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【正文】 .ModelsEconomic(Edition1998,Pindyck,and.,37,2.Models:DataDecisions,by.,.,Willmot,Sections,BeginningExample),(excludingand).SimulationSecond),by.,7Chapter4.Analysis,by.,Moeschberger,Chapters5excluding),(7)8.Notes:for14availableoursiteCode 40501 4Study40900 Examination41000 20004NovemberCourse/Exam Candidates should be able to use and apply the following concepts in a risk management context:1. General Probability? Set functions including set notation and basic elements of probability? Mutually exclusive events? Addition and multiplication rules? Independence of events? Combinatorial probability? Conditional probability – Non Bayes Theorem? Bayes Theorem / Law of total probability? Probability functions and probability density functions? Cumulative distribution functions? Conditional probability? Mode, median, percentiles, and moments? Variance and measures of dispersion? Moment generating functions? TransformationsSuggested TextsThere is no single required text for this exam. You may wish to use more than one of the following or other texts of your choosing in your preparation.A First Course in Probability (Seventh Edition), 2005, by Ross, ., Chapters 1–8.Fundamentals of Probability (Third Edition), 2005, by Ghahramani, S., Chapters 1–11.? Miller, M., Chapters 18.? Probability for Risk Management, 1999, by Hassett, M. and Stewart, D., Chapters 1–11.? SNs for the Preliminary Education examinations are available on the SOA Web site under Exams and Jobs/Candidate and Exam Information/Fall Exam Session/Fall 2006 Basic Education Catalog – Study Notes Information. validated by a threehour examination. Exam MF, Mathematics of Finance: Theory of interest and introduction to financial economics。 validated by a fourhour examination. Exam C, Construction and Evaluation of Risk Models: Fitting parametric and nonparametric models and credibility。s sphere, integrate into actuarial work. Module 3, Typical Actuarial Problems: Provide an introduction to concepts within the context of mon actuarial problems and assignments. Module 4, Solutions to Selected Actuarial Problems: Demonstrate how a plete control cycle is applied, through selected examples and sample solutions. Module 5, Design and Pricing of an Actuarial Solution: Introduce and define mon models for each area of practice. Module 6, Selection of an Actuarial Design and Model: Given a problem, find a solution by going through the entire process to select a model. Module 7, Selection of Initial Assumptions: Introduce the process and considerations in selecting assumptions as a ponent of finalizing the design solution and moving toward monitoring results. Module 8, Monitoring Experience Model and Assumptions: Establish the link between designing the solution and monitoring the results via techniques for monitoring experience. Validation Plan for Fundamentals of Actuarial Practice 1. To maintain standards, validation (including interactions embedded in the content, endofmodule tests and endofmodule exercises) will occur throughout the course. 2. Candidates will also be formally evaluated via puterized, multiplechoice examinations. The first examination will cover content in Modules 15 and the second examination will cover content in Modules 68. These exams will be administered securely and frequently, with a potential to evolve to on demand over time. Associateship Professionalism Course (APC) The APC objectives are unchanged from the current description. Fellowship Requirements For the FSA designation, the candidate would be required to plete all of the ASA requirements plus the following additional educational elements: 1. Two practicespecific examinations a. Examination DP Design amp。16
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