太陽能行業(yè)前景展望-展示頁
2025-03-30 21:16本頁面
【正文】 esources Agenda 11 The President’s Solar America Initiative (SAI) drives Federal work. Achieve grid parity for solar electricity from photovoltaics across all market sectors by 2022. 12 In the next years of the SAI, the DOE?s Solar Program will focus on achieving priceparity and scale for solar electricity generation from both PV and CSP PV program will target 30% market share for annual new capacity additions, CSP program will target baseload price/dispatchability and GWscale. 12 Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) Photovoltaics (PV) Distributed Generation, onsite or near point of use Centralized Generation, large users or utilities 13 Genesis of the initiative: 14 14 SAI works along the whole RDDamp。1 Solar Energy Industry Forecast: Perspectives on . Solar Market Trajectory May 27, 2022 United States Department of Energy Solar Energy Technologies Program 2 ? Energy markets / forecasts ? DOE Solar America Initiative overview ? Capital market investments in solar ? Solar photovoltaic (PV) sector overview ? PV prices and costs ? PV market evolution ? Market evolution considerations ? Balance of system costs ? Silicon ?normalization? ? Solar system value drivers ? Solar market forecast ? Additional resources Agenda 3 ? Energy markets / forecasts ? DOE Solar America Initiative overview ? Capital market investments in solar ? Solar photovoltaic (PV) sector overview ? PV prices and costs ? PV market evolution ? Market evolution considerations ? Balance of system costs ? Silicon ?normalization? ? Solar system value drivers ? Solar market forecast ? Additional resources Agenda 4 Today?s . Electricity Cost Landscape E IA Nat io n al Ret ai l E le ct r ic it y2022 10 .6 42022 10 .4 02022 9. 452022 8. 952022 8. 722022 8. 44+ 4 .7 %( ce n t s / k w h )pe r a nn um? EIA shows historic national average retail electricity prices outpacing inflation by ~% ? Conservative forecasts from the Energy Information Agency (EIA) show residential electricity prices reaching 12 c/kWh by 2022 EIA forecasts are good baselines, but are generally conservative as they are based on historical data without recent movement in supply/demand balances 5 2022E 2022E 2022E 2022E 2022E 2022E 2022E 2022E . National Electricity Price Forecast ? Applying the same conservative % inflationary rate, average US electricity prices will reach 16 c/kWh by 2022 ? Rates in some states will be higher, with CT electricity prices forecast to reach 27 c/kWh in 2022 by the same logic *Estimates c/kWh Solar is already cost petitive in some states today and will be in many more in ing years as energy prices increase nationwide Year* 6 Installed system cost ranges have implications for levelized cost of energy ? Commercial / utility scale PV systems are currently economically petitive with grid electricity prices in many areas ? Both residential a
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