區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)regionaleconomicdevelopment(參考版)
2024-09-02 09:46本頁(yè)面
【正文】 D is called for. This represents a change from the present where government and state owned enterprises do most Ramp。 the expropriation of rural land for urban use needs to be controlled and the pensation system changed。LESSON 2 China 2030 A Report by the World Bank and the Development Research Center of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China Over the last three decades, China has ? Averaged 10% GDP growth per year ? Lifted over 500 million people out of poverty ? Bee the second largest economy in the world ? Bee the world’s largest manufacturer and exporter ? Bee home to 2 of the top 10 banks in the world, 61 panies on the latest Global Fortune 500 list, the world’s second largest highway work, the world’s 3 longest sea bridges, 6 of the world’s ten largest container ports. But GDP growth is expected to slow from around % now to about 5% in 20262030. This is for several reasons: ? Much of the growth from transferring resources out of agriculture and into industry has already been achieved ? The capitallabor ratio will rise, signaling a smaller contribution to growth of continued capital accumulation ? The old age dependency ratio ( of persons 65/ of persons 1564) will double in the next two decades ? The labor force will start to shrink by 2020 ? Total factor productivity will decline as gains from first generation policy reforms and absorption of foreign technologies are exhausted. It is also expected that the trade surplus will decline as exports fall and imports rise. Also, domestic market growth will replace export market growth as the major engine of growth over the next two decades. And the external capital account balance will be in deficit as investment flows out of China to the rest of the world. Urbanization will grow, reaching from the current 50% to about twothirds. But ruralur
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