【正文】
ario 對(duì) 有 CDM項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)的情況下 , 對(duì) GHG排放趨勢(shì) 情 景 的預(yù)測(cè) Scenario forecast to show the trend of anthropogenic GHG emissions that would occur with the proposed CDM project intervention. 2023/2/4 2 基準(zhǔn) 線 : Baseline ? CDM項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)的基準(zhǔn) 線 是一種假設(shè)情況合理代表在不開(kāi)展擬議項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)的情況下的溫室氣體人為源排放量?;鶞?zhǔn) 線 應(yīng)涵蓋項(xiàng)目?jī)?nèi)附件 A 所列所有氣體部門(mén)和源類別的排放量 The baseline for a CDM project activity is the scenario that reasonably represents the anthropogenic emissions by sources of greenhouse gases that would occur in the absence of the proposed project activity. A baseline shall cover emissions from all gases, sectors and source categories listed in Annex A within the project boundary. ? 基準(zhǔn) 線 可包含一種假設(shè)情況。 b) Emissions from a technology that represents an economically attractive course of action, taking into account barriers to investment。 ? In accordance with provisions for the use of approved and new methodologies ? In a transparent and conservative manner manner regarding the choice of approaches, assumptions, methodologies, parameters, data sources, key factors and additionality, and taking into account uncertainty。 2023/2/4 5 額外性要求: Additionality requirements ? CDM項(xiàng)目的溫室氣體減排應(yīng)與減緩氣候變化有關(guān)的真實(shí)的、可測(cè)量的和長(zhǎng)期的效益 GHG emission reductions of CDM projects shall be real, measurable, and assure longterm benefits related to the mitigation of climate change ? CDM 項(xiàng)目溫室氣體的減排放應(yīng)是在沒(méi)有經(jīng)證明的項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)的情況下所產(chǎn)生的額外的所有排放量的減少 GHG emission reductions of CDM projects shall be additional to any that would occur in the absence of the certified project activity. Kyoto Protocol, Article 12/ 5(c) ? 清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)應(yīng)具有額外性,即溫室氣體人為源排放量減少到低于不開(kāi)展清潔發(fā)展機(jī)制項(xiàng)目活動(dòng)情況下會(huì)出現(xiàn)的水平 A CDM project activity is additional if anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases by sources are reduced below those that would have occurred in the absence of the registered CDM project activity. CDM modalities procedures, paragraph 43 2023/2/4 7 額外性評(píng)估: Additionality assessment a) 通過(guò)流程圖或一系列問(wèn)題逐漸縮小基準(zhǔn)情景選擇的范圍 b) 定性或定量的評(píng)估不同可能的基準(zhǔn)情景,并說(shuō)明該基準(zhǔn)情景的項(xiàng)目不可能實(shí)施 c) 定性或定量地評(píng)估所提議的項(xiàng)目實(shí)施障礙 d) 展示說(shuō)明該項(xiàng)目不是通常慣例,例如發(fā)生的情況 全部 可能情況的 X% a) A flowchart or series of questions that lead to a narrowing of potential baseline options。 c) A qualitative or quantitative assessment of one or more barriers facing the proposed project activity。如“ E+類 ”的國(guó)家及(或)產(chǎn)亞政策或法規(guī)在 COP締結(jié)京都議定書(shū)后才推行者,其基準(zhǔn)線清景應(yīng)以沒(méi)有此類政策或法規(guī)之假設(shè)情況為是 Only “Type E+” national and/or sectoral policies or regulations that have been implemented before adoption of the Kyoto Protocol by the COP (decision 1/, 11 December 1997) shall be taken into account when developing a baseline scenario. If “Type E+” national and/or sectoral policies were implemented since the adoption of the Kyoto Protocol, th