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ery difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.” Interventions that seem obviously correct today may no longer be so when conditions change in the future. The links between drivers of change call for more integrated approaches The price of oil affects the price of food Who could have predicted that when a Tunisian fruitseller set himself on fire in December, the whole world would feel the heat? Trends affecting ecosystem services What are the ecological implications of 9 billion people? ? 3040% more food required ? 1 billion ha of natural habitat converted to agriculture ? 23 times more nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer required ? Twice as much water required ? 3 times more pesticide use Oldgrowth forests continue to be depleted Climates are changing We keep using more water…. 0501001502002503003501950s 1960s 1970s 198