【正文】
han giving handouts to poor households, microfinance programs offer small loans to foster smallscale entrepreneurial activities. Such credit would otherwise not be available or would be only available at the very high interest rates charged by moneylenders (who often charge as much as 10% per month). Moneylenders operate with little petition since potential entrants quickly find that costs and risks are high and borrowers are usually unable to offer standard forms of collateral, if any at all (Rashid and Townsend, 1993). However, the emerging microfinance movement demonstrates institutional innovations that appear to greatly reduce the risk and cost of providing financial services to poor households. Innovations include contracts that give borrowers incentives to exclude bad credit risks and monitor other borrowers’ activities, schedules of loans that increase over time conditional on successful performance, and weekly or semiweekly loan repayment requirements (Morduch, 1997). The movement is now global, and leaders at the World Bank, United Nations, and other international anizations have joined in pushing to reach 100 million households around the world by the year 2021 (Microfinance Summit, 1997). The movement has also generated considerable support in the . (including the highprofile support of Hillary Rodham Clinton。研究結(jié)果還表明如何判別簡(jiǎn)單的誤導(dǎo)性的指標(biāo),他們持有類似的在低收入國(guó)家其他社會(huì)項(xiàng)目評(píng)估如公共健康和低收入的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn)。但是,帶著減少變化和勞動(dòng)力供應(yīng)的期待,主要的定性結(jié)果對(duì)測(cè)試組及對(duì)照組的不易觀察的鄉(xiāng)村水平是健全的。實(shí)際上,當(dāng)項(xiàng)目安置被 預(yù)測(cè)到針對(duì)目標(biāo)人群沒有觀察到影響時(shí),包括地區(qū)固定影響水平能使偏差增大。當(dāng)方案選擇已經(jīng)完成的好的地區(qū)的時(shí)候,出現(xiàn)向上偏差;當(dāng)項(xiàng)目?jī)A向于不發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)時(shí),則出現(xiàn)向下偏差。強(qiáng)制要求測(cè)試組需要同對(duì)照組一樣嚴(yán)格按照規(guī)定強(qiáng)制執(zhí)行要求。采樣戰(zhàn)略在一開始就是一個(gè)解決辦法。鄉(xiāng)村中沒有參與項(xiàng)目 的組中,其采樣嚴(yán)格遵循半英畝規(guī)定。那些記錄在案有權(quán)借款的家庭或有權(quán)參與項(xiàng)目的家庭,其中一部分所擁有的土地大概是 2 英畝,相對(duì)的其他那部分要少一點(diǎn)。 但是我們不能從這個(gè)例子里推出任何有效結(jié)論,這個(gè)數(shù)據(jù)說明人們經(jīng)常違反規(guī)則。然后,我們就能從參與該項(xiàng)目的家庭組及未參與該項(xiàng)目的家庭組的比較中得到非常明朗 的效果。反而,例如,孟加拉國(guó)鄉(xiāng)村小額貸款項(xiàng)目致力于“無地機(jī)能”,這條規(guī)定要求貸款的家庭必須有超過半英畝的可耕種土地。同這里一樣,這些項(xiàng)目經(jīng)常被限制在特殊的區(qū)域和特殊的目標(biāo)人群,尤其是貧困家庭。該項(xiàng)目得到了一億美金的援助,由此,我們也可以看到它的優(yōu)勢(shì)。相應(yīng)的,該方法也降低常年各種各樣的消費(fèi),所以,盡管該項(xiàng)目并沒有提高平均消費(fèi)水平,但他可以通過穩(wěn)定收入的方法使這些家庭穩(wěn)定消費(fèi)水平。這一結(jié)論是驚人的,關(guān)于小額貸款的反對(duì)聲音也頻繁的在國(guó)際響起。一旦,對(duì)照組坐出了適當(dāng)?shù)谋容^,不管是受教育的男孩還是受教育的女孩,有權(quán)使用小額貸款項(xiàng)目的家庭并沒有明顯提高人均消費(fèi)水平。而女孩的比例分別是 55%對(duì) 40%。例如,如果享受鄉(xiāng)村銀行服務(wù)的家庭按照從小額信貸項(xiàng)目貸款的總數(shù)來安排,則前四分之一的家庭享有人均消費(fèi)相較于在底層四分之一的家庭要高出十五個(gè)百分點(diǎn)。格拉米銀行的國(guó)際小額信貸旗艦運(yùn)動(dòng),其模式已經(jīng)被四大洲所 復(fù)制,包括在美國(guó)的阿肯色州和內(nèi)城芝加哥都取得明顯成就。本研究調(diào)查了 1800戶家庭在 1991— 1992年間的孟加拉國(guó)格拉名銀行的小額信貸項(xiàng)目,孟加拉國(guó)農(nóng)村發(fā)展委員會(huì) (BRAC),和孟加拉國(guó)農(nóng)村發(fā)展委員會(huì) (BRDB),本案例還包括了一組沒有任何小額貸款項(xiàng)目服務(wù)地區(qū)的家庭。紐約時(shí)報(bào) (1997)還發(fā)表《慶祝這個(gè)“繼續(xù)的 反 貧窮方案的革命” 》文章呼吁支持。 2021 年該運(yùn)動(dòng)已經(jīng) 在世界銀行,聯(lián)合國(guó)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人,以及其他已加入的國(guó)際組織的推動(dòng)下 成為聯(lián)系100 萬家庭的全球性的運(yùn)動(dòng) (小額信貸首腦會(huì)議, 1997)。