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those in the film Total Recall. ?。?1)There will be television chat shows hosted by robots,and cars with pollution monitors that will disable them when they offend.(72)Children will play with dolls equipped with personality with inbuilt personalities will be regarded as workmates rather than tools,relaxation will be in front of smelltelevision,and digital age will have arrived. According to BT s futurologist,Ian Pearson,these are among the developments scheduled for the first few decades of the new millennium(a period of 1000years),when superputers will dramatically accelerate progress in all areas of life. ?。?3)Pearson has pieced together the work of hundreds of researchers around the world to produce a unique millennium technology calendar that gives the latest dates when we can expect hundreds or key breakthroughs and discoveries to take of the biggest developments will be in medicine,including an extended life expectancy and dozens of artificial organs ing into use between now and 2040. Pearson also predicts a breakthrough in puterhuman linking directly to our nervous system,puters could pick up what we feel and,hopefully,simulate feeling too so that we can start to develop full sensory environments,rather like the holidays in Total Recall or the Star Trek holodeck,he says.(74)But that,Pearson points out,is only the start of manmachine integration:It will be the beginning of the long process of integration that will ultimately lead to a fully electronic human before the end of the next century. Through his research,Pearson is able to put dates to most of the breakthroughs that can be ,there are still no forecasts for when fasterthatlight travel will be available,or when human cloning will be perfected,or when time travel will be he does expect social problems as a result of technological boom in neighborhood surveillance cameras will,for example,cause problems in2010,while the arrival of synthetic lifelike robots will mean people may not be able to distinguish between their human friends and the droids.(75)And home appliances will also bee so smart that controlling and operating them will result in the breakout of a new psychological disorder—kitchen rage. 再過不到30年星球旅行太空平臺將成為現(xiàn)實。大腦神經系統(tǒng)與計算機的直接連接也將創(chuàng)造出完全傳感的實際環(huán)境,使得實際的度假和電影全面回顧中的度假一模一樣。 ?。?1)屆時,將出現(xiàn)由機器人主持的電視談話節(jié)目以及裝有污染監(jiān)控器的汽車,一旦這些汽車排污超標(違規(guī)),監(jiān)控器就會使其停駛。(72)兒童將與裝有個性化芯片的玩具娃娃玩耍,具有個性內置的計算機將被視為工作伙伴而不是工具,人們將在氣味電視前休閑,這時數(shù)字時代就來到了?! 「鶕?jù)英國電訊公司的未來學家伊恩皮爾遜的看法,上述種種科研成就均屬新千年的最初幾十年內的開發(fā)項目之列,屆時超級計算機將大大加快人類生活各個領域里的進步。 ?。?3)皮爾遜匯集世界各地數(shù)百位研究人員的成果,編制了一個獨特的新技術千年歷,它列出了人們有望看到達數(shù)百項重大突破和發(fā)現(xiàn)的最晚日期。一些最重大的開發(fā)將會發(fā)生在醫(yī)學中,其中包括延長人的估計壽命和從現(xiàn)在到2040年間將投入使用的幾十種人造器官?! ∑栠d遜預言了電腦與人各種連接的突破。通過直接與我們的神經系統(tǒng)相連接,電腦能夠了解到我們的感情并且有望激發(fā)我們的情感,這樣我們就能著手開發(fā)完全傳感的環(huán)境,更類似于電影全面回顧或星球旅行太空平臺中的度假。(74)但皮爾遜指出,這個突破僅僅是人機一體化的開始:它是人機一體化漫長之路的第一步,最終會使人們在下世紀末之前就研制出完全電子化的仿真人?! 〗涍^研究,皮爾邇確定可以預測到的大多數(shù)突破的日期。然而,仍然不能預報快于光速的旅行何時到來,或何時將完成克隆人,或何時可以實現(xiàn)遨游過去或將來的時間旅行。但皮爾遜確實預料到技術進步所引起的社會問題。例如,鄰里電子監(jiān)控攝像機的飛速推廣將在2010年引起許多社會問題,而栩栩如生的人造機器人的問世將意味著人們可能無法把他們的真人朋友和這類機器人區(qū)別開來。(75)家用電器將會變得如此智能化,以至于控制和操作它們會引發(fā)一種新的心理疾病———廚房狂躁。 7