【正文】
,可判定回歸模型存在正自相關(guān)。首先,對其進行一階自相關(guān)處理: ,命令方式執(zhí)行Ls y c x1 x2 x3 ar(1),其結(jié)果如下:Dependent Variable: YMethod: Least SquaresDate: 07/05/11 Time: 09:53Sample (adjusted): 1953 2009Included observations: 57 after adjustmentsConvergence achieved after 28 iterationsVariableCoefficientStd. ErrortStatisticProb.CX1X2X3AR(1)RsquaredMean dependent varAdjusted Rsquared. dependent var. of regressionAkaike info criterionSum squared residSchwarz criterionLog likelihoodHannanQuinn criter.FstatisticDurbinWatson statProb(Fstatistic)Inverted AR RootsEstimated AR process is nonstationary根據(jù)DW值可知,DW=,說明該模型依舊存在正自相關(guān)。(三)多重共線性檢驗相關(guān)系數(shù)檢驗法用命令方式執(zhí)行cor x1 x2 x3可知結(jié)果:X1X2X3X11X21X31有相關(guān)系數(shù)矩陣可以看出,各解釋變量相互之間的相關(guān)系數(shù)較高證實確實存在嚴(yán)重的多重共線性,但是由于xxx3均是影響新疆人均生產(chǎn)總值不可缺少的因素,因此為了避免剔除變量data a。proc reg corr。run。model y=x1 x2 x3/ridge= to by 。run。run。