【正文】 、質(zhì)量控制、抽樣檢查、價(jià)格控制等都要用到概率統(tǒng)計(jì)知識(shí)。. . . . .畢 業(yè) 論 文題 目： 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在金融中的應(yīng)用 學(xué) 院： 數(shù)理學(xué)院 專 業(yè)： 數(shù)學(xué)與應(yīng)用數(shù)學(xué) 姓 名： x xxx 學(xué) 號(hào) xxxxxxx 指導(dǎo)老師： xxxxx 完成時(shí)間： 2013年5月27日 學(xué)習(xí)參考 摘 要 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)課程是金融數(shù)學(xué)的必修課，它作為重要的數(shù)學(xué)工具，在金融領(lǐng)域的分析中發(fā)揮著舉足輕重的作用。當(dāng)今概率統(tǒng)計(jì)與經(jīng)濟(jì)的關(guān)系可以說是息息相關(guān)的,幾乎任何一項(xiàng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的研究、決策都離不開它的應(yīng)用。實(shí)踐證明,概率統(tǒng)計(jì)是對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)問題進(jìn)行研究的有效工具,并且它為經(jīng)濟(jì)管理、經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)估、經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè)和決策提供了新的手段。關(guān)鍵詞：概率統(tǒng)計(jì)，現(xiàn)代金融 ，經(jīng)濟(jì)管理決策，經(jīng)濟(jì)損失估計(jì)，經(jīng)濟(jì)保險(xiǎn)， 最大經(jīng)濟(jì)利潤求解，經(jīng)濟(jì)預(yù)測(cè) 學(xué)習(xí)參考. . . . . ABSTRACT Probability and statistics course is a required subject in financial mathematics. As an important mathematical tool ,probability and statistics plays an important role in the field of financial , probability and statistics is closely linked with the areas of the economy, and any economics research, economics decision making is arguably almost inseparable from its applications,such as: experiment design, multivariate analysis, quality control and sampling inspection, price control, and so on,which all take advantage of the knowledge of and statistics. Practice has proved, probability and statistics is an effective tool for the study of economics, and it provides a new means for the economic management, economic forecasts, economic forecasts and decisionmaking and so on. At first,this article elaborated the paper’s research background, research purpose and research significance, as well as the source of the topic and the current situation of the development, but also the organizational structure of paper: firstly, focuses on the analysis of the monly used theory and knowledge in mathematical statistics , and several models which based on the theory of the probability and statistics,which makes simple preparation for the knowledge used in the introdution of the next by,next chapter makes some examples for the introduction of the application of probability and statistics in Some of the economics problems,such as the economic management of financial decisions, economic loss estimation, maximum economic profit solution, economic safe, economic forecasts,and so end of the article makes a summary about the whole paper. Keywords: Probability and statistics, modern finance, economic management, economic loss estimation, economic security, maximum economic profit, economic forecasts 學(xué)習(xí)參考. . . . .目錄 摘 要 IABSTRACT II第一章　　概論 1 研究背景、意義及目的 1 1 1 研究意義 1 發(fā)展近況 1 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)與金融學(xué)的聯(lián)系與應(yīng)用 2 論文的組織結(jié)構(gòu) 3第二章　 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)常用理論知識(shí) 4 4 4 4 概率統(tǒng)計(jì)常用理論模型 5 中心極限定理 5 矩估計(jì)和最大似然估計(jì) 5 置信區(qū)間和置信度 7 線性回歸模型 7 一元線性回歸分析 8第三章　　概率統(tǒng)計(jì)在金融中的應(yīng)用實(shí)例 13 13 13 13 14 15 16 17第四章　　總結(jié) 21參考文獻(xiàn) 22致謝 23學(xué)習(xí)參考. . . . .第一章　　概論 研究背景、意義及目的 由于數(shù)學(xué)固有的靈活性，可使金融領(lǐng)域的相關(guān)研究和探索借助于其多種計(jì)算方法以及數(shù)學(xué)模型,從而更好地發(fā)現(xiàn)現(xiàn)實(shí)金融問題背后的經(jīng)濟(jì)變量函數(shù),使復(fù)雜的關(guān)系得以清晰化；由于其固有的精確性,采用數(shù)學(xué)方法可以準(zhǔn)確的研究和描述經(jīng)濟(jì)范疇之間的數(shù)量關(guān)系；由于其固有的嚴(yán)密邏輯性,使得數(shù)學(xué)分析成為科學(xué)推理的主要手段,可以使一些用其他方法難以說清的邏輯關(guān)系得到簡潔明了的說明和解決。金融學(xué)作為立足于經(jīng)濟(jì)現(xiàn)象之上的一門學(xué)科,與概率統(tǒng)計(jì)之間有著千絲萬縷的聯(lián)系，越來越多的統(tǒng)計(jì)方法被運(yùn)用到金融領(lǐng)域當(dāng)中,金融統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)這一新興邊緣學(xué)科也由此應(yīng)運(yùn)而生。 本文主要介紹了概率