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【正文】 s: ., . Department of Treasury 215560. Direct Overseas Investment ($ Billion) 835041980 1993 1980 1993 Foreign Direct Investment In The . ($ Billion) 200412120137131980 1995 1985 1990 Overseas Telephone Calls ($ Million) . Kearney 9/2717/pd/8 Information Technology’s Share of the GDP continues to grow, fueling the Digital Economy 4 . 24 . 54 . 96 . 16 . 48 . 201234567891977 1980 1985 1990 1993 1998% of GDP. Kearney 9/2717/pd/9 Drivers of the Digital Economy . Kearney 9/2717/pd/10 Advances in technology and improvements in information management are driving digitization Metcalfe’s Law of Network Value Greater Storage Capabilities Cheap, Deregulated Communications ? Inter Access ? Pervasive usage ? Java and Jini ? Fixed and removable Hard drives ? CDROMs ? DVDs ? Telephones ? Satellites ? Faxes ? Modems Increasingly Digitized Business Processes Moore’s Law of Microputing ? Microprocessors ? Personal puters ? Workstations ?“Smart” products (Embedded puting) . Kearney 9/2717/pd/11 Moore’s Law of Microputing Every 1218 months, the processing power of microchips doubles 1972 1976 1980 1988 1992 1996 2023 2023 2023103 104 105 106 107 108 109 4004 8080 8086 80286 80386 80486 Pentium Pentium Pro 80786 Transistors per Chip Date . Kearney 9/2717/pd/12 Moore’s Law of Microputing And with each successive generation, the price per MIPS plummets 23050163 . 4 20501001502002501991 1994 1995 1997$ per MIPS. Kearney 9/2717/pd/13 Metcalfe’s Law of Network Value The value of the work grows exponentially as the number of members or nodes on the work grows Number of Members Value of Network Extra / shared work Manufacturers Distributors Suppliers Logistics . Kearney 9/2717/pd/14 Greater Storage Capability As with the increasing processing power (Moore’s Law), storage density for all types of media is growing at a staggering rate allowing data, images, sound, and other mass content to be stored and accessed digitally 0481216201H 97 2H 97 1H 98 2H 98 1Q 99 2H 99 1H 00 2H 000501001502002501995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2023 2023Desktop Hard Drive Capacity Gigabytes Megabytes Desktop Memory Capacity . Kearney 9/2717/pd/15 Cheaper, Deregulated Telemunications Telemunications was one of the last industries to fall to deregulation globally — still in process. Before deregulation we had Grove’s Law — telemunications bandwidth doubles every hundred years (somewhat in jest). Where deregulated, price has plummeted, service and bandwidth have increased Bandwidth to the home is rising at a rate mensurate with Moore’s Law and the growth of storage medium Modem Speed/Type Transfer Time Kbps modem hours Kbps modem hours Kbps modem 46 minutes 128 Kbps ISDN 10 minutes
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