【正文】 ...................................................103．房地產(chǎn)博弈、警察捉小偷博弈與納什均衡 ...............................................................................114．位置博弈與商家策略 ...................................................................................................................125．獵鹿模型的合作哲學(xué) ...................................................................................................................13第三章 “囚徒困境”的啟示 ...............................................................................................................141． “囚徒困境”的深刻哲理 .............................................................................................................142．經(jīng)濟(jì)自由與效率 ...........................................................................................................................163．“囚徒困境”的破解：無限次重復(fù)博弈與有限次重復(fù)博弈 ...................................................174．威脅、承諾、作弊與懲罰 ...........................................................................................................195．國家法律 .......................................................................................................................................206．猴子的故事與道德約束 ...............................................................................................................217．愛克斯羅德試驗(yàn)、針鋒相對的策略 ...........................................................................................2利他主義與愛克斯羅德試驗(yàn)的局限 .................................................................................23第四章 “智豬博弈”：對諸多現(xiàn)象的解釋 .......................................................................................251．“智豬博弈”的故事 ...................................................................................................................252“智豬博弈”與激勵機(jī)制設(shè)計(jì) .......................................................................................................263．企業(yè)戰(zhàn)略與“智豬博弈” ...........................................................................................................274．證券市場中的“智豬博弈” .......................................................................................................28第五章 常見的博弈案例 .......................................................................................................................291．“斗雞博弈”與“騎虎難下” ...................................................................................................292．銀行會垮掉嗎？ ...........................................................................................................................313．如何以弱勝強(qiáng)？ ...........................................................................................................................324．公共地悲劇 ...................................................................................................................................345．少數(shù)人博弈與酒吧問題 ...............................................................................................................356．房地產(chǎn)市場的多人博弈 ...............................................................................................................36第六章 信息經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)基礎(chǔ) .......................................................................................................................37 .........................................................................................................................................372 / 662. 從形象工程談道德風(fēng)險(xiǎn) ................................................................................................................393．逆向選擇的困境：二手車市場為何建立不起來？ ...................................................................4信號傳遞與制度設(shè)計(jì) .........................................................................................................425．所羅門故事與信息甄別 ...............................................................................................................44第七章 討價還價的策略 .......................................................................................................................461．從情侶博弈談起 ...........................................................................................................................462．先發(fā)優(yōu)勢與后發(fā)優(yōu)勢 ...................................................................................................................473．談判的要訣:掌握對方心理與妥協(xié) .............................................................................................484．獨(dú)裁者博弈與勞資談判 ...............................................................................................................49第八章 如何做好一個老板 ...................................................................................................................501．管理需要建立預(yù)期 .......................................................................................................................502．獎罰分明 .......................................................................................................................................513．強(qiáng)強(qiáng)如何有效聯(lián)合？ ...................................................................................................................534．如何接到一個項(xiàng)目？ ...................................................................................................................54第九章 民主的悲劇 ...............................................................................................................................55 .............................................................................................................................55 .................................................................................................................................563．孔多塞投票法則 ...........................................................................................................................584．BORDA 法則及其他 ........................................................................................................................605．投票操縱的方法：民主的悖論 ...................................................................................................606．阿羅不可能定理 ............................................................