【正文】
e formation mechanism. Key words: Appreciation of RMB, Export trade, Influence, Countermeasures 目 錄 中文摘要 ABSTRACT 第 1 章 緒 論 ..............................................1 選題的來源及意義 .....................................1 文獻綜述 ............................................1 研究內(nèi)容和方法 ......................................3 研究內(nèi)容 ........................................3 研究方法 ........................................4 第 2 章 人民幣升值的背景及原因 ...............................5 人民幣匯率的歷史波動及現(xiàn)狀 ...........................5 人民幣匯率的變動趨勢 .................................7 人民幣升值的內(nèi)部原因 .................................8 我國經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)增長 ..............................8 利率對人民幣匯率的影響 ..........................9 人民幣升值的外部 原因 ................................11 國際收支雙順差 .................................11 西方等國持續(xù)施壓 ...............................12 第 3 章 我國出口貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀分析 ..............................14 我國出口貿(mào)易的產(chǎn)品結(jié)構(gòu) ..............................14 我國出口貿(mào)易的市場結(jié)構(gòu) ..............................16 我國主要行業(yè)出口貿(mào)易的現(xiàn)狀 ..........................18 金屬行業(yè)出口現(xiàn)狀 ...............................18 紡織行業(yè)出口現(xiàn)狀 ...............................20 第 4 章 人民幣升值對出口貿(mào)易的影響 ..........................22 對出口貿(mào)易的積極影響 ................................22 利好影響 .......................................22 實證說明 —— 紡織行業(yè) ...........................23 對出口貿(mào)易的消極影響 ................................24 不利后果 .......................................24 實證說明 —— 金屬行業(yè) ...........................27 第 5 章 匯率波動下的應對之策 ................................30 短期戰(zhàn)略:頂住壓力,保持匯率穩(wěn)定 ....................30 長期戰(zhàn)略:改進人民幣匯率的形成機制 ..................30 宏觀戰(zhàn)略:對外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)進行改革 ........................32 微觀戰(zhàn)略:外貿(mào)企業(yè)的自身采取積極措施 ................35 第 6 章 結(jié)論與展望 .........................................36 研究結(jié)論 ...........................................36 進一步研究的展望 ....................................38 參考文獻 ..................................................38 致謝 ......................................................41 本科生畢業(yè)設(shè)計(論文) 1 第 1 章 緒 論 選題 的來源及意義 人民幣自從進入 21 世紀以來一直面臨升值壓力。s export trade in all its aspects, including macro and micro aspects, and longterm or shortterm strategy. Macrocountermeasures advocated reform of the foreign trade structure。s exports in the longterm。s export trade, but also analyzed the impact of the hot industry, to speak with data and charts, the appreciation of the RMB on the metal industry, textile industry export impact. Pointed out the positive impact: beneficial to some raw materials export enterprises dependent on imports, will help promote the export trade growth pattern and optimize trade structure, and promote China39。 external causes: the international balance of payments surplus, the West, continued pressure. The second part of the industry status quo of China39。s revaluation that the government and enterprise should take. Main contents of article include the following aspect: Firstly, the retrospect for the reforms of exchange rates for the RMB and RMB appreciation background analytical. Secondly, the article talks about the policy and proposal under the tendency of RMB appreciation. The article is divided into four parts: The first part of the appreciation of the RMB to the background of the hot current affairs and analysis of its appreciation of the underlying causes behind. Internal RMB: China39。s export trade. The article recalled the background and process of the appreciation of the RMB, and revealed the active effect that the revaluation of RMB had made on China39。 關(guān)鍵詞: 人民幣升值、 匯率、 出口貿(mào)易 APPRECIATION OF RMB ON EXPORT TRADE AND COUNTERMEASURES ABSTRACT Since the beginning of the 21st century, the global economic slump, many western countries facing huge pressure of deflation. And those developed countries instead, China39。 宏觀對策主張對外貿(mào)結(jié)構(gòu)進行改革;微觀戰(zhàn)略主張外貿(mào)企業(yè)的自身采取積極 措施。指出了利好影響:有利于部分原材料依賴進口的出口企業(yè)、有利于推動出口貿(mào)易增長方式的轉(zhuǎn)變,優(yōu)化貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu),在長期中促進我國出口增長、有利于推動一部分出口產(chǎn)業(yè)向中西部地區(qū)轉(zhuǎn)移,在長期中促進我國出口良性增長;及不利后果:人民幣升值對會使得企業(yè)利潤下降,企業(yè)破產(chǎn),出口減少、人民幣升值會削弱我國出口產(chǎn)品的競爭力,導致出口的減少、投資成本上升,吸引外資投資能力下降、外匯風險加大,國內(nèi)消費過度增長。 第二部分, 介紹了我國出口貿(mào)易行業(yè)的現(xiàn)狀及熱點行業(yè)的出口形勢(金屬行業(yè)、紡織行業(yè)現(xiàn)狀) 。 本文共分四個部分 : 第一部分, 介紹了人民幣升值這一熱點時事的背景并剖析其升值背后的深層原因 。我國對外貿(mào)易的飛速發(fā)展累積了大量貿(mào)易順差和外匯儲備都使這引起了全球的關(guān)注。 溫家寶總理在不同的場合多次強調(diào):“人民幣匯率改革是中國的主權(quán),每個國家完全有權(quán)選擇適合本國國情的匯率制度和合理的匯率水平。許多原因推促著人民幣不斷升值。 本科畢業(yè)論文 人民幣升值對出口貿(mào)易的 影響及對策 人民幣升值對出口貿(mào)易的影響及對策 摘 要 進入 21 世紀以來,全球經(jīng)濟蕭條,很多西方國家面臨著通貨緊縮的巨大壓力。與那些發(fā)達國家相反,中國的經(jīng)濟走勢蒸蒸日上。人民幣升值是大勢所趨,這期間人民幣匯率的反復跌蕩對我國出口貿(mào)易有著巨大影響?!?2020 年 7 月 21 日匯改以來,人民 幣不斷升值,先后突破 及 大關(guān)。貨幣與國民經(jīng)濟息息相關(guān),匯率升值或貶值都會對一國的對外貿(mào)易產(chǎn)生重大影響。 內(nèi)部原因 :我國經(jīng)濟的持續(xù)增長 、 利率對人民幣匯率的影響; 外部原因 :國際收支雙順差、西方等國持續(xù)施壓。 第三部分 , 也是本文重點論述的部分,解析了人民 幣升值對我國出口貿(mào)易的影響,更重點分析了對熱門行業(yè)的影響 ,用數(shù)據(jù)和圖表說話,分析了人民幣升值對金屬行業(yè)、紡織行業(yè)出口的影響 。 最 后,我針對人民幣升值對我國出口貿(mào)易的各種不利影響作出了一下應對之策,從各個方面,包括宏微觀方面以及長遠或短期策略。并在短期內(nèi)堅持:頂住壓力,保持匯率穩(wěn)定;長期方面:改進人民幣匯率的形成機制。s economy trends day by day. Many reasons push to promote the RMB rise continuously. The appreciation of the RMB is the trend of the Times. During the repeated unconventional of RMB, RMB rate has great influence on China39。s foreign trade, especially the influence to our main exporting industry. At the same time through the studying the adjustment of foreign trade policy, it suggested some countermeasures to the strong tendency of RMB39。s economy continued to grow, interest rates on RMB exchange rate。s export trade and the export situation of the hot industry (metal industry, textile industry, the status quo). The third part, the paper focuses on the part, parsing the impact of RMB appreciation on China39。s export growth in the long term, to promote the transfer of part of the export industries to the central and western regions, promote a