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感謝大學(xué)期間給我諸多教誨和幫助的的各位老師們,你們辛苦了!感謝我的所有同學(xué)朋友們,是你們讓我的大學(xué)生活充滿了快樂(lè),謝謝你們年來(lái)給予我的幫助!感謝我的家人及親戚們。在這里,我要特別感謝我的畢業(yè)指導(dǎo)老師 老師。從初上大學(xué)時(shí)的青澀、茫然不知所措到如今的漸漸成熟,這年的大學(xué)學(xué)習(xí)生活讓我不斷成長(zhǎng),精神層次提高了不止一個(gè)層次。再過(guò)不久,我也將告別人生中最后一段的讀書(shū)生涯,邁入嶄新的一個(gè)階段:在社會(huì)上去拼搏,去實(shí)現(xiàn)自己的價(jià)值。 Of 應(yīng)理解人們對(duì)數(shù)字接入和服務(wù)的需求,跨越地理和社會(huì)界別,找到實(shí)現(xiàn)每一位公民普遍接入的辦法。能源問(wèn)題在未來(lái) 20 年中會(huì)更加突出,成為社會(huì)的首要問(wèn)題,因此通信業(yè)必須對(duì)此緊密關(guān)注,既要考慮通信領(lǐng)域本身的能源使用問(wèn)題,搞清產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)能源消耗的分布情況,找出可以降低能源消耗的入手點(diǎn),又要關(guān)注產(chǎn)業(yè)外的情況,分析數(shù)字經(jīng)濟(jì)和通信技術(shù)在哪些領(lǐng)域?qū)嵤┛梢愿蟪潭鹊販p少能源消耗。因此,通信業(yè)需要深刻理解并適應(yīng)社會(huì)微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的變化。 第四,通信如何適應(yīng)未來(lái)微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展需求。 第三,未來(lái)老齡化社會(huì)的通信需求滿足問(wèn)題。 第二,新的通信衡量分析手段。 第一, IP/NGN 后時(shí)代的網(wǎng)絡(luò)結(jié)構(gòu)和協(xié)議問(wèn)題。 Of要求專家們選出 2018年和 2028年全社會(huì)分別面臨的最主要的機(jī)會(huì)和挑戰(zhàn),重點(diǎn)是說(shuō)明這些機(jī)會(huì)和挑戰(zhàn)如何影響世界,而不是怎么解決這些問(wèn)題 ,其結(jié)果如表所示。 此外, 20 年后的社會(huì)還會(huì)面臨這樣一些問(wèn)題:環(huán)境壓力威脅經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定發(fā)展 。知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)不再能賣到錢(qián),人們認(rèn)為應(yīng)該免費(fèi)享受 。貧困、老年人口增多,社會(huì)退休金儲(chǔ)備不足 。大型遠(yuǎn)程數(shù)據(jù)中心被小型、本地化和高靈活性的數(shù) 據(jù)中心替代。機(jī)器人讓人們有了更多休閑時(shí)間,但人們可能沒(méi)有足夠的現(xiàn)金來(lái)支撐 。經(jīng)濟(jì)趨勢(shì)表現(xiàn)在:世界更加開(kāi)放、人類對(duì) IP 進(jìn)行再思考、水資源供應(yīng)日益緊張、經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī)仍然存在、數(shù)據(jù)中心的隱性成本較高。 專家們認(rèn)為,未來(lái)的 10~ 20 年,社會(huì)的各個(gè)領(lǐng)域都將發(fā)生一些巨大變化,其中社會(huì)發(fā)展趨勢(shì)主要表現(xiàn)在如下方面:人們壓縮對(duì)汽車的開(kāi)支、機(jī)器人得到更廣泛的運(yùn)用 、人類仿生學(xué)發(fā)展、城市化趨勢(shì)明顯、特大城市增多、誠(chéng)信問(wèn)題嚴(yán)重、在家辦公更為普遍。 Of 舉辦這次專題研討會(huì)的目的在于,確定未來(lái) 10~ 20 年最重要的通信技術(shù),分析這些技術(shù)發(fā)展和新業(yè)務(wù)應(yīng)用可能帶來(lái)的利益、關(guān)鍵點(diǎn)、主要障礙點(diǎn)和時(shí)間表,確定 Of 未來(lái)研發(fā)工作的重點(diǎn)。 energy consumption problem is increasingly outstanding, will increase the energy use restrictions. Of requires experts elected in 2018 and 2028 the whole society are facing the most important opportunities and challenges, the emphasis is how to explain these opportunities and challenges to influence the world, but not how to solve these problems, the results are as shown in the table. The establishment of the six areas of concern Based on the above analysis, the experts to discuss and suggest that Of in the next 10 to 20 years research and development focused on the following issues. First, work architecture and protocol of IP\/NGN era. IP due to the transmission according to the bit, the energy consumption efficiency is low, at the same time, the IP address resources will eventually be exhausted, munication mode, the ideal is not the IP\/NGN, Of must think about what the future instead of IP\/NGN. Second, a measure of new analysis method of munication. The existing measure of means of munication is too narrow and too simple, the future should be to measure the munication with new tools and methods, need to consider the effect of various aspects, including cost, traffic, energy consumption, social benefits, environmental impact. Third, the future munication needs of aging society satisfaction problem. In 2028, the aging problem will be more serious, because the elderly in the ability to understand than the poor young man, the future how to meet the munication needs a large number of the elderly, including munication tools, information content, the elderly health, aging on microeconomic effects, should be taken into account. Fourth, how to meet the needs of the future development of munication of microcosmic economy. Social economic operation after 20 years may change a lot, such as work allocation and payment methods are very different and now, great changes that will bring technology, society and regulation, will affect a series field. Therefore, the munication industry needs to understand and adapt to social changes of microcosmic economy. Fifth, the munication industry is mitted to reducing the energy consumption. The energy problem in the next 20 years will be more prominent, has bee a major social problem, so the munication industry must pay close attention, it is necessary to consider the munication field energy use, distribution to industrial energy consumption, find can reduce the energy consumption in hand, but also concern about the industry situation, analysis of digital economy and munication technology areas in which implementation can greatly reduce energy consumption. Sixth, the digital access to the universal service. Of should understand the demand for digital access and services, across geographical and social sectors, to find the implementation of every citizen to universal access. 譯文: 未來(lái)無(wú)線通信發(fā)展趨勢(shì) 近日,英國(guó) Of 發(fā)布題為《未來(lái)無(wú)線通信發(fā)展趨勢(shì)》的研討報(bào)告,提出在2028 年前通信發(fā)展要解決的六個(gè)重要問(wèn)題,為今后一段時(shí)間英國(guó)通