【正文】 m not sure that jobs will disappear altogether, though that seems possible, but the jobs that are left will be lower paying and less secure than those that exist now. The middle is moving to the bottom.” Stowe Boyd, lead researcher at GigaOM Research, said, “As just one aspect of the rise of robots and AI, widespread use of autonomous cars and trucks will be the immediate end of taxi drivers and truck drivers。 will have to be involved on a large scale. Just as aircraft have to have pilots and copilots, I don39。 UMBERS, FACTS AND TRENDS SHAPING THE WORLD FOR RELEASE 6, 20xx FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS REPORT: Aaron Smith, Senior Researcher, Inter Project Janna Anderson, Director, Elon University’s Imagining the Inter Center RECOMMENDED CITATION: Pew Research Center, August 20xx, “AI, Robotics, and the Future of Jobs” Available at: 1 PEW RESEARCH CENTER g About This Report This report is the latest in a sustained effort throughout 20xx by the Pew Research Center?s Inter Project to mark the 25th anniversary of the creation of the World Wide Web by Sir Tim BernersLee (The Web at 25). The report covers experts? views about advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, and their impact on jobs and employment. The previous reports in this series include: ? A February 20xx report from the Pew Research Center?s Inter Project tied to the Web?s anniversary looking at the strikingly fast adoption of the Inter and the generally positive attitudes users have about its role in their social environment. ? A March 20xx Digital Life in 2025 report issued by the Inter Project in association with Elon Univ ersity?s Imagining the Inter Center focusing on the Inter?s future more broadly. Some 1,867 experts and stakeholders responded to an openended question about the future of the Inter by 2025. One mon opinion: the Inter would bee such an ingrained part of the environment that it would be “l(fā)ike electricity”—less visible even as it bees more important in people?s daily lives. ? A May 20xx Digital Life in 2025 report on the Inter of Things from Pew Research and Elon University examining the likely impacts of the Inter of Things and wearable and embedded worked devices. A majority of the more than 1,600 respondents said they expect significant expansion of the Inter of Things, including connected devices, appliances, vehicles, wearables, and sensorladen aspects of the environment. ? A July 20xx report on Threats to the Open Inter from Pew Research and Elon University canvassing a number of experts and other stakeholders on what they see as the major threats to the free flow of information online. A majority of these experts expect the Inter to remain a place where people can freely access and share content, even as they anticipate a number of potential threats to this freedom in the ing years. This report is a collaborative effort based on the input and analysis of the following individuals. Aaron Smith, Senior Researcher, Pew Research Center’s Inter Project Prof. Janna Anderson, Director, Elon University’s Imagining the Inter Center Lee Rainie, Director, Pew Research Center’s Inter Project Find related reports about the future of the Inter at 2 PEW RESEARCH CENTER g About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center is a nonpartisan fact tank that informs the public about the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. It does not take policy positions. It conducts public opinion polling, demographic research, media content analysis and other empirical social science research. The center studies . politics and policy views。t think all 39。 truck driver is the numberone occupation for men in the .. Just as importantly, autonomous cars will radically decrease car ownership, which will impact the automotive industry. Perhaps 70% of cars in urban areas would go away. Autonomous robots and systems could impact up to 50% of jobs, according to recent analysis by Frey and Osborne at Oxford, leaving only jobs that require the 39。 Society, said, “Robots and AI will increasingly replace routine kinds of work—even the plex routines performed by artisans, factory workers, lawyers, and accountants. There will be a labor market in the service sector for nonroutine tasks that can be performed interchangeably by just about anyone—and these will not pay a living wage—and there will be some new opportunities created for plex nonroutine work, but the gains at this top of the labor market will not be offset by losses in the middle and gains of terrible jobs at the bottom. I39。human hand39。 media and journalism。selfdriving39。application of heuristics39。s Berkman Center for Inter amp。 they may not be strictly attributable to the uses of automation but they are related…what the middle of the 20th century shows us is how dramatic major economic changes are—like the 1970s OPECdriven increases of the price of oil—and how those changes can dwarf the effects of technology.” Argument 3: There are certain jobs that only humans have the capacity to do A number of respondents argued that many jobs require uniquely human characteristics such as empathy, creativity, judgment, or critical thinking—and that jobs of this nature will never succumb to widespread automation. David Hughes, a retired . Army Colonel who, from 1972, was a pioneer in individual to/from digital telemunications, responded, “For all the automation and AI, I think the 39。 Inter and technology。 cars will be totally unmanned. The human39。 or creativity…An increasing proportion of the world39。s work.? There is great pain down the road for everyone as new realiti