全面超過(guò)去年同期水平。進(jìn)入2004年，深圳酒店業(yè)市場(chǎng)持續(xù)向好，1—4月酒店開(kāi)房率均超過(guò)去年同期水平，“五一”黃金周期間，深圳市酒店開(kāi)房率更高達(dá)85%以上。星級(jí)酒店名稱銷售價(jià)格(元/㎡)年入住率(2003年）酒店規(guī)模管理公司4大梅沙海景酒店1200055％6層2萬(wàn)多㎡發(fā)展商自管4雅蘭酒店1450060％2棟6層，㎡發(fā)展商自管4芭堤雅酒店1000050～60％1棟9層酒店式公寓、發(fā)展商自管5丹楓在市區(qū)，產(chǎn)權(quán)式商務(wù)型酒店一般超出同類物業(yè)常規(guī)價(jià)格的20%30%；入住率分析受SARS的影響，2003年深圳市酒店的年入住率仍然達(dá)5