對(duì)外貿(mào)易外文翻譯--貿(mào)易開放和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)：出口導(dǎo)向型還是進(jìn)口導(dǎo)向型？-展示頁(yè)
2024-11-13 03:47本頁(yè)面
【正文】 在某些情況下，也有從國(guó)內(nèi)生產(chǎn)總值增長(zhǎng)、出口和進(jìn)口的反向因果關(guān)系的實(shí)證。因此，它可以得出合理的結(jié)論，幾個(gè)拉美國(guó)家的出口和進(jìn)口在拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方面發(fā)揮非常重要的作用 這一發(fā)現(xiàn)對(duì)于拉丁美洲和其他發(fā)展中國(guó)家的影響有若干政策。其次，進(jìn)口的開放性對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)是非常重要的，因?yàn)樗亲鳛槌隹诘难a(bǔ)充。從大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家采取進(jìn)口替代發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略的經(jīng)驗(yàn)中可以看出，大規(guī)模的進(jìn)口限制可以制約經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。它可能對(duì)于擴(kuò)展分析框架應(yīng)用于其他發(fā)展中國(guó)家是有用的。 Edwards, 1998). The vast majority of this literature focuses on the causal effect of export on economic growth. The main question in the exportledgrowth debate is whether an exportdriven outward orienting trade policy is preferable to an inward orienting trade policy in stimulating economic growth. Some researchers argue that causality flows from exports to economic growth and denotes this as the exportled growth (ELG) reverse causal flow from economic growth to exports is termed growthled exports (GLE). The third alternative is that of importled growth (ILG) which suggests that economic growth could be driven primarily by growth in imports. Despite the potentially important role of imports and import petition, relatively little attention has been devoted to the causal relationship between imports and economic growth. Most studies on the effect of trade openness on growth have primarily focused on the role of exports and have mostly ignored the contribution of imports. However, some recent studies have shown that without controlling for imports, any observed causal link between exports and economic growth may be spurious and thus misleading (Esfahani, 1991。Thangavelu and Rajaguru, 2020). Imports may be very important to economic growth since significant export growth is usually associated with rapid import growth. Furthermore, the exportgrowth analyses that exclude imports may be subject to the classic omitted variable problem. The fundamental causal. relationship may actually be between imports and economic growth. Although numerous empirical studies have investigated the role of exports in economic growth,they largely focused on Asian economies, with few studies including Latin America in their economic development paths,many Latin American economies mostly followed protectionist trade policies emphasizing the importsubstitution industrialization strategy. The current prevailing view among most development economists is that the importsubstitution approach is detrimental to economic growth as it inherently fosters production inefficienc ies and encourages rentseeking behaviour. In recent years, many Latin American countries have experienced major macroeconomic and trade policy reforms with emphasis on market liberalization and trade openness. This study investigates the causal relationship between trade and economic growth for three Latin American economies (Argentina, Colombia and Peru) within an
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