【正文】 ultant EU – China The EU crises (2) 歐盟危機(jī) Who is next? Spain, Italy, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Belgium, and ? ??? 誰(shuí)將會(huì)是下一個(gè)？ 西班牙，意大利，匈牙利，波蘭，羅馬尼亞，比利時(shí)，還是 ???? 2022/3/13 25 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China The EU crises (3) 歐盟危機(jī) In reality the EU – zone country rescue program is an EU banking rescue program, due to their huge Government bond positions in their balance sheets 由于在其（銀行）資產(chǎn)負(fù)債表中政府公債數(shù)額巨大， 歐盟國(guó)家救援計(jì)劃事實(shí)上是歐盟銀行業(yè)救援計(jì)劃。 他們?cè)鯓硬拍芾^續(xù)生存？ 2022/3/13 20 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Financial + Banking crises (5) 金融業(yè)與銀行業(yè)危機(jī) How to get rid of the government debts? The US print money and the rest of the world has to buy and to rescue the US. But for how long? 如何擺脫政府債務(wù) 困境 ？ 美國(guó)印刷美元，其他國(guó)家 被迫 購(gòu)買(mǎi) 并以此來(lái) 拯救美國(guó)。 2022/3/13 2 Abbreviation (1) 縮寫(xiě)詞 BMT = Basic Management Tools 基礎(chǔ)管理工具 CDS = Credit Default Swaps 信用違約掉期 CEIBS = China Europe International Business School 中歐國(guó)際商學(xué)院 CEO = Chief Executive Officer 首席執(zhí)行官 CO2 = Carbon (chem.) 二氧化碳 CRO = Chief Risk Officer 首席風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管控官 CSO = Chief Strategic Officer 首席戰(zhàn)略管控官 EBIT = Earnings Before Interests + Taxes 息稅前收益 ECUST = East China University of Science + Technology 華東理工大學(xué) EDA = Economic Development Area 經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)發(fā)區(qū) EDP = Expert Data Pool 專(zhuān)業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù) 2022/3/13 3 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Abbreviation (2) 縮寫(xiě)詞 EMBA = Executive MBA 高級(jí)工商管理碩士 ERM = Enterprise Risk Management 企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理 EU = European Union 歐盟 EVA = Economic Value Added 經(jīng)濟(jì)附加值 GDP = Gross Domestic Product 國(guó)民生產(chǎn)總值 HR = Human Resources 人力資源 IMBA = International MBA 國(guó)際工商管理碩士 IT = Information Technology 信息技術(shù) JV = Joint Venture 合資企業(yè) Ltd = Limited 有限公司 M+A = Mergers + Acquisition 合并 + 收購(gòu) 2022/3/13 4 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Abbreviation (3) 縮寫(xiě)詞 MBA = Master of Business Administration 工商管理碩士 p+l = profit + loss account 損益賬戶(hù) Q+A = Questions + Answers 提問(wèn)與回答 QTC = Qingdao Technical College 青島職業(yè)技術(shù)學(xué)院 RMB = Renmimbi Yuan 人民幣，元 SWOT = Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats 優(yōu)勢(shì)，劣勢(shì)，機(jī)遇與危機(jī) TCM = Traditional Chinese Medicine 傳統(tǒng)中藥 UK = United Kingdom 英國(guó)，大不列顛聯(lián)合王國(guó) US = United States 美國(guó) USA = United States of America 美利堅(jiān)和公國(guó) USD = US – Dollar 美元 2022/3/13 5 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (1) 目錄 Chapter 1: Current global Economic and Political challenges 第 一 章：目前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治所面臨的挑戰(zhàn) Financial + Banking Crises 金融業(yè)與銀行業(yè)危機(jī) Political Crises 政治危機(jī) Natural Disasters 自然災(zāi)害 Interim Result 中期結(jié)論 2022/3/13 6 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (2) 目錄 Chapter 2: Theory + Concept of ERM (1) 第 二 章：企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的原理與概念 (1) The key Principles of ERM 企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的關(guān)鍵原則 Advantages of ERM 企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的優(yōu)點(diǎn) Implementation of ERM 企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的實(shí)行 2022/3/13 7 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (3) 目錄 Chapter 2: Theory + Concept of ERM (2) 第 二 章：企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的原理與概念 (2) Components of ERM 企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的組成 Risk Correlations 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)相關(guān)性 Risk Capital 風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本 2022/3/13 8 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (4) 目錄 Chapter 3: ERM + Overseas investments （ 1） 第 三 章：企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理與海外投資 Reality in Overseas Investments 海外投資的 現(xiàn)狀 Major risks in Overseas Investments Project Management 海外投資項(xiàng)目管理的主要風(fēng)險(xiǎn) Special focus on credit risk 特別 關(guān)注信用風(fēng)險(xiǎn) 2022/3/13 9 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (5) 目錄 Chapter 3: ERM + Overseas investments （ 2） 第 三 章：企業(yè)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理與海外投資 Country rating 國(guó)家評(píng)級(jí) Rating Agencies 評(píng)級(jí)機(jī)構(gòu) 2022/3/13 10 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (6) 目錄 Chapter 4: Result 第四章：結(jié)論 2022/3/13 11 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (7) 目錄 Chapter 5: Q + A 第五章：提問(wèn)與回答 2022/3/13 12 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Agenda (8) 目錄 Annex: About the lecturer 參考：講師簡(jiǎn)介 2022/3/13 13 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Chapter 1 第一章 Current global Economic and Political Challenges 目前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治所面臨的挑戰(zhàn) 2022/3/13 14 Current global economic + political challenges (1) 目前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治所面臨的挑戰(zhàn) “The Wind of Change” “ 改革之風(fēng) ” The whole political + economical world is in a severe transition due to the aftermath of the financial crises 在金融危機(jī)后，整個(gè)金融與政治世界都在經(jīng)歷著嚴(yán)峻的轉(zhuǎn)型期。 2022/3/13 15 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Current global economic + political challenges (2) 目前全球經(jīng)濟(jì)與政治所面臨的挑戰(zhàn) Due to the globalisation this crises leads towards highly unpredictable chain risk reactions 由于全球化，這場(chǎng)危機(jī)將會(huì)導(dǎo)致不可預(yù)期的連鎖風(fēng)險(xiǎn)反應(yīng)。 但是這 能持續(xù) 多久？ 2022/3/13 21 柯朗 WolfBernhard KERSTEN, Professor of Economics, International Consultant EU – China Financial + Banking crises (6)